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Comment Re:Curious (Score 1) 314

So Who'll .. do the tough jobs

I think that for most use-UBI-to-deal-with-AI advocates, the premise is that robots will do that, and presumably would already be doing it by the time UBI is enacted.

If this is a problem (i.e. robots can't do it yet, or they can't do it as economically as humans), then you're not in a post-work situation yet, so you can't have a post-work utopia yet.

Keep improving those robots! You're not done until unemployment is over 90%, and ideally not until 100% though that may be asymptotic.

Comment Re:The question is... (Score 0) 314

What does *he* envision a hypothetical scenario where AI has taken over an extremely large amount of the labor?

Your question wouldn't make any sense to him or any other Trump supporter. Let me rephrase it so that it can be answered by MAGA.

What does he envision, in a scenario where the people Trump currently steals from, no longer have anything to steal? How does a thief find new victims once the old ones are used up?

I think the best MAGA answer to that, is that someone will own the AIs, and reap the "wages" that the AIs earn. Steal from them, because they'll have something to steal. AI will be no different than anything else which changes the distribution of prey: you just gotta keep up with who and where the prey are.

Comment Vibe Coding is not the same as coding with AI (Score 5, Interesting) 79

These are two different things.

Coding with AI assistance is what a software developer does who is using AI to a greater or lesser extent to help in their work. The end result is expected to be code that the developer understands (whether they wrote it themselves or not) and that meet the project's standards for code quality and such.

Vibe coding is someone using AI to build a relatively simple application that they would not have either the capability or the time to build on their own, generally to meet a specific use-case or "scratch an itch" that would otherwise go unscratched. In this case, the developer may or may not have any relevant software development skills, and does not need to understand or even read the generated code. If something doesn't work as expected, they give the AI further instructions to hopefully solve it. The end result does not meet any particular coding standards, and is likely not good quality maintainable code, but in many cases it gets the job done.

As a tool to enable non-developers to self-serve a solution for some relatively simple use-cases, i see vibe coding as somewhat analogous to excel or other applications that allow non-developers to build stuff that solves their problem, without writing code themselves. The excel formulas and automations that lurk in the giant spreadsheets that are passed around non-tech workplaces might make a software engineer scream in horror, but most of the time they get the job done.

Comment Re:Proving the concept (Score 1) 47

Every single ride is more data for them to work with and more money to do research with

The problem is they don't need to repeat the same boring, uneventful drive over and over again. They need more data on fringe cases - like a deer suddenly darting onto the road - and those are unusual and high-risk cases that often result in vehicle damage or injury. Shuttling people back and forth across the same route over and over again isn't really that useful for expanding to different routes or new environments where these fringe cases are more likely to occur.

They're not running a bus service. They're not shuttling people back and forth on the same route: they're operating in large, complex cities where all sorts of things happen. In the end it's a numbers game, there will be many boring rides, and once in a while a few novel things will happen.

Comment Re:The way to fight this. (Score 1) 192

If people boycotted the expensive software options for one year and slammed the IRS with paper forms, this would be reversed post haste.

If we did that, do you know how much it would inconvenience every House member and Senator?

None at all. Their lives will be as damaged as a bulldozer that just ran over Arthur Dent.

Comment Re:just stop (Score 1) 192

Reforming the tax code will cause some people to pay less tax and some other people to pay more.

Whatever your approach, the people who would end up paying more, think your "reform" idea is stupid and evil. I don't remember all their detailed criticisms, but their overall tone was clearly unfavorable.

They hate it. They hate you. Why didn't you make someone else pay more instead?

Comment Re:The Stanford prison experiment (Score 1) 102

There weren't just problems with the "scientific inference" from the trial. The Stanford Prison Experiment was simply academic fraud. From the wikipedia page:

"the sadism and submission displayed in the SPE was directly caused by Zimbardo's instructions to the guards and the guards' desire to please the researchers. In particular, he has established that the guards were asked directly to behave in certain ways in order to confirm Zimbardo's conclusions, which were largely written in advance of the experiment."

Comment Re:Good idea, but it has its limits: $5 hammer (Score 5, Interesting) 46

I'm just going to say the usual thing I say whenever someone claims a $5 wrench undermines encryption:

You can't use a wrench on someone without them knowing you've done it. I can be intimidated, but I can't be intimidated without my knowledge!

So if you're a real mafia type, fine. You win, at least in a single attack. But you can't just monitor people for years with a $5 wrench. And even in a single attack, you've gotta commit to it and murder the target after torturing them for the key. If you fail to murder them, and if you're identifiable, then the victim gets to lawyer up and have laws and courts and stuff.

Wrenches can work, but they're overrated.

Comment Re:end the H1b visa program (Score 1) 76

More likely, end this program and US competitiveness on the international scene will decline, while companies hire the same people (who would have come here on an H1B) in other countries. That's what happened the first time we started to hit the H1B cap, during the dot-com boom: Microsoft for instance opened an office across the border in Vancouver and hired people there instead of in Seattle.

Our president is already working hard to make the US unattractive to top foreign talent who might attend or work at US universities. Do the same for private industry and the US will become a technological and economic backwater pretty quickly.

The US isn't magically entitled to be world leader in science, technology and business: it achieves that by attracting the top talent from around the world.

Comment Re:AI won't take your job? (Score 1) 76

There doesn't seem to be as big a competitive moat for AI model developers as was initially thought (that was I guess the lesson of the "deepseek moment"). If some leading labs raise prices excessively, customers may be able to switch to a different lab or just run a slightly smaller model locally for "free".

Comment Re:Unsurprising (Score 1) 76

Frankly, AI (more recent versions) puts out higher quality codes than some (not all) of the entry level people I see these days, and does it a lot faster. Granted, it should still be reviewed, but you need to review a lot of that code anyway. It's only going to improve, too. I'm wondering whether we get to a point where compilers are obsolete, and AI just generates pre-compiled and optimized binary blobs.

Even if AI can do that... who is going to review those binary blobs?

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