Looking at bizarre shit-show that is morning and evening commute here in Germany and the insane waste caused by the infrastructure required to keep office workers "working" and those countless bullshit-jobs afloat, I have to say he has a point. How heavy that one weighs or how valid it finally is I can't say just now, but he does have a point.

I feel totally confident solving problems with PLs I wouldn't have touched with a ten-foot pole just a year back, due to AI.

Example: The legacy application I am currently maintaining and replacing is totally borked with piles of spagetti-code and shitty, amateurish or simply non-existent architecture. However, I do have to add logic to this already unmaintainable system so I often just push larger portions of that logic further down into the DB and SQL.

SQL _is_ turing complete, but actually developing applications using mostly or only SQL is reserved for very strange/special people still stuck in the 70ies mainframe era or something. Beyond some joins I would never do anything with this PL and move all more complex logic into the application layer.

But with AI writing SQL I feel confident to do such a thing. I _can_ understand what the code does and fix smaller mistakes the AI makes, but actually looking up the syntax and writing it myself would be a complete waste of time and energy to me. With AI absolutely not. It is strange using this PL I normally wouldn't and in this specific scenario it is a stop-gap for reasons unrelated to the tech-stack, but the AI puts out solid code and even corrects my SQL quick-hacks for commits I did myself.

For me the state of things right now is the following: Current AI is basically an API documentation you can talk to, with a premium expert attached. For all PLs that have enough documentation and demo-code available online and enough code-repos of functioning open-source projects for AIs to source information from, AI is a totally viable main programmer if you take your time to lead it well, hand-hold it along the way and double-check the code it generates and avoid any "vibe-coding" bullsh1t.

I would totally feel confident in taking on projects and tasks with APIs or PLs I haven't used yet but am interested in and consider wide-spread enough for AI to know well. I've actually considered doing something like that, like some Rust CLI project or something, just to learn the PL along the way.

And I expect all this AI progging to only improve even further, and quite quickly so.

Got one of those in my pocket already, thanks.

... for Pinterest. Good for them.

... from the crimes committed on Rape Island. We've seen this exact same thing before. I hope you guys find a way to put these perpetually lying turbo-criminal thugs before a court real soon. Keeping my fingers crossed from across the pond.

Disclaimer: European here.

While structural changes are due and the French are way overdue with loosening some of their very cushy labor laws and pension mechanisms, this whining sounds a lot like corporate propaganda to me.

For one, many large critical or significant corps throughout Europe score obscene amounts of subsidies and bail-outs when times are tough and experience first-class treatment by their governments when it comes to protecting their markets.

Then there is the modern capitalist LLC structure that can juggle bankruptcy and labor responsibilities with comparatively litte effort and some LLC and holdings wired up in the right way to enable creative ledgering.

I presume this to be propaganda to loosen labor laws in general or it's whining from large corps that they can't just turn nimble on a dime by dumping thousands of employees on a whim, despite having all the benefits mentioned above.

I'm not buying this. This sound 100% akin to the nonsense about "shortage of skilled labor" and other bullshit we constantly hear here in Germany and in other places. Corporate bullshit propaganda, that's what it is. Nothing else.

IIRC glass is a very slow flowing, ultra extremly viscose liquid. Old glass in church windows is thicker at the bottom due to this. Are they sure that glass can retain micro-etched information for 10k years considering this?

I certainly did _not_ have Ethiopia in my top list of progressive environmentally aware ueber-hipster compliant countries but you never know.

Two thinks do make sense though:

1.) It's totally logical for Afrika to skip any outdated ICE tech and infrastructure and go strait to the good new stuff.

2.) Quite a few parts of Afrika have been gaining traction and gotten on top of things. Ruanda has a rise in womans rights and participation due to the exorbitant male death toll from that civil war / epically uncivil slaughtering a few decades back. Botswana is a doorstep country closing in on a bona-fide first-world situation fast. IIRC there are quite a few other countries on a similar trajectory.

I hope for Afrika and the world that this encouraging trend continues.

That's probably the reason it's a speaker and not a screen, correct? But then again, booking payments is only numbers, which shouldn't be that difficult. Any Indians here who can shed some light on this?

Just what assets have "depreciated significantly" when the DOW is at an all time high, and real estate, as well

The katamaran he lives on. And the gold bars he put aside for a rainy day.

If you want to prevent overbooking and greed on any resource still limited, ubi is the right way to go if 70%+ of everything else is post scarcity. UBI is a transitional thing until we get matter compilers. So it's actually a good thing in a situation that is 70%+ pure functioning Marxism.

My work is far beyond what an AI can do and will remain so.

Smack center in the denial phase, are we? 8-)

You're not a "senior" anything at $50k

Well my very young padawan, at 39 years of programming experience and 25 years of professional work as a software dev, architect and tech lead I actually _am_ a senior dev. And I'm glad I could still score a cushy job at 50k annual salary. I have dev-buddies who made 250k a year and are now totally out of a job, have no chance of getting a contract, struggling to get by and getting ready to sell their 400k assets - that have depreciated significantly - to get some cash to pay the bills and food. That's the general state of things where I'm standing.

So be careful about being to high and mighty on the horse you rode in on, that may soon be ripe for the sausage machine.

Why are you making less than a senior webdev based in India?

I'm not. I live in Germany where there's higher taxes but also healthcare, a functioning public infrastructure, better quality of life and a Government that isn't made up of child-raping anarchists on crack. I get 50k because I went down 20k during my last job search and now have a job that's 95% remote and doesn't care if I'm sitting at the beach in Portugal or Croatia as long as I can maintain and develop the internal app I'm assigned to. Which I can. On the side. While redoing the entire setup.

I just sat all night and finished the work of 4 weeks in 5 hours. It's the first time I actually took the back seat to my Jetbrains AI setup and let "him" do 95%+ of the work. I didn't even have to look up API stuff or search the official docs - which are premium grade - of the toolkit or state management I'm using. I just asked him to do things.

I've now got a 5 hour coherent and comprehensive commented chat log to revise and completely understand the intrinsics of an async render queue issue we ran into along the way which alone would've probably taken me 20 hours to get to the bottom of if it weren't for AI. The AI made 2 or 3 minor type mismatch mistakes and fixed those in 20 seconds when I told him what my dev setup was erroring on the issue. He restructured objects on my behalf to match the new model and pointed out sequencing mistakes in the literal strings meant solely for human consumption and corrected them. The AI predicted what I was up to and offered me meaningful, premeditated options on what to aim for next.

I'm a senior webdev earning 50k and a 120 Euro annual subscription to AI quotas has turned me into a team of seniors proficient in every stack I would ever want to use.

Bottom line: If your doing human knowledge work on a digital device and AI doesn't significantly increase your productivity, then your employees are reaping the gains themselves by chilling 50%+ of the time (very likely) or they weren't all that productive in the first place (not that unlikely either).

This CEO talk could also just be propaganda to prevent a panic or someting.

Either way, prepare for incoming. And watch this 10 year old video if you haven't yet. You're welcome.

You need gatekeepers, planers and people talking to other people in businesses. Not _all_ of those will be replaced by AI. However, it is really not that unlikely that seasoned senior developers - like, f.i. me - actually _will_ be out of a job in 18 months. I've been mentally and emotionally preparing for this possiblity since early last year.

What I find very interesting to experience and hadn't consciously anticipated was the speed of transition. In hindsight it's perfectly logical, but I wasn't ready for this. When a bot closes in on your coding skills and surpases them it's not that your salary goes down a bit or you shift your focus-area a little bit. No. You're out of an effing job. Like, basically instantaniously. Society might not notice right away and you might have a few months or perhaps a year do prepare for the inevitable, but your job will just dissolve into a pink cloud of logic. Quite literally actually.

What's also interesting is that the world won't really care if us IT nerds lose our lofty throne. We are one in a few hundred or perhaps even thousands. Nobody cares. The real party starts when the robots come and take regular peoples jobs. That's what I'm really scared about.