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Comment Re: Dumping (Score 1) 119

Wrong. I have had solar panels for 15 years. The total energy production in winter months is between 1/3 and 1/4th of summer months, on average. From 120 kWh/day down to 30 kWh/day last year. This has to do with both shorter days, and weather. On very rainy and cloudy winter days, the production can be as low as 4 kWh.

Comment Re:Consistently timing the market is impossible (Score 1) 65

Your comment would be actionable if you had a valuation model useful enough to signal when the market is overvalued or undervalued, so that you could decide when to sell or buy. Smart people like Michael Burry, and others even smarter than him, have tried and failed to produce such a model. Even Nobel laureate Shiller's CAPE ratio won't help you time the market over short periods, by which I mean less than a few years. Good luck.

Comment I may use this (Score 1) 82

And I'm Gen X, not millennial or Gen Z. The nearest ATM to my mansion in the hills is a 10 minute drive away, one way. I face challenges with driving after dark. If I need to pay a cleaner, painter, etc. in cash, and it is dark, which unfortunately is very early in the winter after the time change - before 5pm, it is easily a $20 Uber ride to the ATM and back. $2.99 compares very favorably to that.

Comment Consistently timing the market is impossible (Score 1) 65

The guy has made a fairly large number of predictions of market crashes over the last few decades. He was right once, which was a big deal. But he has been wrong a lot of other times. Eventually, there will be another recession, and another market crash, and he will be right again.
In the long term, markets generally go up, though. Staying short for long periods of time is not advisable, and very costly.

Passive funds, such as index funds are the way to go. In finance, you get what you don't pay for - fund expense ratios and other transaction costs.

Comment Re: Debugging LLM (Score 1) 135

You can however feed the output of one LLM to another LLM, and ask it to fact check. I have done so. It is worthwhile. I think in the case of completely made up cases, the second pass (or third) is very likely to flag it due to no correlation in its database.

For the logic in legal arguments, though, I would not expect it to help.

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