It's also happening tomorrow, according to the summary. Hmmmmmmm...

I almost wonder if that's actually a dude who was on the flight or someone taking advantage of an opportunity to get in the news.

Seems so unlikely.

Hm. Perhaps this is a use of 'grifter' I wasn't aware of.

How is Geerling a "grifter"?

So you're saying that neither of the groups of people (one of which includes you) keep their eyes on the road. This directly contradicts your previous message. Cute.

Eyeline != focus. You're not keeping your eyes on the road.

I own a tiny indie studio in Chicagoland and my peers own the some of the huge studios in Chicagoland.

Cinespace is dead right now. It has ONE show active. The other studios are so dead that they're secretly hosting bar mitzvahs and pickleball tournaments for $1500 a day just to pay property taxes.

My studio is surprisingly busy but I'm cheap and cater to non-union folks with otherwise full time jobs.

To put out a hacker prize for laid off employees to target big AI companies for data center elimination.

Only somewhat correct. Unemployed because the AI companies convinced the CEOs that they can cut headcount and be fine.

And with 50% of the software engineers in 2019 now unemployed (even among senior level developers) they'll have you reviewing that code for minimum wage.

It's What Plants Crave

This is a good time to remind everyone that when government fucks with markets 40 years ago, they make it hell on everyone for the next 200 years.

There's always money in the banana stand, Michael.

Some are. I work more with smaller businesses than Big Tech and I don't think we've ever had more interest in our software development services.

There is a rational concern that technical people will understand the benefits and limitations of generative AI but management and executive leadership will fall for the hype because it was in the right Gartner quad or something and that will lead to restructuring and job losses. Businesses that get that wrong will probably be making a very expensive mistake and personally I'm quite looking forward to bumping our rates very significantly when they come crying to people who actually know what they're doing to clean up the mess later. It's not nice for anyone whose livelihood is being toyed with in the meantime, obviously, but I don't buy the arguments that this isn't fundamentally an economic inevitability as the comment I replied to was implying.

Historically and economically, it is far from certain that your hypothetical 20% increase in productivity would actually result in a proportionate decrease in employment. Indeed, the opposite effect is sometimes observed. Increased efficiency makes each employee more productive/valuable, which in turn makes newer and harder problems cost-effective to solve.

Personally, I question whether any AI coding experiment I have yet performed myself resulted in as much as a 20% productivity gain anyway. I have seen plenty of first-hand evidence to support the theory that seems to be shared by most of the senior+ devs I've talked with, that AI code generators are basically performing on the level of a broadly- but shallowly-experienced junior dev and not showing much qualitative improvement over time.

Whenever yet another tech CEO trots out some random stat about how AI is now writing 105% of the new code in their org, I am reminded of the observation by another former tech CEO, Bill Gates, that measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.