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Comment Re: Musk doesn't have the best people. (Score 1) 152

"That is not true FOR EVERYONE. Not everyone works the same. You are not everyone."

Loner aspies happy sitting in a basement doing their own thing and chucking some code over the fence ever week or 2 are not the sort of people I'd hire in the kind of work I'm involved in. Teamwork matters whether you want to believe it or not.

Comment Re:Time for laser guns (Score 1) 66

I never said they'd be a replacement for missle defense, but they could be an addition to it. As for the enemy sending loads of the things - sure, thats exactly what russia is doing right now with drones in ukraine but you don't see the ukrainians sitting around saying "Meh, why bother". They shoot down as many as possible even though some get through because lives matter.

Comment Re:This is why (Score 1) 64

No, you just phone up the person themself and get them to do it. How do you think most social engineering works? And please do tell me even if you have cloned their SIM so the SMSs get redirected , how do you get their login and passwords? Banks in the UK use 3 levels of security with SMS being the final one so tell me how you'd crack the first 2 Mr Security Expert.

Comment Re: Musk doesn't have the best people. (Score 1) 152

"unless you write down what happened "

So you didn't read what I wrote, got it.

"Have you actually worked for a serious company? "

More than you I can guarantee it.

"You seem to still insist that work can ONLY be done in meetings."

No, thats not what I'm saying but since you're clearly too stupid to understand my point we'll just call it a day and you can continue to wallow in your ignorance.

Comment Re:I live (Score 2) 136

The thing to understand is we're talking about sixth tenths of a degree warming since 1990, when averaged over *the entire globe* for the *entire year*. If the change were actually distributed that way -- evenly everywhere over the whole year -- nobody would notice any change whatsoever; there would be no natural system disruption. The temperature rise would be nearly impossible to detect against the natural background variation.

That's the thinking of people who point out that the weather outside their doors is unusually cool despite global warming. And if that was what climate change models actually predicted, they'd be right. But that's not what the models predict. They predict a patchwork of some places experiencing unusual heat while others experience unusual coolness, a patchwork that is constantly shifting over time. Only when you do the massive statistical work of averaging *everywhere, all the time* out over the course of the year does it manifest unambiguously as "warming".

In the short term -- over the course of the coming decade for example, -- it's less misleading to think of the troposphere becoming more *energetic*. When you consider six tenths of a degree increase across the roughly 10^18 kg of the troposphere, that is as vast, almost unthinkable amount of energy increase. Note that this also accompanied by a *cooling* of the stratosphere. Together these produce a a series of extreme weather events, both extreme heat *and* extreme cold, that aggregated into an average increase that's meaningless as a predictor of what any location experiences at any point in time.

Comment Re: Musk doesn't have the best people. (Score 1) 152

"Things can be discussed over email, zooms, phone calls, messages"

Unless you work for some mickey mouse web company or similar doing unimportant BS, then problems are best solved and designs generated when everyone is together in a room with a white board.

"the requirements were specified verbally and no one wrote them down. "

Then you don't work in a serious company if they don't minute important meetings.

Comment He may be missing the quiet part... (Score 1) 152

Eberhart seems like he may be falling for the hype himself. He says "What's happening now isn't innovation; it's aspiration masquerading as disruption..."; but fails to note the fairly profound differences in results between the orbital delivery guys and the moonshot guys; and how neatly that maps onto what is aspiration and what isn't.

Putting satellites into orbit is kind of mundane at this point, too common, too obviously useful; but it's sufficiently obviously useful that more or less anyone with nation-state aspirations wants to at least have a program that executes; and civilian and day-to-day operations want someone who executes but cheaper. And that exists. Going to the moon is cool, and it's a nice prestige project for when the gerontocracy needs to show that they still have it just like when they showed the commies what for; but it's unclear exactly what the point is or the stakes are beyond that. The customer presumably would like to actually land something on the moon, at some point, just to say that they did; but what they are buying is mostly aspiration on the cheap: We get to say that we have a lunar program for way less than Apollo money, you do some open-ended tinkering, honor satisfied.

He can talk about 'accountability'; but it seems like it's a fundamentally hard problem to actually sustain a lie about how serious you are, at an institutional level, in the long term. It's not like do-or-die projects are free of losers(especially because circumstances have a nasty habit of thrusting them on people whether they like it or not; rather than giving them the luxury of choosing whether or not to take on those stakes); but they tend to be animated by a sense of genuine urgency. Stuff that is, fundamentally, kind of optional, by contrast, tends to reflect that in bulk. Timmy Rockets may be genuinely more passionate about stir-welding than you've ever been about anything; but, like is cousin who is really passionate social worker, will soon discover that going to the moon and fighting poverty are open-ended projects we do because they sound nice, not because anyone who matters is actually committing to a deadline.

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