Comment Re:The limiting factor is algorithms (Score 1) 81
Indeed, and the only way I can see them do this by themselves, is that they need to have the ability to construct an internally consistent model about the world (or whatever it is we want them to do) from the data feed into them and then evaluate that model against new data and adjust it as required. But this is just so much more complex than what LLMs are doing. To solve any sort of real world task it needs this absurd layer upon layer of concepts about the world it is trying to interact with.
I doubt any of these companies are anywhere near this. We can probably find some shortcuts to allow this to happen for very specific tasks, but many human jobs require require, at some point, a broader understanding of the world, so that would render these things still just powerful tools.
Which is likely where all this will go. After the initial bubble crashes, out of the ashes, companies will spring up that can apply the useful bits of the tech to specific situations. Over the next few decades these will effectively automate a large range of task, but none of it will be anything close to AGI. It will all be painstakingly designed systems to solve specific problems - good money to be made but not this present craziness.