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Comment Re:We're seeing a pattern here (Score 1) 13

Whatever else, Flock is very imprecise, prone to bad errors, and we're seeing a pattern of innocent people being arrested. Police should look at evidence rather than clog up court time. And apparently under Flock Law, one must prove they are innocent, because the Flock system is looked at as infallible.

In addition, it fosters sloppy police work. Even *if* Flock surveillance was infallible, proper analysis would still be required. In this case, the "evidence" (below) seems wildly inadequate and requires the accused to prove her innocence. Using the below as a the basis for a prosecution seems criminally negligent.

[P]olice Sgt. Jamie Milliman told her the town of Bow Mar's surveillance cameras captured her forest green Rivian driving through town the same day a package disappeared from a thief.

Comment Re:leap seconds are gone my dude (Score 1) 69

so even more software will be incorrect for historic time periods when leap seconds were a thing.

Who even needs to measure historical time that precisely? There's a principle in engineering and science called error probability. You account for it in your calculations and get over yourself about the last few CPU clock decimal places.

There is also the legal problem of measuring things too accurately. When did the Great Flood occur? Well, we have been living here "since time immemoriable" and the courts have judged our memories to trump your science.

Comment Re:Dark matter (Score 1) 69

It's the recprocal of the Street Light Effect. You don't look for where it is likely to be or where it's easiest to see (under the streetlight). You search where the rewards of sucess are likely to be the highest (citation for your research papers, Nobel prize in physics, etc.) Drunks search under the streetlight because the reward will always be the same. Found my car keys. Now I guess I'll (hic) be driving home.

Comment Re:Problems so useless nobody cared? (Score 1) 126

I don't think the OP's point was that the solutions are not ever useful, but the "nobody cared for a long time" part. If no one cares about a problem, then no one is spending their time trying to solve it. Whether or not it may be useful in some way is not the point, but if no humans are trying to solve it, then humans are not going to solve it.

So now we have AI that will simply focus on whatever it is told to focus on, looking at problems esoteric enough that no one wanted to waste time on them, and finishing some of them.

Comment Re:mostly mash-ups of existing techniques (Score 1) 126

doesn't seem to be in in the literature

I ran a version of Proposition 13 in that paper through Claude just to clean up the draft of that bit before I sent it to her

The literature on this problem is small, and I'm very familiar with it.

You're missing the point here entirely, and ironically you are actually providing counter-evidence.

It appears that ChatGPT, etc, are taking information provided to them by people like you in the form of conversing with the agent and providing files, and using that information to generate output for others. This was shown where a mathematical solution ChatGPT came up with was pretty much exactly like an unpublished solution that had been discussed with ChatGPT by a couple researchers

Do you really think you are the only person in the world discussing that particular thing with the AI agent? You say you're very familiar with the literature in that field. Has your brain literally been built upon every word of that information that has ever been published, like an LLM? Of course not. So it doesn't matter how familiar you think you are with the literature, an LLM's "database" of that literature is beyond anything you could achieve.

Your example does not prove the LLM didn't connect existing dots, or produce that solution from existing information, either published or unpublished that was provided to it in chat sessions like yours.

Comment Re:The pill (Score 1) 187

The only difference between what you and I are doing and what the socialists seek is the decision making authority over asset allocation. They (socialists) presume the existence of some wise intellectuals with a perfect overview of the markets. We, on the other hand, rely on the wisdom of the crowd. Which time and time again has beaten the pundits' track records.

Comment Re:Not a real physicist then. (Score 2) 187

It's what they call a chaotic system. You have some positive and negative feedback loops. Which causes the system to oscillate around or settle on one of many possible points of stability (attractors).

Back when this paper was written, chaos theory was still in its infancy. So the author can be forgiven for using a better understood deterministic model.

Granted, a simplification of the formal definition. Some mathematicians will be here to mod me into oblivion shortly.

Comment Re: Uncalled for (Score 1) 190

"the companies found abusing the system"

No, they are worst the companies that will be subject to the investigation that is currently starting. I see no reason to grant the Department of Labor any presumption of regularity. It's plausible that they are abusers, but the DoL can damn well show their work first before people start getting punished.

Comment PERM, not H-1B (Score 2) 190

These companies are being suspended from filing PERM applications to sponsor someone for a green card, i.e. permanent work and residence authorization. Once a worker has a green card they no longer require sponsorship from a specific employer

Note that to sponsor a PERM application the employer has to re-advertise the position *the worker already fills* and they are required to *re-apply for the job they already hold*. This does not affect new hires since they are not eligible for PERM anyway.

These are not applications of H-1B temporary visas. Every comment about H-1B visas is off-topic.

Note that the effect of this suspension will be to *increase* the demand for H-1B from those companies, since any employee seeking permanent residency will jump ship at the first opportunity. Once again, the greatest obstacle to this administration achieving its aims is itself.

Comment Re:The pill (Score 1) 187

it is the wealthy building their fortunes off economic growth

Actually, I've built my fortune (such as it is) off of the same economic growth. Or in a recent case, the lack of it and the concomitant shortage of RAM chips. So, lack of economic growth in this case. And then there's oil ....

Everyone can play that game. But just sitting around and crying "Capitalism bad!" isn't going to help. "Workers should own the means of production!" Just checked my stock portfolio and it turns out that I do.

Comment Re:The lesser of the two fuckups offered (Score 2) 190

and they're still both bad. ORANGE PEDO BAD or BLUE PEDO GOOD is so old and fucked up by now. The divide is intentional by the script writers for both parties. They both have the same strings, or similar enough strings, that the differences are marginal - often trivial and intentional. The most radical political stance to have as an American today is to reject both parties. They've all been to the Island.

Comment Re:The pill (Score 1) 187

This.

I was going to say Roe v Wade. But the end result is the same. Fewer generations of the unwanted (and unsupervised) offspring crapping up the planet.

I don't know why slower population growth is such a bad thing. I'm a geezer (beyond some mandatory retirement ages), still working and contributing to the GDP. I hear complaints about how we are blocking promotion paths for young people. But even more about "Where's my UBI?" That's the Ponzi scheme.

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