Comment Re:Erm... (Score 4, Interesting) 137
the fact that most of the early Super Heavies so far went boom (this is not a surprise, but some people don't remember how many Falcons went boom before they developed into one of the most reliable rockets available) and possibly a few launch and moon landing failures.
That's the hot hand fallacy going on there. That the Falcon 9 rockets are fine machines does not in any way shape or form mean that the Starship is the same thing.
Those two "families" aero not even related. The falcons are regular rockets, carrying on with the basic principles that Germany developed during WW2.
Will it work eventually? possibly. Even the Spruce Goose flew once. Will it be practical? I'm seriously doubting it. Will it take us to Mars? Oh, does the move fast and fail early doctrine still in place? And in a reduced to practice field like Rockerty (we've been doing Liquid filled rockets for over a century now) we have enough accumulated knowledge that just getting to orbit shouldn't be accompanied by a string of failures like Starship has been having.
Flamesuit on, I know this one will piss off the faithful.