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Comment Re:Does anyone REALLY understand ... (Score 2) 62

Comment Re:Ai has Done More Harm than Good (Score 0) 210

> There is nothing wrong with AI as a computer science, but as deployed, it has brought nothing good to the world

AI has given as over 200 million folded proteins and millions of new materials
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3F...
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdeepmind.google%2Fdiscov...

It has also advanced mathematics
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdeepmind.google%2Fdiscov...

Currently AI is trying to find cure for every known decease there is and most likely within few years it will.

Comment Re:partially true (Score 2, Interesting) 72

Personally I have found several values for the LLM, for example:
1. Negative searches that were not possible with traditional search engines except in very rare scenarios. Like "Find me a molecule that has iron and oxygen, but not nitrogen."
2. Searching research papers with fuzzy words. It is very hard to find a research paper unless you know the exact words to search for it, but AI can translate your fuzzy wording into meaningful search results.
3. Testing out coding ideas. You can describe something you want and you get instantly code that creates the UI for you. The code might not be usable for the project as is, but you can test different ideas and refine your requirement specification easily with it.
4. When learning something new. Programming technology, human language etc. AI can explain reasonably well the basics of the subject. Sure, it makes mistakes, but I have never seen an official school book that didn't have any errors, so errors are everywhere. It is enough to get large part of things right when learning new stuff, you can refine that later when you know more.

Comment CEO admits that AI will replace human workers (Score 1) 36

Comment New jobs at most for 20 years, after that... (Score 1) 32

I have looked at the data for the past 15 years. Some work like healthcare and IT are going up and some work like manufacturing are going down. The total amount of work is declining steadily at the speed of about 0,4% of population losing a job every year. This is not actual job loss, as I am looking at hours of work done and estimating the amount of jobs based on the hours, because some jobs are short term, some have only few hours etc.

Problem is not about inventing new jobs. Problem is finding new customers. Currently new customers come from the middle class increasing by about 250 million per year. But that can continue for only about 20 years in the best case scenario. After that there will no longer be growth in consuming. After that, every increase in automation will not mean new jobs, it will mean just job loss.

And this is the absolutely best case scenario I can think of. I still think that most realistic scenario is that it will be just downhill from here on.

Comment Re:This should be a lesson. (Score 1) 30

Why did they sign a deal instead of just switching to OpenJDK. We have a big project and we did the switch and there were zero problems with it. It is the exactly same product, but Oracle has some additional packages on top of it. If you don't use those rare packages, you can use OpenJDK just fine.

Comment Re:Nonsense (Score 1) 86

Personally I don't need to install solar panels, because so many have installed them already. For example today electricity cost is about minus 2 cents/kW on the cheapest time, because there is so much solar during those hours.

If I would install something, it would be batteries, but I have not done either. It is cheaper to just use electricity during the cheap times and avoid using it on the high price times. The electricity cost is about 10-20 dollars per month for me, which is insignificant with my income. I would not even have the need to use electricity during the cheap times, but it is like a hobby to save the planet.

Comment Re:Gaslighting writ large (Score 1) 90

Even if every woman would start having 2 kids, population would still collapse. Japan has about 1.26 birth rate per woman. If whole world had the same birth rate, the population of humans would drop to about 4 billion in 2100.

At the current pace we will most likely hit 10 billion, but after that the population starts to drop. If birth rate drops even by 0.5 points, we will be around 6 billion in 2100.

Comment Re:Gaslighting writ large (Score 1) 90

Drone is many times easier to build than a caretaker bot. Perhaps the hardest task to automate, which also consumes a lot of time from the humans is about changing clothes, but it is not the same as changing clothes to a healthy person. Old people will have hard time controlling their muscles, so you have to use force, massage or what ever to get their limbs to the correct position so you can take and put clothes on. It is not an impossible problem for robots to solve, but much harder than just flying around.

But there are many tasks that are more easy to automate. Like reporting, which also consumes quite a lot of time.

Comment Re:Gaslighting writ large (Score 1) 90

You are slightly correct.

Economies don't require population growth. You can handle the work with robots and you can get tax money from companies. It is just much harder to do it this way, because companies can move out of the country if you tax them too heavily.

Problem with stable population is that it does not provide growth and economies have relied of growth, because that is the only way they can pay back the debt. Other problem is that automation consumes about jobs every year at the rate of about 0.4% of population. So even if you have stable population, you will get increasing amount of unemployment due to automation, so stable population does not provide stable economies on its own in the era of automation.

Comment Re:Dear Artists ... (Score 1) 88

It is true that Disney is very offensive towards artists. Here is a video about the story of Don Rosa and what Disney did to him. Don Rosa was one of the best artists that has made Disney cartoons, but Disney pretty much forced him to quit that. It is a rather sad story, but I recommend it for anyone who thinks that Disney is a good guy. I don't think that Disney is especially evil, I think that many companies abuse their artists, but as I am personally a fan of Don Rosa, this was especially sad thing for me.

https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3F...

Comment Re:This Will Be Very Interesting (Score 1) 88

The story of Arne vs. Disney is indeed interesting. I recommend this video for anyone who is not familiar about it:
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3F...

I could write a summary about the story, but I think it is much more interesting if you watch the video with actual images related to the story.

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