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Comment Re:EV sales in *USA* plummet (Score 1) 267

I'm thinking about my rural hometown in west Tennessee, and imagining middle school kids biking to school for up to an hour each way

And I from personal observation see that many/most middle school kids have been taking the bus to school for at least the last 70 years. In fact, that is almost the only way kids in rural areas get to school. No imagination required.

School buses only work if you don't have after school activities. Band, sports, theater, etc. are all fundamentally incompatible with a carless society unless you have high enough density to warrant a proper city bus system. Same with AP classes before school.

Some people will do all those things just as they do today. But in fact a lot of people will reduce the range of places they shop, recreate and work because its too far to drive. Almost no one considers "too far" in terms of distance. Its "too far" in terms of how long it takes.

Potato, potahto. There are places that you have to go, e.g. work, school. If the amount of time it takes is too long, it completely breaks your ability to function. Whether the reason for it taking too long is because of distance or because somebody thought it would be fun to make cars go horribly slowly to convince you to bike for an hour is mostly an implementation detail.

There are plenty of people who regularly both walk and ride further than a couple blocks.

I bike two to three hours every Saturday and Sunday. But there's no way I'd be willing to accept an hour of biking each way as a minimum requirement to get to work or school. Life's too short, and I'd be too exhausted when I got there to do anything.

Most people don't actually travel "long distances" very often unless they have to. They arrange their lives to avoid it They move close to work and live where there are places to shop. That's why cities have more people than empty spaces.

True, but you're still kind of missing the point, which is that not everybody lives in cities. Public transit is provably not cost effective at rural densities.

Comment Re:Say hello to Wirth's law (Score 1) 78

Demand for efficient code is growing precisely because computers have not

Unfortunately, finding anyone under 40 who still knows how is almost impossible. Undergrad CS programs have been little more than glorified programming boot camps since at least y2k, and not particularly good ones. They'll be familiar with the latest industry fads, sure, but little else. We have people 15 years into their career that think that memory addresses are an advanced topic. It's beyond reason.

I remember complaining about colleges abandoning C for Java. "Oh, don't worry!" said the masses on this very site "No one writes their own structures these days. Kids just need to know what they are and how to use them." 25+ years later and you can't find anyone who could tell you the difference between a hash map and linked list. A few years back, I saw a junior confusingly choose to use a set instead of an array because, "each entry would be unique" and so "a set should be faster". You can't make this stuff up.

We let industry demands rather than academics drive education and now we're reaping what we've sewn.

You lost me at python script. What comes after those words is like two sumo wrestlers arguing over who is thinner.

Of course. Python is the world's least efficient language, but that wasn't the point. The absurdity I wanted to highlight was that someone imported a large library unnecessarily under the delusion that doing so would make their code "more efficient". The problem here is that the hapless developer heard somewhere that that library's arrays were "more efficient" than the language's built-ins and concluded that using them would necessarily be better in all circumstances.

There's similar belief about library code in general. That is, because libraries are used by many projects, they must necessarily be "more efficient" or "highly optimized" (along with "more secure", handle more "corner cases" or "edge cases", and other nonsense...) This one is so common that I've seen developers almost apologetic / ashamed when they confess that they wrote something themselves, as though doing so was some sort of personal failing on their part. It's no wonder even seemingly trivial projects now often have hundreds of files and a complex build process. The leftpad incident was almost 10 years ago and things are worse than ever.

Comment Re:EV sales in *USA* plummet (Score 1) 267

Try doing that in the US.

You can do that in a lot of places in Oregon because it created urban growth boundaries in the 1970's.

There's no magic cure. It would require razing down almost all of the entire country.

Sure there is. Just lower the speed limit to 45 on freeways, 20 in town and 10 on residential streets. People will shorten trips and use transit, walk and bike more. You don't need to "raze" anything. All the empty space in cities used for autos will be valuable and filled in.

Actually, what will happen is that people will move away from places that do this, or they will continue to drive, but more slowly, or they will ignore the speed limits and pay the tickets.

The only way to shorten trips is to increase density, and that can't just magically happen.

Walking and biking are fine if you are only a couple of blocks away from where you are going. They don't work for long distances. So they don't solve the problem, either.

You either have urban density or you don't. If you do, then cars don't work very well. If you don't, then alternatives don't work very well. There's a grey area in between where neither one works very well.

I'm thinking about my rural hometown in west Tennessee, and imagining middle school kids biking to school for up to an hour each way while carrying books, musical instruments, gym clothes, etc., and I'm laughing at how well your "magic cure" would work. It's the sort of thinking I'd expect from someone who has never lived somewhere with fewer than half a million people.

Comment Re:EV sales in *USA* plummet (Score 1) 267

+1. As soon as you get out of the core of Paris and its inner suburbs (Hauts-de-Seine), a lot of metro Paris is suburbia with zero-lot-line single-family houses.

Mind you, it's not "a hundred houses all alike" suburbia, because it was built up before folks started doing that sort of mass development, but it's still suburbs.

Comment Re:Comes with buying cloud based devices .... (Score 1) 10

Just got email yesterday from Belkin, to tell me Wemo devices including their hugely popular Wemo mini plug and Wemo wall switch, outdoor switch and 3-way switch were on a list to be shut down in January, 2026. They're yanking the cloud server support required to make them work, and saying the only thing they'll still do after that is work on a LOCAL network via HomeKit.

Bets about whether they stop working with HomeKit in February of 2026?

Comment Re:Say hello to Wirth's law (Score 1) 78

The industry has forgotten how to write efficient software. We've had multiple generations brought up believing that memory is free and that increasingly fast computers will magically solve any performance problems.

For reasons I can't even begin to comprehend, people still believe that nonsense.

Ages ago, we'd caution developers against 'premature optimization' as a hedge against needless complexity. These days, the trade-off is the same, just flipped on its head: The code that's easy to read and maintain is likely to also be more efficient than the bloated and calcified monstrosities the average oversized agile team accretes.

Nothing (except possibly bad management decisions?) is preventing anyone from creating efficient software, either.

I saw a python script earlier today where the "developer" imported numpy just so he could make a single integer array to pass to a function in the same ~300-line script that he wrote. His justification for that absurdity? "Efficiency".

We're doomed.

Comment Re:Case dependent [Re:So, the plan is ...] (Score 1) 76

Correct. But you missed the point. Weight is not the issue. Volume is not the issue. Cost is the issue. Fuel cells are expensive. Storage tanks are cheap. The longer your storage period, the more of the set-up is the cheap part rather than the expensive part.

In practice, storing energy for a longer period of time is basically never done, with the only real exception I can think of being space travel. And it's not how long the storage period is that matters. It's how quickly you need to get the energy when you're done. Sure, if you store a year worth of energy in a day and dribble it out over a year, a tiny fuel cell and a huge tank is great for cost. But literally space travel is the only practical application of that. For every real-world application other than space travel, you need to be able to dump the entire contents of the fuel cell in at most maybe five to ten times the period of time over which it was built up, if not less. That means either big fuel cells or a lot of fuel cells.

The trade off between batteries and fuel cells is case dependent, and more notably, it is technology dependent. I think I may agree with you that for for storage times of ~12 hours (from solar peak at noon to drop off of electrical usage around midnight) and for today's off-the-shelf technology fuel cells are not the answer, but "not the answer for this case" is not the same as "not the answer always."

See above. And to that, I would add that converting electricity to hydrogen with electrolysis of water and back is likely to result in a loss of somewhere around 60% to 70% of the energy that you put in. So even if you somehow manage to find some rare edge case (e.g. trying to do solar in Alaska or something similarly nuts) where you really do want to store power long-term and spread it out over a long period of time, the loss of energy is still going to be around 5x as high from fuel cells as lithium ion batteries even factoring in the self-discharge rate over several months.

And that's before you factor in the additional losses from having to pressurize the hydrogen, which adds further the losses. In fact, you'd actually be better off building air tanks and pressurizing them and using the air pressure to turn turbines than doing electrolysis, pressurizing hydrogen, and dumping it into a fuel cell. That will give you a loss of only 25% to 50% of the energy that goes in. Sure, it will take up more space, but you won't have hydrogen making the metal brittle after a few years, requiring you to replace the whole system over and over again, so it makes *way* more sense.

When I say that IMO, there is literally no case where hydrogen fuel cells make sense other than space travel, I mean that. It is utterly terrible efficiency-wise, so much so that almost anything is better, including things that are way simpler and cheaper than hydrogen, like a giant air tank and an air turbine.

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