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Comment Re:Why? (Score 2) 85

Your reference is from March 17, 2020, which means that it is grossly outdated.

It doesn't make sense to compare the "crude mortality ratio" (usually called the case fatality rate) for two diseases, because the case fatality rate depends heavily on the proportion of asymptomatic infections and how much testing is taking place. To accurately compare fatality, you need to consider the infection fatality rate, not the case fatality rate. For COVID-19, there are an extremely high number of asymptomatic infections; only about 15% of infections go detected. We now know that the infection fatality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere close to 0.6%, which makes it about 5-10x deadlier than seasonal influenza, although impacts differ by age group.

It also doesn't make sense to say what the R0 for a virus is without context... R0 is not an implicit aspect of the virus; it depends explicitly on population density, control measures, the proportion of the population that is already infected or immune, etc. The entire purpose of lockdown, masking, and all the other control measures was to get the R0 below zero so that infections would decrease. Further, the R0 was probably much higher than was initially suggested because asymptomatic infections were spreading rapidly and went undetected.

Comment Re:I don't think it matters what you sign (Score 0) 171

And where did the "government agency" get the money from?
That's right, the taxpayers.

Generally, no. The business is fined a multiple of the wages illegally not paid, and the employee is paid from those.

So, the employee is paid by the employer, and the rest of the fine goes towards funding the government agency.

Comment Re:I'd move to Toronto in a heartbeat. (Score 0) 161

How exactly does one "plan on going" private in Ontario with health care when providing private health care is essentially illegal?

Private dental, mental, and prescription coverage, but you can go private for many doctors, too.

I use EQ virtual, but there are other apps that can basically do the same thing. It's illegal to see Ontario doctors for a fee, but it's perfectly fine to see doctors from any other province, and for $50 I can be seen in an hour or two. I also see clinics when I travel to the US - it's cheaper to pay the doctors to prescribe me medication there and fill it there than it is to fill it here. Plus, the clinics are willing to actually prescribe things like migraine medication and ADHD medication without simply telling me that I'll have to see a specialist, where I have to wait 3 months just to get an appointment.

United States

Hearing Loss of US Diplomats In Cuba Is Blamed On Covert Device (bostonglobe.com) 224

bsharma shares a report from The Boston Globe: The two-year-old U.S. diplomatic relationship with Cuba was roiled Wednesday by what U.S. officials say was a string of bizarre incidents that left a group of American diplomats in Havana with severe hearing loss attributed to a covert sonic device. In the fall of 2016, a series of U.S. diplomats began suffering unexplained losses of hearing, according to officials with knowledge of the investigation into the case. Several of the diplomats were recent arrivals at the embassy, which reopened in 2015 as part of former President Barack Obama's reestablishment of diplomatic relations with Cuba. Some of the diplomats' symptoms were so severe that they were forced to cancel their tours early and return to the United States, officials said. After months of investigation, U.S. officials concluded that the diplomats had been exposed to an advanced device that operated outside the range of audible sound and had been deployed either inside or outside their residences. It was not immediately clear if the device was a weapon used in a deliberate attack, or had some other purpose.

Comment Re:Woman dominated professions? (Score 2) 642

Industrial welders can make six-figures easily. (Work on an oil rig.) Truck drivers and heavy machinery operators also.

And PS, so can nurses (at least in much of Canada), with just a bit of overtime.

Are you that white-collar that you have no idea that blue-collar people can actually earn quite well?

Submission + - Google may be in trouble for firing James Damore 1

taustin writes: Whether Demore is right or wrong, whether one agrees with him or not, Google may have legal trouble for firing him.

Employees are protected by federal law when they discuss working conditions with other employees (and this was an internal memo). His memo could be considered whistle blowing, which is also protected (and it is very clear that he was fired as retribution). And, in California, political opinions are protected in the work place as well.

Just because one side is wrong doesn't mean the other side is right.

Submission + - SPAM: North Korea now making missile-ready nuclear weapons

schwit1 writes: North Korea has successfully produced a miniaturized nuclear warhead that can fit inside its missiles, crossing a key threshold on the path to becoming a full-fledged nuclear power, U.S. intelligence officials have concluded in a confidential assessment.

The new analysis completed last month by the Defense Intelligence Agency comes on the heels of another intelligence assessment that sharply raises the official estimate for the total number of bombs in the communist country’s atomic arsenal.

Link to Original Source

Submission + - Google Fires Author of Divisive Memo on Gender Differences (bloomberg.com)

An anonymous reader writes: Alphabet Inc.’s Google has fired an employee who wrote an internal memo blasting the web company’s diversity policies, creating a firestorm across Silicon Valley. James Damore, the Google engineer who wrote the note, confirmed his dismissal in an email, saying that he had been fired for “perpetuating gender stereotypes.” Earlier on Monday, Google CEO Sundar Pichai sent a note to employees that said portions of the memo “violate our Code of Conduct and cross the line by advancing harmful gender stereotypes in our workplace.” But he didn’t say if the company was taking action against the employee. A Google representative, asked about the dismissal, referred to Pichai’s memo. Damore’s 10-page memorandum accused Google of silencing conservative political opinions and argued that biological differences play a role in the shortage of women in tech and leadership positions. It circulated widely inside the company and became public over the weekend, causing a furor that amplified the pressure on Google executives to take a more definitive stand. After the controversy swelled, Danielle Brown, Google’s new vice president for diversity, integrity and governance, sent a statement to staff condemning Damore’s views and reaffirmed the company’s stance on diversity. In internal discussion boards, multiple employees said they supported firing the author, and some said they would not choose to work with him, according to postings viewed by Bloomberg News.

Comment This won't fix anything (Score 5, Insightful) 137

There's a trade-off between sensitivity and specificity. If you increase the threshold for "significance", you reduce the power to discover a significant effect when it truly does exist.

And a major part of the problem with scientific studies is that they are already underpowered. According to conventional wisdom, ideally, scientists should strive for a power of about 80% (i.e., an 80% chance of detecting an effect if it truly exists), but very few studies actually achieve power of this level. In many fields, the power is less than 50% and sometimes much less.

Underpowered studies result in two major problems:
1) Most obviously, an underpowered study results in a greater number of FALSE NEGATIVES. You fail to find a true effect. You will either publish your incorrect result of no effect. (And why should we consider published false positives to be any worse than false negatives?) Alternatively, perhaps you don't publish your study because you couldn't reach significance. This exacerbates the "file-drawer effect" and also results in wasted research dollars because the results aren't published.
2) Somewhat counterintuitively, underpowered studies are often also more likely to result in FALSE POSITIVES. This is because, when your power to detect a true effect is low, and if you test a large number of effects that are unlikely to be null, most of the hypotheses that you say are "significantly" non-null will actually be false positives. We would say that the "false discovery rate" tends to be very high when the power is low.

Reducing the level of significance will do little to address these problems, and in some cases may even exacerbate the problem.

The key is *to move away from the binary concept of "significance" altogether*. It's obviously artificial to have an arbitrary numerical cutoff for "matters" vs. "doesn't matter", and this is not what Ronald Fisher intended when he popularized the p-value or developed the concept of "significance".

What we should be doing is measuring and reporting effect sizes along with their credible intervals. While using priors that are based on our real state of knowledge. In other words, we should be doing Bayesian statistics.

Submission + - Why You Shouldn't Trust Geek Squad (networkworld.com)

An anonymous reader writes: The Orange County Weekly reports that Best Buy's "Geek Squad" repair technicians routinely search devices brought in for repair for files that could earn them $500 reward as FBI informants. This revelation came out in a court case, United States of America v. Mark A. Rettenmaier. Rettenmaier is a prominent Orange County physician and surgeon who took his laptop to the Mission Viejo Best Buy in November 2011 after he was unable to start it. According to court records, Geek Squad technician John "Trey" Westphal found an image of "a fully nude, white prepubescent female on her hands and knees on a bed, with a brown choker-type collar around her neck." Westphal notified his boss, who was also an FBI informant, who alerted another FBI informant — as well as the FBI itself. The FBI has pretty much guaranteed the case will be thrown out by its behavior, this illegal search aside. According to Rettenmaier's defense attorney, agents conducted two additional searches of the computer without obtaining necessary warrants, lied to trick a federal magistrate judge into authorizing a search warrant for his home, then tried to cover up their misdeeds by initially hiding records. Plus, the file was found in the unallocated "trash" space, meaning it could only be retrieved by "carving" with sophisticated forensics tools. Carving (or file carving) is defined as searching for files or other kinds of objects based on content, rather than on metadata. It's used to recover old files that have been deleted or damaged. To prove child pornography, you have to prove the possessor knew what he had was indeed child porn. There has been a court case where files found on unallocated space did not constitute knowing possession because it's impossible to determine who put the file there and how, since it's not accessible to the user under normal circumstances.

Comment Re:I'd settle for taking away the concussion grena (Score 0, Troll) 147

This "grenade" story is not at all true.

Her arm was blown off by a propane-tank IED built by the protesters. The remains of the tanks were confiscated after the explosion, and her clothing was taken for testing.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11...
http://bearingarms.com/bob-o/2...

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