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Comment Re:No surprise (Score 1) 116

"more" is a quantity word, not a weight word. In standard English conversation, this means that "count(oranges) > count(grapes)". One person is right, and one person is wrong.

Actually this example is about what you count. Weight, volume or individual fruits. But thank you for making my point.

Comment Re:Education is a subsidy (Score 1) 92

"I am a physicist, do you have work for me?" is easier to answer positive than "I have studied black studies, what can I work". The second is studied out of interest (only) not because there is a demand for people with black studies.

I am not sure that is true. How many mediocre physicists do we need? On the other hand there (was) plenty of work for people in diverse environments where black studies, women's studies etc would be a useful background. The notion that there is no use for people with an understanding those communities and their history is just wrong.

If you see universities as trade schools, then a lot of undergraduate classes are pretty useless. But you can find a lot better examples than women's studies. . Classical greek? Philosophy?

Comment Fascist? Who Cares? (Score 2) 150

Fascist is just a label. You can put it on anything, it doesn't change the nature of the nature of the thing you label. Whether you label Trump a fascist or a monarchist is a mindless argument.

What is important is the character of what the government is doing. Picking someone up off the streets and sending them to a prison in El Salvador without any legal process is not something that we should allow. Taking national lands and selling them off to reduce taxes is not something that we should allow. Its selling off the inheritance of future generations to pay for this generation's profligate spending. Government shouldn't be allowed to force women to carry a pregnancy to term and punish them if they don't. But talking about what we don't want is only a small part of the equation.

People need to stop getting caught in the abstract debates favored by the folks at Harvard and Yale that distract us from our real needs. We need a retirement system that provides a secure retirement. We need a health care industry that delivers high quality health care at a reasonable price rather than crappy care at a high price. We need a tax system that doesn't allow the wealthy to decide how our tax dollars are spent. We need a higher education system that leaves students with marketable skills to build a life for themselves instead of a crushing debt. We need a housing industry that builds homes 90% of us can afford instead of McMansions for the wealthy 10%. We need more jobs that pay a living wage, rather than more jobs that don't. In short we need to start addressing the things that really matter.

I don't claim to know how we get those things. But we don't get there by arguing over whether Trump is a fascist or just a misguided fool. Trump mania is a distraction. The solution is to focus our eyes on the prize instead of bickering about what toilet people will be allowed to use. And whining to no effect.

Comment No They Aren't (Score -1) 150

There are statutory regulations and constitutional issues here. To qualify to serve as an O-5 in the Army you need time in grade, time in service and considerable training. You also have to be confirmed by the United States Senate.

Sorry. This story is bullshit. Just like everything else on social media.

Comment Re:No surprise (Score 1) 116

Now, it is quite possible you are not smart enough to see that.

Why you don't (try) to use reason to defend it your belief in it, instead of ad-hominems? Of course, like every true believer anyone who questions your belief is a heretic. There is no rational defense, because your belief isn't rational.

Comment Re:Yet another mistaken made by gov employees (Score 1) 92

Who the hell would paid any kind of money to anyone without verifying the recipient identity?

A college financial aid office that took the student's tuition out of the check. Higher education is a business. They don't really care who is paying the bill as long as they can collect.

Comment Re: Not a duplicate (Score 5, Informative) 92

Only complete idiots think there is no waste, fraud and abuse in any organization. Much less one the size of the federal government. The trick is to actually find it. DOGE wasn't looking for it really. They had a list of programs they didn't like and just slapped the label on them. People to clean national park toilets is not "waste and fraud".

Comment Re:No surprise (Score 0) 116

To anybody that wants to know, it is already clear that LLMs, including the "reasoning" variant, have zero reasoning abilities

A good many humans don't either. They memorize patterns, rituals, slogans, etc. but can't think logically.

Indeed. There are a few facts from sociology. Apparently only 10-15% of all humans can fact-check and apparently only around 20% (including the fact-checkers) can be convinced by rational argument when the question matters to them (goes up to 30% when it does not). Unfortunately, these numbers seem to be so well established that there are no current publications I can find. It may also be hard to publish about this. This is from interviews with experts and personal observations and observatioons from friends that also teach on academic levels. ChatGPT at least confirmed the 30% number but sadly failed to find a reference.

Anyway, that would mean only about 10-15% of the human race has active reasoning ability (can come up with rational arguments) and only about 20-30% has passive reasoning ability (can verify rational arguments). And that nicely explains some things, including why so many people mistake generative AI and in particular LLMs for something they are very much not and ascribe capabilities to them that they do not have and cannot have.

Thus proving the point by example.

Most people have faith in something. Since they didn't arrive at that faith by reason how would you expect to get them to change their mind using reason? You are really demanding they give priority to your faith in reason over their other faith.

You have a plate of fruit that includes oranges and grapes. Someone says there are more oranges than grapes. You count the grapes and the oranges and demonstrate that there are by count more grapes then oranges. The only way that is going to convince them is if they are also counting the fruit. But oranges are obviously larger than grapes. So the volume of oranges is much greater. They also weigh more. You are insisting that counting (reason) is the only legitimate way to arrive at the truth. But in fact, reason is only one tool in the kit. It is however the one you have faith in.

Comment Re:Nonsense (Score 2) 81

Personally I don't need to install solar panels, because so many have installed them already. For example today electricity cost is about minus 2 cents/kW on the cheapest time, because there is so much solar during those hours.

There is too much power available on the grid at those times, but a good portion of it is base load that can't be shut down any further. Does your local utility actually reduce your bill if you use that power? Because I suspect if you did the numbers you would find you would still come out ahead with solar panels based on the times when they weren't paying you to use power. And batteries may or may not improve that financial outcome depending on their cost.

Comment Re:Nonsense (Score 1) 81

Your tiny little country is not "the world". People here buy 1kW or 2kW plants with a 4kWh to 8kWh

That is irrelevant to the demand for increased grid capacity in industrial countries

faster than the factories can make them. Well, the factories are catching up, especially in the battery area.

Which is similar to the question of grid capacity. In theory you can replace a major power plant with everyone having solar panels and batteries. In the real world there is not enough capital in the hands of those that would benefit nor resulting industrial capacity to produce the necessary panels and batteries and install them.

Its fine to talk about the world we want. But pretending its the current reality gets us nowhere.

Comment Re:It is more difficult than the article discribes (Score 4, Interesting) 81

e cables aren't the bottle neck. It is getting approval to buy them. The electric utilities in most of the western world are guarenteed a return on any capital investment usually of between 11% and 13%. In return they have to go to the public regulators to get approval for any capital expenditures. It is the regulators that won't approve the spending of money on new transmissions.

I don't think that is true. Its ideological BS.

There certainly are regulatory processes for new transmission lines. But getting approval is not what's holding things up. Its that there is limited capacity in our economy for constructing them and we heavily subsidize the large centralized power facilities that require them. The necessary new grid capacity is a separate process from the decisions to add new demand on the grid.

That is not an accident. It serves the interests of both generating and transmission investors. No one has any interest in keeping costs down. To the contrary, the more expensive the better for the reason you point out. They are guaranteed a return and the larger the investment the bigger the return.

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