BYD is already selling 5 minute charge LFP batteries. They are deploying 1000kW chargers for them in Europe now, with the UK getting some this year.
I'd certainly hope so, as Desten had 8 minute batteries in 2021.
LFP batteries are very stable and hard to ignite - you can stab them and they will be fine.
Solid state will likely be even better, and likely continue to get better for longer.
Europe already has commercial EV trucks doing thousands of kilometres for deliveries. Charge times are largely not an issue because the rules require drivers to take regular breaks anyway, to avoid dangerous fatigue.
Yeah... no. Not everyone has the same standards for rest, nor the same enforcement level.
There is also battery swap technology, again already deployed widely by Nio in Europe, and I think BYD have some in China too. Takes less than 3 minutes, probably a bit longer with a truck, but if the desire is there for faster than fuelling "charge" times, the problem is already solved.
I like Nio's battery swap, personally think it's a great idea, but solid state will put a crimp on it if only for convenience. Don't get me wrong, I understand not wanting to pull 30+ Megawatts (for 20 or so 1k chargers with overhead, and a couple truck chargers) directly from the grid. That's why I'm saying we'll need to increase baseload capacity amongst other things. However, knowing people, even if they would rarely use it they will buy solid state over LFP if there is a perceived benefit for themselves.
Even Mercedes are only claiming "up to" 25% better energy density, but at the rate at which CATL and BYD are improving their batteries, by 2030 when they are ready to launch that will already be behind the curve.
Except Mercedes won't be static either, improving their own product. Innovation doesn't only exist in one direction.
Bottom line is I think it would take a real miracle breakthrough to be disruptive. Toyota is working on solid state batteries too, but they are also years away from sales, while the Chinese eat their lunch. Both Toyota's and Mercedes' current EV offerings are mediocre as well, the rest of their tech isn't up to much.
Meh, as someone who has seen the best and worst of Chinese EV's I wouldn't exactly go to town bragging about the mini-Tesla's either. In case you're missing it, I'm using Tesla as a derogatory item here. I have always found Tesla's, at best, to be overpriced cars with worse fit and finish, often with as many problems, as a low end, early 70's, AMC. The Chinese BEV's often are, at the least, interesting. However China didn't ban them from using self-driving (or similar) in advertising for nothing.
Then again I jokingly refer to many Mercedes as "service department queens."