Not just recent graduates. It's only that established personell are in the position to automate their work without losing their post. For now. I expect that to change soon if AI lives up t0 the hype. Which, AFAICT, it more or less does. I'm a seasoned senior webdev and I wouldn't be surprised if my job has basically vanished in 24 months. Given what I'm doing with AI right now already that's not too far fetched an assumption.
This looks pretty much like the advent of Kurzweils Singularity to me.
The man was quite accurate with his predictions when it comes to AI, you have to give him that. On a balance of things I'm betting on him. Curiously enough, he is one of the more relaxed experts when it comes to the advent of AGI and predicts it won't be distopia but a paradise. I sure do effing hope he's right on that one.
How is this even news? Anybody paying attention is aware that the cascading effects of man-made global warming have already kicked in and are now ramping up and feeding back on each other. Some minimal fundamental knowledge and basic common sense is all that's required to be aware that this was coming for us.
I only hope that the new equilibrium isn't a global plus of 5 degrees centigrade or something. That would spell the end of modern civilization, and despite how messy things can be these days I don't want that.
... couldn't get any shittier, prepare for incoming.
... about Uno.
Even though I did get into Board/Tablegaming 18 months ago and attend the local boardgame meetup once or twice a week.
Right now I'm regularly playing Scythe (with extensions) and Roll for the Galaxy (with extensions).
And I've got a stack of other premium boardgames waiting to be played intensely.
All of them waaaaay more interesting than Uno.
Disclaimer: seasoned Senior Webdev here.
Today I use AI fairly regularly for work. Meaning multiple times a week to crack difficult problems within hours or less that would otherwise take days for me to takle. It's basically a premium grade specialized Tutor/Lead Developer and an universal API documentation I can chat with. It doesn't just catch all the details in my question, answer and clarify quickly and in detail but also gives me commented example-code that I've already used in tryouts and test sessions.
After doing this for a couple of months, it is very likely that I'll book a personal coding AI subscription with Jetbrains within the next two weeks since I use their IDEs already for my daily work. Next up I'm going to let it analyze entire legacy code-bases in my responsibility and ask it specific questions about those. I expect that to go reasonably well if not really well. The trial period of Jetbrains AI offerings went reasonably well and it's plainly obvious that there is no going back when it comes to AI. The bots are here and they're taking over.
My work is changing radically and rapidly and I expect this effect to grow more intense in the next 12 months. I'm preparing for what's about to roll over all of us and already started focusing on social skills 18 months or so ago and more or less abandoned learning new web technologies. That shift of focus has only intensified for me. I wouldn't be too surprised if my current job flat-out doesn't exist anymore in two years.
Bottom line: Prepare for incoming.
Nuclear Fission, the only functioning form of nuclear power we have right now, isn't cost-effective. The Germans did the math, came up short and decommissioned their ambitious Fission related projects such as the Kalkar Fast Breeder and the Wackersdorf Replenishment Plant. And eventually Fission in general. And after closing down all Fission plants and after 5+ decades of searching they still haven't found a place to put their nuclear waste.
... by just looking at overall stock value you're being silly.
Point in case: Shut down the ultra-specialists in Germany, Netherlands or France and global chip production comes to a grinding halt. These companies build devices and technology that others are flat-out incapable of reproducing without significant time and effort going into ultra-high-tech R&D.
Another example: Airbus is basically by-and-large a Euro-Government project. If you just look at market cap they may seem unspectacular but right now they're the only ones building passenger jet aircraft with good quality. Nobody in their right mind would claim that Boeing is at the same level right now, no matter how high their market cap might rise next week due to somebody moving bazillions of cash into their stock. Same with AI. Sure, the big AI companies are quite often based in the US of A, but look at cutting-edge specialized work with FOSS LLMs and suddenly some provincial university in a mid-sized German town is leading the way in that field.
I could go on but I think you know what I'm getting at. Proficiency in tech and leading high-tech certainly isn't only measured in gross stock-value. QED.
... are going to use AI to decomission the higher ranking jobs and the income streams they are tied to.
This is more of a social thing than a job performance / skill issue. More senior folks are offloading their work to AI and enabling they job to be more chill. As a senior webdev I'm observing this first hand. AI enables me to do in hours what I would've needed days or even weeks to do just 18 months back. It's like having the core team of devs for a given software toolkit sitting next to you, eager to hand out appropriate code-snippets or give precise and elaborate explanation on details of the stack and tech involved. I'm the sole senior webdev in a company of ~70 lawyers and my team is updating their mode of working on a monthly basis right now. Just half an hour ago my boss sitting across from me now booked the newest ChatGPT codex subscription and is using to solve a data-migration problem he was brooding over yesterday. Things are moving at a breakneck pace right now and I don't really expect my world to look anything like it does right now in 12 months.
Ergo: Anybody doing a desk-(bullshit)-job who thinks he's going to be spared by AI is being delusional, no matter how "senior" they are. When a 20 Euro/month AI can speed up a lawyers summary from 8 billable hours to 30 seconds shit is about to get real. Epic style.
EVs are superior in just about every metric. The sooner ICEs behind quaint vintage oddities, the better. We're late enough as it is with the fossil fuel turn-around.
L00ny or not, you have to give Elon Musk credit for being a key figure in making this happen.
JS is one of the most prevalent PL in layer 7 these days. For good reasons, even if some of those are historic.
- open standards (Web)
- cross platform (FOSS Web)
- lots of shiny clicky touchy stuff (Web)
- lives in a space that is based on documents and static data and only introduces Turing as an afterthought (Web)
- the strict typing thing needed for bigger stuff is also an afterthought done with a trivially simple FOSS superset of JS that you can pick up and use in 5 Minutes
2 Eurocents from a seasoned Webdev.
... demand anything political.
---
Incel, definition
Incel (involuntary celebate) is a gender neutral term. Coined by an incel woman(!). The largest group of Incels are handicapped and/or disfigured people, followed by people with non-hetero-normal sexual orientation, then followed by heterosexual men, the vast overwhelming majority of which aren't misogynists but timid, shy, intimidated by women and/or the mating game and - often as a result - depressed.
To emphasize: Noisemakers on the internet aren't representative of Incels, despite what the misinformed public or some dimwitts on reddit think about the term.
Please stop perpetuating this ill-informed misrepresentation of Incels at large.
Thank you.
The narrative being that men are not attending college because they're failing is non-sense IMHO.
Young men in the US are avoiding college because it has turned from being a surefire way to score a degree, a job for live, enough income to build and support a family and - most importantly - score a mate for life to do exactly that, into the worst deal in the history of ever.
As every hetero-male who hasn't been sleeping under a rock the last 3 decades knows, the deal of scoring a monogamous relationship via a corporate career via a college degree is firmly off the table.
In a time where mating has become a live mine-field for young heterosexual men, there is very little incentive for men to break their back or join the rat-race. Men aren't avoiding marriage, they are avoiding divorce and getting shafted by society.
That young men are checking out is by and large a healthy natural reaction. There's even a feminist book on this topic, "Men on Strike" it's called, and it's been around for more than 10 years IIRC.
However, I wouldn't trust AI to replace schools. Tutoring and help for advanced students perhaps, but not the other stuff. Let's not forget: a key part of education also is the social aspect.
Obviously.
People are always available for work in the past tense.
