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Comment Re:All of the above? (Score 1) 25

What I would be curious to know is why the 'build god-machine' goal isn't being treated as the obvious winner just because you can have the god machine make facebook more addictive and better at serving ads.

You can't bet a company on ideas like that. There is absolutely zero assurance that we can even build an intelligent machine using classical computing techniques, and even less assurance that any of the basic AI techniques we are using can achieve it. It would actually be remarkable if we happened to stumble upon the design of an intelligent machine, given we have so little idea how our brains actual achieve this, and it would be ludicrously serendipitous if we were also able to stumble upon a super intelligence that can exponentially improve itself at the same time.

It would be like suggesting that cave men might have stumbled upon a working nuclear fusion reactor by smacking enough rocks together. We even understand the principles behind fusion and we're struggling to build one. But hey ho, we will just create a super intelligence even though we have no idea how intelligence works in our brains.

The people pushing this angle are delusional. Yes, it is entirely likely we can create better and better agents that appear to be intelligence and can perform useful tasks. But this super intelligence thing is dumb. If you wanted billions to setup a research lab to try to define intelligence and study the human brain, then that would make sense, but these people are saying they'll be able to time travel using anti-gravity thrusters before they can even speak some basic words.

My bet is that these superstar hires Zuckerberg has found are very intelligent grifters who will milk the situation for all the personal wealth they can. Those in actual revenue generating roles can probably see this, and that probably explains the rift.

Comment Equity or Exclusion (Score 1) 174

It seems to me that the initial justification to switch to Calibri was pretty spurious, I had always thought printed text with serifs was easier to read.

The switch to TNR seems to be motivated just by anti-inclusion pettyness. Both fonts seem pretty near equivantly functional and "professional" to me.

Comment Re:Good riddance. (Score 1) 134

Kids should have communities in real life

Real life communities are not always possible, or appropriate, for every child.

where people behave less like assholes

Eh...not really. The types of assholery just shift.

Under light supervision of adults

Can't supervise them 100% of the time, nor should they be.

And a little bit of supervised internet on a family PC in a common room

Overkill. And bypassable.

Comment People are cheap (Score 3, Insightful) 29

I worked for a farming automation company over 20 years ago now. There were a few things I noticed:

The first was that much of the low hanging automation tasks had already been automated a long time ago. People think automation is replacing a field full of 100 workers with 100 humanoid robots. But the reality is that we replaced those workers with a tractor and pesticide sprays. It's this observation that makes me skeptical about the whole humanoid hype fest.

The second thing is that people are damn cheap. I mean, a human can pick a lot of tomatoes in an hour. If the human breaks down, you just fire them and hire one that is in better condition. There is no capital cost for a human (perhaps a little to train them) - the farm doesn't have to pay to 'build' them. Even if a tomato picking robot was a few 1000's of dollars (not going to happen) that would still be higher than the cost of just getting another human. Further, if markets change you just fire your humans, or get them to pick something else instead, but if you've invested significant capital in tomato picking robots you've got a big problem.

I'm not saying that there isn't a point at which an automatic tomato picking robot wouldn't be viable - there definitely will be. But ultimately it's just an economics question. At the moment, making such a robot that can even perform that task well, let alone be cheap and, importantly, reliable, is a very difficult problem. I definitely think we could solve it - we could have solved it a decade ago - but there is very little investment for this stuff because the low price of humans sets a limit on the value of the resultant product, and that value is very low.

Comment Re:It's an interesting question (Score 1) 61

The issue is that the hardware costs money to run. If you don't have a way to generate a proportionate return from using it, then you are still just sinking money into the black hole, and that is not sustainable.

Think about how it works with BTC mining - at a certain coin price and electricity cost, a given chip cannot mine a coin for less than the cost of the electricity to do so. So you would be a fool to run such a chip under those conditions, even if the chip was free.

AI at the moment is not generating anywhere near the revenue required to sustain the operating costs. It's entirely possible that if the bubble blows, many of these data centres cannot find loads that are not loss making. TBF, I imagine if you could discount the capital cost (which will happen when they go bankrupt), then I'm sure they'll be able to find some uses in things like research/rendering/simulation etc, but it will be brutal.

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