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Comment Re:For now Intel should focus on being second sour (Score 0) 77

(2) x86-64 vs ARM is an area that cannot compete. Don't underestimate Intel, the PowerPC consortium did.

This is a weird mixed signal type thing. Are you saying they cant compete or that they can?

I'm saying that assuming Intel is incapable of making technical progress, of overcoming a technical gap, if not a safe bet. IBM/Motorola/Apple once guessed badly. It's not about CPU architecture. It's about the gap between PowerPC and Intel never materializing, that Intel made technical progress that was a friggin miracle. It costs a ton of engineering time and money, but they pulled it off. Underestimate their ability to improve at your peril.

TSMC fabs are a limited resource. With higher demand comes higher prices.

This makes the assumption that capacity isn't already being sufficiently expanded. However, I'm sure with lower-end chips, that some would go with Intel's fab but Apple's stuff is rather high-end. I put it in the "unlikely but not impossible" category.

No, Apple has lagging tech too. Consider the iPhone SE product line that users older CPU based on older processes. That is a short term opportunity for Intel.

Comment Re:Red did better than Blue under covid (Score 1) 171

For all the stupidity on both sides, ie Gov Newsome in California literally said the science indicated you should pull up you mask while chewing and only lower it to put food in your mouth.

When it comes to reducing your ability to spread COVID to others, epidemiologically speaking, he wasn't wrong.

Doctors, scientists, also consider what people will realistically do. What they can be realistically expected to comply with. Asking for too much will not yield positive results.

Want to do a left wing protest march, no covid restrictions for you.

And yet those groups tended to practice social distancing, wore masks, etc.

Very hit and miss on that. And no blue politician cared.

Blue states did not overreact.

Absolutely false. The business and school closers, mandatory vexing for the young and healthy.

Red states didn't take it seriously, and a lot of people died as a result.

Read the small print on your studies, its was more about socioeconomic factors than politics.

The only place where blue states did badly was New York, and that's because they got hit first, before anybody knew how to deal with it.

Total BS. They got hit harder due to the mismanagement of Gov Cuomo who through his policies put the most vulnerable, the senior population, at far greater risk.

Unnecessary vaxxing of the young and healthy, closures and restrictions for tool long, politicized closures/non-closures.

I knew someone personally who died of COVID. He was overweight, but he was not particularly old. What you call unnecessary, I call common f**king sense.

You just proved yourself wrong. Not I referred to you and healthy, and you refer to someone who is overweight. A know factor for enhanced risk.

The biggest mistake the blue states made was that they opened too soon. California was within a few weeks of reaching zero cases when they reopened the first time.

LOL, sorry CA resident here. Our governor was one of the more abusive ones.

Had they been going for eradication instead of merely keeping hospitals from collapsing, ...

There is no such thing as eradication. There is only spreading out the curve so as to not overwhelm healthcare.

The other big mistake was opening up restaurants. As soon as they did that, cases massively surged.

You falsely conflate cases with problems. In the long run we are all going to get exposed. It's just a matter of time. What matters is the severity of the cases, not the instances.

With the sole exception of the impact on kids' education, to the best of my knowledge, red states did not do better by ANY objective metric. Feel free to provide citations, though.

Go read the small print on your citation. Odds are you will find that the differences are more about socioeconomic factors not politics.

Comment Re:Red did better than Blue under covid (Score 1) 171

To me the initial reaction in a situation like covid should be an overreaction since we couldn't determine the appropriate reaction at that point. It's really easy to forget just how little information we had. It had overwhelmed medical facilities and nobody had any real information yet about the spread to determine what was safe and what wasn't.

To me the initial reaction is to follow the science, not the politics. As many European nations did and had better outcomes with far less drama and disruption. Here in the US we followed the politics, both in red and blue states. It just turned out that reality matched the red state's less panicky approach.

Comment Re:Its about making chips, not return to x64-64 (Score 1) 77

Far ahead is overstating things.

It's the main reason Intel is in trouble.

I'd say the reason they are in trouble is the migration to ARM. Which is a battle they can't win. Unlike being a second source for manufacturing, that's a battle they could plausibly compete in. IBM/Motorola/Apple once underestimated Intel with the PowerPC CPUs. The PowerPC consortium had a reasonable plan, they delivered, where they failed is they never imaged Intel could come from behind and get the creaky x86 successfully competing against a brand new RISC design. Intel pulled off friggin miracles keep close to PowerPC year after year. PowerPC was about 20% faster overall at the same block but Intel offered higher clocks.

Intel demonstrated that the ability to throw tons of engineers and tons of money at a problem can yield results. Even when starting with inferior tech.

Assuming TSMC will maintain its lead is no more valid than the assumptions IBM/Motorola/Apple had made.

we'd only be at the point where Apple invested in TSMC, when they had a process but needed money for production capacity.

And when Intel has a fab that can produce two year old Apple Silicon chips for the iPhone SE line, why would Apple build a new fab for TSMC? Rather than shift chips that don''t need the current start of the art process to a second source. There is a path for Intel, even with its current gap. One that could plausibly be temporary in the long run.

Comment IBM/Motorola/Apple underestimated Intel ... (Score 1) 77

This is really just garbled nonsense with no resemblance to actual tech history.

Not at all. The PowerPC consortium promised twice the performance for half the price. That was a realistic goal given a brand new RISC design vs the crusty more difficult to work on CISC design that was x86. The consortium failed, not because they failed to deliver performance in PowerPC. They failed because they underestimate Intel's ability to improve x86. Yes x86 would be harder to improve than PowerPC. But Intel made up for that by throwing tons more engineers and tons more money at the project. They pull offed a friggin miracle keeping close to PowerPC year after year. The PowerPC was pretty much about 20% faster than x86 for the same clock rate. However Intel offered high clock rates. No one imagined Intel could pull this off.

The notion that TSMC will always have a lead is no more valid that the notion PowerPC will soon outperform Intel at a lower price. Tons of engineers and money can overcome.

Comment Re:Risk of cheap batteries ... (Score 1) 52

I only buy the re-label eneloops at IKEA, or eneloops themselves. Never an issue. Costco alk's are junk. All alk's are junk.

Yeah, I switched to eneloop a few years ago. I'm trying Amazon bulk Energizer in AA smoke detectors that require the Alkaline voltage decline.

The eneloops are also nice for replacing the extensive disposable lithium batteries for cars and camping/hiking, where temperatures can be an issue.

Comment Lawn darts are a weapon of war (Score 2) 171

We'll remove a toy from the market because it killed a total of three kids and nobody complains

Lawn darts are a weapon of war.

"Plumbatae or martiobarbuli were lead-weighted throwing darts carried by infantrymen in Antiquity and the Middle Ages. They were used to inflict damage on enemies at a distance before engaging in close combat. Roman soldiers in some legions carried plumbatae inside their shields, which allowed them to have ranged weapons similar to arrows, according to Vegetius in his 4th-century military treatise De re militari."
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2F...

Comment Red did better than Blue under covid (Score -1, Troll) 171

if they hadn't listened to anti-vaxxers, Ivermectin preachers and other quacks, snake oil salesmen and conspiracy theory peddlers.

If they instead listened to the government sources then even more would have died line in New York.

For all the stupidity on both sides, ie Gov Newsome in California literally said the science indicated you should pull up you mask while chewing and only lower it to put food in your mouth. When he order CA beaches closed, the Orange County Sheriff posted photos of only small numbers of people at the beach, clustered in small groups of family and friends, each group fifty or more feet apart, in the open air and sunlight. Newsome surged the. CA Highway Patrol to block the beach exits on the Freeway. When he talks about Surging CA police into neighborhoods to combat crime, that is what he is referring to. The Crime of Orange County saying your mandate makes no sense locally, we are going to ignore it. Let's add in politicized closures. Want to do a left wing protest march, no covid restrictions for you.

For all the stupidity on both sides, Red did better than Blue with Covid. Blue overreacted. Unnecessary vaxxing of the young and healthy, closures and restrictions for tool long, politicized closures/non-closures. The zealots on both sides turned masks and shots into articles of faith for their respective dogmas. Yes it turned Blue overreacted, and did some counterproductive things, and Red coincidentally did better.

Comment Re:Its about making chips, not return to x64-64 (Score 1) 77

Apple isn't interested in x86-64 and that's unlikely to change ever.

That is my point. It's not about x86-64 vs ARM. There is no plausible path there. It's about Intel being a second source for Apple Silicon CPU, that is plausible. And, like when Intel took on IBM/Motorola/Apple over PowerPC, throwing tons of engineers and money at a performance gap can effectively remove that gap. Today's gap with TSMC might limit would Intel could do as a second spruce, perhaps iPhone SE CPUs rather than top of the line iPhone CPUs. It's not a given TSMC can maintain that gap, it plausible Intel could catch up. Hence their path as a manufacturer of CPUs for others.

Comment Re:Its about manufacturing process, not CPU arch (Score 1) 77

Intel has not has an advanced manufacturing process in a long time. And their designs always sucked, sometimes badly. That is now catching up with them.

TSMC having a lead today is not the issue. It is the that fighting TSMC in terms of process is plausible. While fighting an x86-64 vs ARM war is not.

IBM, Motorola, and Apple once had a lead with PowerPC, so they thought. Intel was able to pull miracles with x86 to erase any PowerPC lead. Intel overcame the assumption that a clunky old CISC architecture could not compete with a clean new RISC architecture by brute force and tons of money. It's plausible they could do the same with TSMC, through engineers and money at the gap. It's also plausible that for now they could focus on being a second source. Perhaps for the Apple Silicon CPUs that have older processes and are less demanding. For example CPU for an iPhone SE rather than a top of the line iPhone.

Comment For now Intel should focus on being second source (Score 0) 77

Its about manufacturing Apple Silicon chips

A) For the sake of argument, let's say Apple say, "screw power consumption, we'll use Intel".

I think you are stuck on the idea TSMC leads here today. My point is that (1) this is an area where Intel could possible compete. (2) x86-64 vs ARM is an area that cannot compete. Don't underestimate Intel, the PowerPC consortium did. They though we have a nice clean new RISC architecture, how could Intel possibly get their old arch to compete with us. Well it turned out spending 10x the money is one way. The short answer, Intel did it, they did not let PowerPC get out ahead performance wise. Intel kept the market. A similar approach could narrow or eliminate TSMC advances that exist today. Again, my point is this is an area Intel could possibly compete, given enough money to throw at the problem. They have pulled off miracles before, ie PowerPC.

You should remember that Apple is a huge jerk, just like all other publicly traded companies. This means they would need to get a sweet deal on manufacturing prices and they would totally dump intel the moment that changed.

TSMC fabs are a limited resource. With higher demand comes higher prices. Hence my suggestion that Apple might someday want to manufacture top of the line iPhone CPUs on TSMC and manufacture older CPUs with older processes for the iPhone SE line on Intel. A second source helps address the primary source's limited manufacturing. TSMC might be commanding a premium price due to high demand. Top of the line iPhones may warrant that, SE may not.

The point is, Intel should focus on being a second source for the moment. Again, that is a much more viable path than trying to fight an x86-64 vs ARM war.

Comment Re:Its about manufacturing process, not CPU arch (Score 1) 77

And no one is going to use their "advanced" CPU manufacturing so long as that part of the business isn't spun off into a separate company. Otherwise why would companies want to help their competitor?

How is Intel an Apple competitor? They are just a potential second source for manufacturing. Windows is the competitor, not Intel. Intel in fact made Apple a lot of money post-PowerPC. Apple sales virtually doubled when Macs were essentially Intel based PCs that could dual boot macOS or Windows. It ended the entire MacOS or Windows question, you could have both. Running natively at full speed on the same hardware.

Comment Second source, and not all Apple Silicon high end (Score 2) 77

You are overstating things. The fact remains the process/price is an area where Intel can be competitive over time, x86-64 vs ARM is not. Even if TSMC currently has the lead, their fabs are heavily booked. A second manufacturing source for Apple could be useful. And if one year an Intel process lags behind a TSMC process, then Intel can do the Apple Silicon for TVs and Watches, not the higher performing Computer and Phone/Pad CPUs. Add to that the Apple Silicon designs from previous years used in the SE lines of Phones and Watches. Use the limited TMSC availability where it matters.

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