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Comment Re:Cloth diapers? (Score 1) 23

For our first kid, we used resuable. Reusable diapers mean you must do laundry every day. Even if you have enough diapers that you can skip a day, longer than that, and the odor becomes intolerable. So, for the most part, it's laundry every frelling day, and you cannot do something like forget to move it to the dryer.

That relentlessness, on top of sleeplessness, on top of full-time job, meant hubby put his foot down for kid number 2, and we switched to disposables. It wasn't about convenience, it was about sanity.

Now, if you are fortunate enough to have someone helping you with your kids for an extended period, perhaps a professional housekeeper, then washables are a viable option.

Comment Re:I thought this could be good, until... (Score 2) 45

As someone who knows how to solve a cube, but isn't very fast, I thought this might be quite a good thing to buy. My assumption was that it might help me learn some algorithms for faster solving. That was until I figured out what was nagging me... 24 displays? But.. a cube has 54 faces, not 24? And then, clicking on the link, I saw it. It's a 2x2 cube, not a 3x3. Who would be "puzzled" by a 2x2 cube? Awful.

Come back when it's 3x3 and I'll buy one.

A book / web site will give you likely better training on new algorithms than an overpriced, needlessly complex gadget (should they ever release a 3x3), and will be more cost-effective. In all, this is a product that won't have much of a market. ... but you'd think about spending hundreds of dollars to get a little better at cube solving? Why not take that money and do something really good with it, like give it to some charitable organization? Even if you just give it to your local elementary school science / tech teacher for supplies, you'll be improving the lives of dozens of kids. You'd be surprised what they can do with a few hundred dollars.

Comment Re:Putzes Across America (Score 4, Interesting) 84

You've got the elements of the answer right in your comment. Workers in Asia mold plastic with machines at the rates of thousands of pieces an hour. Your hypothetical American putz is making widgets by hand.

Manufacturing costs are no longer primarily driven by labor. They're driven by level of automation, where America has fallen far behind.

We can argue until the cows come home as to the effectiveness of an isolationist stance for bringing manufacturing back to the US. The only thing that will drive on-shoring for certain is a sea change in the way US corporations are managed, by de-incentivising short-term gains. There may be some good ideas in that realm, but I haven't heard them yet.

Comment Re:Plastics. The answer is microplastics (Score 1) 171

Microplastics are this generations lead in gasoline. Crappy processed food would be the second culprit, followed by vaping and whatever crap goes into that.

So, can you pay me all that research money now?

Those are great hypotheses. Now prove them likely true with preliminary evidence that is rigorously collected so that it might be duplicated by others, and then you get a shot at research money. With that research money, you then need to perform additional data collection and hypothesis testing in a way that, again, is rigorous, using tools and techniques that are widely available, so that others can duplicate and extend your findings. And if the additional data you collect shows that you were wrong, then go back to square one.

Why? Because we need to be certain that the answers are correct before spending massive resources on addressing them. Otherwise we're just pissing in the wind.

Additional hypotheses that have been tossed around here include the massive increase in sedentary behaviors that are well-documented, the reduced vitamin D that comes with lack of sunlight exposure, the lower immunological development that comes from reduced social contact, etc. There are lots and lots of hypotheses. Let's see some data.

Me? My money is on low-grade vitamin D deficiency, weakening the immune system.

Comment Re:How is that even legal (Score 1) 55

You cannot be considered to be opted in without your conscent. Why is not everyone suing?

It's hard to imagine that their stance will survive legal challenge, but with essentially infinite money, they must have good lawyers who have done the relevant risk analyses.

One aspect of which I can imaging being that once they have trained on copyrighted work, it's effectively impossible to *untrain* the network, so they might be required to pay some modest royalty, but will be able to argue that it is technically / financially infeasible to remove said material.

Comment Re:Consensus (Score 2) 54

The only real purpose for a clay pot is to store plant food. meat doesn't keep in pots and water goes stale in pots.

Well, that sounds very much like, "I can't think of a way it could be otherwise, so it must be true." Here are some counter-examples:

Smoked and dried meat keeps indefinitely.
Salted meat keeps indefinitely.
Water in a slightly porous jug is cooled from evaporation, making it more refreshing.
Snow and ice in a clay pot melts into water when near a fire.
Clay pots are excellent for carrying things from point A to point B, no matter what they are.

And that's with 30 seconds of thinking. Thus, I assert that your assumptions are incorrect.

Comment Re:No 1st amendment (Score 1) 153

This is no different than requiring the manufacturer to include a warning about the stove tipping over if there is no anti-tipping bracket installed. Consumers are being warned of the issue.

If they're going to whine about this, might as well whine about every other warning they are required to provide with their product.

Ah, my favorite among such is the warning from a hair drier I bought some years ago. It said: "do not use while sleeping."

Comment Re:Meanwhile... (Score 4, Informative) 40

If it is already paid for, why would it need further funding?

I can't tell if you're being intentionally dense or not, so I'll err on the side of naivete. The construction and operational validation has been paid for, which is the largest part of the cost. The ongoing costs are things like salaries, materials and supplies for subsequent operation, maintenance, and improvements, which are far smaller.

There is no scientist I have ever met who thought LIGO was, in the end, a poor choice of investment of national research funds. There were plenty prior to its stunning first detection (myself included) who thought they were chasing ghosts, but all of those doubters have been converted. The important thing to understand is that LIGO's contributions weren't just detection of a black hole merger (in itself, a hugely important event because it demonstrated the hypothesized existence of gravitational waves), but the establishment of a new field of astronomy based on gravitation, an entirely new means to observe the universe that provides information previously completely unobtainable. Our eyes have been opened where we were previously blind, and the ongoing results are, and continue to be, astounding.

There's a nice fact sheet summary at: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ligo.caltech.edu%2Fs...

Comment Re:I'm surprised! (Score 3, Interesting) 60

I've been using it to write grant applications, and I share your opinion. It frequently makes mistakes (and 5 is worse in many ways than 4o). While it can certainly be used to create a rough draft of a document, the result is similar to what you would expect from a junior associate, with the same kinds of mistakes that create an, "OMG, no," response in the reader when it starts to make things up.

There was a lot of talk about how rapidly it would accelerate in performance. That progress seems to have stalled this year. I have a hard time thinking that we've started to see the ultimate asymptote of performance, but it seems like we've hit a region where the easy, early gains have all been made.

Comment Re:Let's pretend it does (Score 1) 258

Even if manufacturing in America shoots up you're not going to see any jobs come from it because new factories are built fully automated.

It isn't just that new factories are fully automated, it's that they must be so in order to be competitive. The only way manufacturing in America can be competitive to manufacturing in low-wage / already-automated countries is through automation. The era of factories being built with lots of human employees is gone, and even in the industries we thought would never fall to automation, robotics is making significant inroads. Why? People are just too expensive.

Comment p-value of 0.079? (Score 1) 108

There is a lot of backlash against p-values. I won't enter that argument here.

But, accepted standards are that p-values need to be below 0.05 in order to be taken seriously in a biological study, and, even then, they aren't that strong until they get substantially smaller. (Note that in physics, they've been burned so many times by crappy significance values that the standard there is 5 sigma, or about p = 0.0000003.)

This paper, according to the summary, reported an effect at p = 0.079. That's substantially above p = 0.05. Me, I probably wouldn't publish anything at that p-value, but take my licks and move on to the next study, having learned how to design better experiments.

Comment Re:But Fox News told me that... (Score 2) 186

In developed economies, public transport is never too expensive to take because of high energy costs, and rides don’t take two hours due to high energy costs. Those bad outcomes are the result of political choices to prioritise private transport at the expense of public transport.

In the US, bus rides take far more time than driving because of the very frequent stops. Where I live, many urban bus lines stop every two blocks, suggesting that there's some underlying requirement that a passenger need not walk more than a block to the bus, which I find to be an absurdly low bar. Frequent stops not only make the bus ride take longer, they shatter any hope of the vehicle being efficient, importantly including the metric of particulate emissions from brakes and tires.

The subway, where I live, when underground, stops every half mile or so. When above-ground, it starts to act like a bus, again, which, again, is absurd, and deleteriously impacts both service quality and efficiency.

Until the number of stops for buses and trams is reduced, there's no possible way to make above-ground public transportation time-efficient for passengers, even with dedicated lanes on the road.

Comment Re:"Wharton Professor of Management" (Score 1) 209

Another paid "expert" who can go fuck himself. All safe and tenured and cocooned in his little cozy ivory tower. He's safe, no matter what damage his bleating and writing cause.

The only people who are being hurt by people working remote is office real-estate owners. Now, are we really supposed to feel sorry for them?

No, of course not. Fuck 'em. May they lose their shirts.

Why the venom towards academia?

More importantly, why is this post not marked 0: Flamebait? It's an ad-hominem attack based on almost no information, and certainly not an objective assessment of the interview or the book.

Yes, office real-estate owners are suffering right now. Know who else is? Everyone who has a 401k or pension fund that's invested in REITs, which is the vast majority of them, and thus, a heapload of people with pension funds. Does that justify a hypothetical ginning-up of RTO opinion? No, but attacking real-estate owners are deeply evil is stabbing oneself (or your siblings, parents, aunts, uncles, etc) in the foot. Don't have a retirement plan yourself? Well, that's just poor planning.

Why such disdain for experts? Are you not an expert in something? Do you not have skills that rise above others in some domain? Do you think your opinion on those matters are valuable, and if so, why can't someone else have a valuable opinion on their domain of expertise? If you need legal advice, do you not seek out someone who has spent years studying the law? If you need work done on your car, do you not seek out someone with years of experience with your model? If you need heart surgery, don't you want your surgeon to have done that operation thousands of times? If you fly in a plane, don't you want the pilot to have many thousands of hours of experience?

Or do you somehow think that being an expert in some field automatically means classification as an idiot? I pity anyone who thinks that to be true, because they don't realize how much they benefit from expertise every minute of every day.

Comment Re:Pedantic (Score 1) 108

I'm always trying to sleep when aurora displays might be visible in-flight, but thanks for the fantastic idea, should insomnia ever strike.

Flying westward, I was fortunate enough once to have had a window seat with a flight path that just kissed the southern tip of Iceland or Greenland (I'm not sure which). It was a brilliantly clear day, and you could see the flow lines of the glaciers and where they calve off into the ocean. It was one of the most beautiful natural scenes I have ever seen. Praise be to $diety, indeed.

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