“Nuclear-powered vacuum cleaners will probably be a reality within ten years.” -Alex Lewyt, president of Lewyt vacuum company, 1955
“...machines will be capable, within twenty years, of doing any work a man can do.” - Herbert Simon, 1965
“In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being.” - Marvin Minsky, 1970 LIFE magazine
“Two years from now, spam will be solved.” - Bill Gates, 2004
"...within a decade my research group would reverse-engineer the human brain by using a supercomputer to simulate the brain’s 86 billion neurons and 100 trillion synapses." - Henry Markram, Israeli neuroscientist, 2009 TED Talk
"...computers will have human-level intelligence and will have all of the intellectual and emotional capabilities of humans, including “the ability to tell a joke, to be funny, to be romantic, to be loving, to be sexy." - Ray Kurzweil, 2014
"In ~2 years, summon should work anywhere connected by land & not blocked by borders, eg you're in LA and the car is in NY."" - Elon Musk, 2016
"From our standpoint, if you fast forward a year, maybe a year and three months, but next year for sure, we'll have over a million robotaxis on the road." - Elon Musk, 2019
McKinsey predicted a 30–50 percent productivity improvement for nurses, a 5–9 percent reduction in health care costs, and health care savings in developed countries equal to up to 2 percent of GDP using IBM Watson - 2017 WSJ
“If you define AGI as smarter than the smartest human, I think it’s probably in the next year. Like within two years,” - Elon Musk, 2024