Insect populations will adapt and recover. To think that these changes are permanent is ludicrous and reveals a complete lack of understanding of nature. Life will adapt and fill openings/niches that are available over time. Cool it with the chicken-little stuff. Life will adapt to higher temperatures or wider temperature swings.
That's not how evolution works.
Yes, life can adapt to higher temperatures, but as the article shows it's not instantaneous as the populations are crashing.
But the problem is the whole point of climate change is the climate won't stop changing. Even if they adapt to the current increase it will take time to do that, and for the populations to recover. But before that happens we'll be looking at another degree and the populations will crash again.
The longer the temperatures keep increasing the more the populations will decline and closer we get to the point of whole ecosystems collapsing.
For at least the last 20 years, I've noticed I no longer have to pull over to clean my windshield because it was covered by bug corpses. Not even in the Spring. I do not miss them, but at the same time I know they *should* be there, and their almost total absence is an ominous portent of the future.
I always figured a big part of that was expanded use of agricultural pesticides. The thing that gets me with this story is it's inside the nature preserves, so the answer isn't local pesticide use, it's something much larger.
Which does feel weirdly foreboding. I don't think most bugs have a particularly large range. Give them enough local plant life and they should thrive.
And the nature preserves should be pretty free of pesticides, meaning something else, like climate change, is causing the issues.
I own a tiny indie studio in Chicagoland and my peers own the some of the huge studios in Chicagoland.
Cinespace is dead right now. It has ONE show active. The other studios are so dead that they're secretly hosting bar mitzvahs and pickleball tournaments for $1500 a day just to pay property taxes.
My studio is surprisingly busy but I'm cheap and cater to non-union folks with otherwise full time jobs.
Where are you getting this from?
The support for reunification is 12%, not 40%. And there's no more "independent provinces" in China, you think the Taiwanese haven't noticed what happened to Hong Kong?
And China would not see it as "randomly invading a country", it would be retaking a rebel Chinese province. And China has been prepping to retake Taiwan for years, they even built a replica of the neighbourhood around Taiwan's Presidential palace to train their troops.
I agree with most of what you say. My problem is with your last sentence. What makes you think the US under trump but even under Biden would support Taiwan militarily?
That's kind of my point. If China knew for sure that the US wouldn't intervene they'd invade Taiwan tomorrow. And if China launched a surprise invasion and conquered Taiwan in hours the US wants the option of backing down without a major loss of face.
So strategic ambiguity (plus the US doesn't want to formally ally with what China considers a rebel province) is the policy.
But if China invades Trump might still react, and that might escalate. So his non-backing of Ukraine makes the situation with China very dangerous.
I think that's a very simpleminded and optimistic analysis, but it's true that abandoning your allies is not a good approach. However, was Ukraine an ally? IIRC the negotiations were still in process. They were in the extremely dangerous position of "holding rich resources and being adjacent to an acquisitive power".
The analogy to Czechoslovakia prior to WWII fails because Czechoslovakia *was* a ally, per the treaty. (See "entangling alliances".)
Ukraine was a friendly nation moving closer to the west (and the US in particular). Not a formal ally, but it had formal interactions with NATO.
I don't think Taiwan is much different. They cooperate, but there's no formal obligation for the US to defend them and the official policy is ambiguity.
And this is one of those cases where I think the "simpleminded" analysis is the right one. Even dictators need to justify their actions to their populace, meaning international politics can be very low bandwidth. The rule "no wars of conquest" was a very simple and effective one. In Russia's eyes this got sullied by the NATO intervention in Yugoslavia. And more likely by the US invasion of Iraq.
If Bush doesn't go into Iraq, and if he played the NATO expansion into Eastern Europe better, I'm not sure Georgia or Ukraine get invaded.
As to Taiwan, again, simplemindedness wins. How far the US goes to defend Taiwan depends heavily on political expectations. And if Ukraine demonstrates that the US has low resolve for defending a friendly nation then China will be encouraged to act, and that expectation of low resolve makes it harder for the US to sustain a defence of Taiwan.
That's why Biden ignored "strategic ambiguity" and said the US would defend Taiwan in 2022. To discourage the Chinese from deciding to invade during the distraction of Ukraine.
"...a most excellent barbarian ... Genghis Kahn!" -- _Bill And Ted's Excellent Adventure_