It is feeling a bit like forever since we started to see the virus spread out of Wuhan and into Iran and Italy and hit both places pretty hard. Add the distrust of China reporting and dire news from those living there I’m not sure Western governments were in a good position with so little data to take a light approach to this.
The article also does a great job of missing that there are a lot of regions and countries doing very well with non lazes fair approaches that were taking the virus with extreme caution, but with more nuance and methods that have allowed for more normalcy, both economic and social. Sweden as the model seems interesting as they are catching up to other poor performers.
In hindsight it looks like balkanizing senior care facilities and isolating those with complications factors while letting the rest of society keep going would have been the smarter move and likely a missed opportunity but who the hell knew. Yes some guessed right, but if they were wrong the outcomes would have been much worse. Stopping the spread mitigates all unknowns while buying time to better understand and figure out the next course of action. Creating a ‘bullet time’ for epidemiologist and front line health care still seems like a good approach if missing an effective pandemic capability like say Taiwan or Hong Kong.