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Journal Journal: AI is a liar

A new white paper from Stanford University suggests that AI has now learned a trick from social media platforms: Lying to people to increase audience participation and engagement (and thus spend more tokens, earning more money for the cloud hosting of AI).

Comment Re: I'm rooting for it!! (Score 3, Insightful) 134

To get an SLS-equivalent payload to the lunar surface, it will take 8-16 Starship launches

You're extremely confused. SLS cannot land on the moon in the way that the (lunar variant) Starship can. It can only launch Orion to the moon. Orion is 8 meters tall and 5 meters in diameter. Starship is 52 meters tall and 9 meters in diameter. These are not the same thing.

SLS/Orion missions are expected to cost approximately $4,2B each. If you fully disposed of every Starship, the cost for 8-16 launches would be $720M-$1,44B. But of course the entire point is to not dispose of them; the goal is to get it down to where, like airplanes, most of the cost is propellant. The propellant for a single launch is $900k. Even if they don't get anywhere near propellant costs, you're still looking at orders of magnitude cheaper than a single SLS/Orion mission.

Comment Re: I'm rooting for it!! (Score 4, Informative) 134

By far, most of SpaceX's launches are for Starlink, which is self-funded.
Nextmost is commercial launches. SpaceX does the lion's share of global commercial launches.
Government launches are a tiny piece of the pie. They don't "subsidize" anything, they're just yet another minor revenue stream.

The best you can say is that they charge more for government launches, but everyone charges more for government launches than commercial launches. You can argue over whether that's justified or not (launch providers have to do a lot of extra work for government launches - the DoD usually has a lot of special requirements, NASA usually demands extra safety precautions, government launches in general are more likely to want special trajectories, fully expended boosters, etc), but overall, the government is a bit player in terms of launch purchases.

Comment Re:Car manufacturers are correct (Score 0) 102

Trump printed and handed out cash during COVID, that is socialism. It's a stupid form of socialism, but that's what it is.

Bush Junior passed and introduced the following:

1. Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Benefit (2003)
Largest expansion of federal welfare since 1965.
Added a new entitlement program without funding.
Taxpayers cover pharmaceutical costs for seniors.
Price negotiation blocked which transferred public money to private drug companies.
Long-term cost estimated over 1 trillion USD.

2. No Child Left Behind Act (2002)
Centralized federal control over education.
Took power from states and local school boards.
Tied federal funding to test results.
Expanded the Department of Education budget by 60 percent.

3. TARP Bank Bailouts (2008)
Socialized Wall Street losses.
Government purchased troubled assets and equity in failing banks.
Public money used to save private firms.
Risk transferred from private investors to taxpayers.

4. Nationalization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (2008)
Federal government seized control of two huge mortgage companies.
Socialized hundreds of billions in mortgage losses.
Largest nationalization in U.S. history.

5. Federal Takeover of AIG (2008)
Government took 80 percent ownership.
Public funds used to pay private insurance contracts.
Direct state ownership of a corporation.

6. Steel Tariffs (2002)
Protectionist economic intervention.
Used federal power to interfere with free markets.
Forced consumers to pay higher steel prices to protect an industry.

7. Expanded Farm Subsidies (2002 Farm Bill)
Increased federal agricultural payouts by 190 billion USD over 10 years.
Direct wealth transfers from taxpayers to farmers.
Expanded central planning in agriculture.

Those are all socialist policies, they are a big state, interventionist, entitlement growing policies.

Senior Bush

1. Americans with Disabilities Act (1990)
Large federal mandate on private businesses and local governments
Forced costly compliance without funding
Expanded federal regulation of the labor market

2. Clean Air Act Amendments (1990)
Massive expansion of federal control over industry
Centralized environmental rules and enforcement
Imposed new costs through regulation and fines

3. Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (1990)
Raised federal taxes by 137 billion USD
Increased top income and corporate tax rates
Expanded federal spending rather than cutting programs

4. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act (1991)
Increased federal power over banks
Allowed government intervention in failing institutions
Moved risk from private investors to taxpayers

5. Savings and Loan Bailout Continuation
Continued Resolution Trust Corporation actions started under Reagan
Used taxpayer money to rescue failed financial institutions
Socialized private banking losses

6. Immigration Act of 1990
Increased legal immigration by 40 percent
Expanded government-administered labor quotas and visa programs
Managed labor supply through federal policy

7. Transportation Equity Act (1991)
Large federal spending on infrastructure
Expanded federal role in transportation planning
Increased dependency of states on federal funding

Whatever you want to call him, this guy increased the size of the government, introduced socialist policies, expanded federal control over business and banking. He did more to give government power over private enterprise since Nixon.

Reagan

1. Savings and Loan Bailouts
Used taxpayer money to rescue failed financial institutions
Created the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation bailout framework
Socialized private banking losses
Set precedent for future bailouts

2. Military Keynesianism
Massive deficit-funded military buildup
Defense spending increased 40 percent
Government spending guided industrial output
Economic growth driven by public debt instead of private investment

3. Tax Reform Act of 1986
Flattened tax rates but also expanded government direction of the economy
Removed many private deductions
Strengthened IRS enforcement powers
Increased tax burden on working and middle class through payroll taxes

4. War on Drugs Centralization
Large expansion of federal police powers
Federal control over local law enforcement through funding and mandates
Increased federal spending and bureaucracy
Directed social behavior through state coercion

5. Export Controls and Trade Intervention
Limited high-tech exports
Imposed sanctions and trade barriers
Government interference in private trade decisions

6. Protectionist Trade Action
Restricted Japanese car imports
Imposed tariffs on motorcycles to assist Harley-Davidson
Protected domestic industries with federal action
Violated free market principles

7. Social Security Rescue Plan of 1983
Raised payroll taxes
Increased government control over retirement income
Forced workers to pay more for a mandatory public program

8. Farm Lending and Subsidy Support
Expanded federal loan guarantees to farmers
Federal aid to agriculture during the farm debt crisis
Transferred risk from private banks to taxpayers

He was a so called pro free market guy, who really expanded the role of the government, grew public debt, expanded federal police powers, abused tariffs, bailed the banks out, expanded SS.

AFAIC all of these are basically Marxists, never mind socialists. I would not allow any of these people to run a corner store, never mind a country.

Comment Re:Car manufacturers are correct (Score -1) 102

The Telegraph - this one talks about China and its complete automation of production lines, speed to manufacture and deliver the final product. The West is done, it cannot compete, I wrote this here decades ago, once the West loses its manufacturing due to inflation, money manipulation, regulations and taxation, it will lose its engineering and then its education and science. In any case, what the West lost a long time ago is its ability to manufacture anything quickly and cheaply, its ability to manufacture anything domestically because of all of the combined costs, rules, laws, taxes, basically the cost of government and all of the socialism.

The West cannot manufacture because socialism cannot produce, it can only consume, that's how the USSR died as well, this is the path for the West if it doesn't reform and it won't.

Comment Re:You get what you pay for. (Score 1) 25

The irony of the two stories being together on the front page, "More Screen Time Linked to Lower Test Scores For Elementary Students" and "Microsoft to Provide Free AI Tools For Washington State Schools" is just too good to fail to mention.

And so I'm replying to the both First Posts with it.

Comment Re:Being a screen nazi was my best decision (Score 1) 46

The irony of the two stories being together on the front page, "More Screen Time Linked to Lower Test Scores For Elementary Students" and "Microsoft to Provide Free AI Tools For Washington State Schools" is just too good to fail to mention.

And so I'm replying to the both First Posts with it.

Comment Re:Can anyone here back this up? (Score 2) 76

In my experience it is, how effective it is is directly proportional to preexisting project complexity when the commands are run. The bigger the project, and the more parts that are interfacing together, the worse it performs. But for small, simple projects and creating frameworks, it can be amazing.

Comment Re:But WHERE? (Score 3, Funny) 76

I'm not sure what "Building the Metaverse" is supposed to even mean anymore. Is he still obsessed with Ready Player One fantasies?

I mean, if he's just talking about generating 3d assets and the like, then maybe? AI 3d model generation is pretty useful if you don't care about every tiny detail matching up to some specific form. For example, I used an AI tool to make an image of an ancient mug with cave-art scrawled around its edges. It got the broad shapes of the model right, but had trouble with the fine engravings, making a lot of them part of the texture rather than the shape, but overall it was good enough that I just left off the engravings, had it generate a mug without them, then re-applied them with a displacement map. It got all the cracks and weathering and such on the mug really nice, and the print came out great after post-processing (cold-cast bronze + patina & polishing).

(I ended up switching from cave art to Linear A, because I also plan to at some point make a Linear B mug so that I can randomly offer guests one of the two mugs, have them rate it, and thus conduct Linear A-B Testing)

Comment Re:Great. Another App-dependent widget. (Score 1) 48

It's so easy to get tempted into feature bloat these days. You need a microcontroller for some simple set of features, like doing PWM control on a fan and handling a rotary switch, so you get something like a Seeed Studio XIAO ESP32S3 that's the size of a thumbnail and costs like $10, but then all of the sudden you have way more processing, memory capacity, pins, etc than you need, and oh hey, you now have USB, Bluetooth, and WiFi, and surely you should at least do SOMETHING with them, right? But the hey, for just a little bit of extra cost you could upgrade to a XIAO ESP32S3 Sense, and now you have a camera, microphone, and SD card, so you can do live video streaming, voice activation, gesture recognition... .... it really creeps up on you, because there's so much functionality in cheap, small packages today.

The irony though is that nobody really seems to bundle together everything one needs. Like, could we maybe have such a controller that also has builtin MOSFETs, USB + USB PD charging, BMS (1S-6S) functionality, and maybe a couple thermocouple sensors? Because most small devices need all these basic features, and it's way more cost, space, weight and effort to integrate separate components for all of them. The best I've found is a (bit overbuilt) card that has USB + USB PD (actually 2 of each, and reverse charging support), BMS support (1-5S), one thermocouple sensor, and a small charging display - but no processor or MOSFETs.

Comment Re:Retention (Score 1) 48

Hashes would be perfect for this. Take the ID number, hash it, store the hash. If you need to verify, hash the ID number and compare it to the recorded one. Still no need to store _anything_ like an ID.

Also, don't hire third party companies to do it. They won't get it right. They never have. They never will. After all, it's not _them_ on the line if there is a breach. Somehow the third parties always seem to slip past the blame and liability and it all goes to the ones who hire them.

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