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Comment If you are an oligarch (Score 1) 58

Then you have one major fear. Which is that the military is going to turn against you. Particularly the command structure up to and including the generals.

There are pretty well known processes developed by Stalin and Mao for preventing that but they're not perfect. And it requires constant attention and care as well as a great deal of skill and competence.

If you slip up then you get killed and replaced by a brand new oligarch. That of course doesn't do any good for the rank and file citizen but it doesn't do you any good either.

If you think the oligarchs haven't thought of that then you don't know what an oligarch is.

Killer robots is a dream come true for the oligarchs because they can replace the military with machines and then all they need is a handful of engineers to keep it all working.

The engineers are much easier to control than generals. It's a completely different personality and skill set. They are much less likely to crave unlimited power and control.

It has a name, techno feudalism. It's the use of technology to create a new feudal dystopia. A dark age that will last at least a few thousand years once it's entrenched.

Comment Re: In other words, (Score 1) 71

Do it in your head. 10 disks. I'll wait.

Forever. Because you can't fucking do it.
Solving it with a physical or digital representation of the puzzle is simply a matter of repeating a small set of rules. Nobody is contesting that.
That is not what was done. What was done was something you couldn't hope to do in your entire lifetime- solve 9 disks entirely from memory with no representation of the puzzle other than what's in your head.

I feel like you might actually be too dumb to put the pieces together enough to actually understand what is going on- which is a little weird since you can apparently follow the algorithm competently. Autistic?

Comment So Japan has hit growth figures (Score 1) 44

But they weren't supposed to hit until 2039.

I think it's stuff like that what she's talking about. Another good example is that there is research to indicate that replacement even in a developed nation is actually 2.7 not 2.1 like previously thought.

Also the grandparent is correct we do have plenty of food the problem is distribution. But to your point just because the problem isn't a lack of food doesn't mean that the problem magically goes away.

And finally though as someone else pointed out there's a thing called demographic momentum that I was unaware of. It basically means that if you dump a bunch of people of child rearing age into the world even if they're having fewer kids per woman there is a ton of them so your population is still going to see some growth over the next 10 or 20 years. Like a freight train where you put the brakes on but it's not like you just stop.

On the other hand as the other guy pointed out every time the figures come out they have to be revised because the population is dropping faster than we thought it was going to.

I'm not sure how it's all going to turn out but I think we are still no matter what going to have too many people and too few jobs for them to do. And I don't think we have the society and culture needed to solve that problem so I think we're going to turn to war like we always do when a resource gets scarce.

it's just going to be the stupidest war in human history because the scarce resource here is going to be good paying jobs not food and shelter and medicine like it used to be...

Comment Re:CS discipline is (Score 1) 71

That's very high risk though. If you go straight from your undergrad degree to grad school then you can wind up in a quantum superposition of unemployment.

Basically nobody wants to hire you because they know you're just trying to get some experience and will quickly move on. You're too qualified for the jobs that are willing to hire somebody with no experience but you don't have any experience so the other type of job won't hire you.

You really do need to work a few years before you hit grad school because of that. You can find Reddit forms about it where people have masters degrees and doctorates and find out they are completely unemployable...

Comment Re:Lots of jobs (Score 1) 71

I think the child labor laws are mostly because they have kicked out so many of the illegal immigrants they were having problems staffing. Some of them had just turned to prison labor but crime keeps going down so they don't have enough of those either.

I suspect what we are going to see is petty crimes getting years or decades in jail in order to keep the prison labor camps fed. I can tell you that I am already seeing a large uptick in police arresting people at random because they don't have enough actual criminals to arrest anymore relative to the number of cops we put on the street.

You see this with completely sober people being arrested for a DUI over and over again. They get dragged down to the station for blood work but there's a 2-month wait on blood work during which time you spend thousands on lawyers and in a lot of States your license gets suspended.

Comment What I'm seeing isn't that (Score 1) 71

What I'm seeing is that as the boomers retire they're being replaced by Indians and sometimes Eastern Europeans. They get as many H-1B visas as they can and then what they can't get for work local visas becomes an overseas worker whether that works well or not.

So the boomers are finally retiring or just plain getting too old to work and they aren't opening up any positions. So the new generation is just screwed.

There is still a massive massive massive automation push. Whether it's AI or not every CFO, CTO and CEO on the planet is trying to automate everything they can.

Comment Re:Switching for profit (Score 1) 61

Putting the AI bloat aside, Apple only switched to their own silicon to cut costs.

And literally changing the narrative on performance and power usage?

Sure they're overkill for most applications- but that doesn't change the fact that an M1 doesn't *have* to use all of that performance. It can sit there not using... for 14 hours after your Intel PC dies.
Just about every CPU in a contemporary computer is overkill for most applications. That's simply not a useful metric.

Comment Re:more garbage comments from non-experts (Score 2) 36

In Python, you can precisely calculate 100 factorial with a default installation. You can't do that with C++, Java, or Rust.

Sure, in just before the heat death of the universe.

In Python, you can precisely calculate 100 factorial with a default installation. You can't do that with C++, Java, or Rust.

Well, no, but you can in Javascript (with floating point support, unlike Python). Does that mean Javascript is one of the few languages that can handle numbers "very, very" well?

In C++, or Rust, you use a library that does overloading, and you operate with the numbers as if they were native, at somewhere around a metric bazillion times faster than Python.

Comment Re:Psycologicall Children them for Homelessness (Score 2) 36

Yes, AI is super interesting as computer science, its threats are entirely related to how it is being deployed, or even that it is being deployed at all. AI is more sociopathic that even the worst human sociopaths, yet politically we seem to think that any regulation of AI deployment must be illegal. Imagine if our laws grant immunity for murder to clinical sociopaths, it would almost be precisely a recent SCOTUS decision regarding the President.

Comment more garbage comments from non-experts (Score 3, Insightful) 36

"... first of all, Python is one of the very few languages that can handle numbers very, very well."

This is false. Python has 3rd party libraries that handle numbers well. Those libraries are not Python and learning Python does not mean learning those libraries.

"Python is a great choice for large databases because there's a lot of support for Python libraries."

They aren't Python libraries, they are libraries that support Python. And they make Python a good choice for accessing large datasets, not large databases. Yes, these are complaints over sloppy language, but if this "Walmart data scientist" cannot get language right, why are we interested in his comments regarding educating of children? It seems to me this guy is just a layman.

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