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Comment Re:Coal vs batteries (Score 2) 28

You're saying getting rid of coal power will make no measurable difference to CO2 at all?

Just so I have that clear what you're saying.

Lifecycle emissions analysis:
    Solar PV electricity + Li-ION BESS is on the order of 50 grams CO2-eq embedded emissions per kWh of electric energy.
    Coal electricity is on the order of 1,000 grams CO2-eq per kWh.

So coal is 20 times more CO2-emitting per unit of energy generated.

Yet you're claiming that if Australia, and other countries in the world reliant on coal-fired electricity, switched to renewables + energy storage there would be no measurable impact on CO2 emissions to the atmosphere.

Things that make you go hmmmmm.

Comment If only there was a way (Score 4, Insightful) 28

to hold these clowns and their descendants directly responsible for part of the costs of human economic and health losses due to anthropogenic global heating and consequent extreme and shifted climates and eco-system disruptions and impoverishments.

There should be a reverse trust-fund to allocate the blame, where leaders act against global heating mitigation in full knowledge (see IPCC reports) of the consequences.

Maybe that would stop a few from making grievously irresponsible decisions like this one,.

Comment Re:We're so fckd (Score 1) 28

There are several ways to make better use of excess peak solar power.

1) You can use 2000 to 3000km HVDC power transmission lines to ship it to where it's needed e.g. ship the power east west to different timezones where it's a different time of day. e.g. ship mid-afternoon peak solar to a place where it is late afternoon/evening hours peak demand.

2) You can use li-ion (or soon, sodium-ion) batteries, or vanadium redox flow batteries or liquid/gaseous CO2 storage, or thermal storage, or even very inefficient hydrogen electrolysis, storage, and fuel cells to store the excess energy til time of day needed. Even if you only store and return 40% to 80% of the excess energy, that's much better than curtailing the solar PV production due to negative prices or grid imbalances.

3) You can incent and signal and computer-control (energy manage) smart loads (such as EV chargers, HVAC/AC units, industrial loads) to consume more power during peak solar times and less when less solar is available.

Just use all three of these methods together and bingo bango bongo problem pretty much solved. All tried and tested and available technologies.

Comment Re: The days of stupidity in the US are over (Score 1) 224

Oil: good, guns: good! Oily guns: Best! Solar panels: Commie!

You've got to admit, the man is a comedic genius.

He's the no holds barred WWE heavyweight champion of the world in political comedic pantomime theatre.

It will be boring when he's gone... and of course uncomfortably hotter and wildfire smoky or flooded depending on where you live, but hey... that's what Americans voted for right?

Comment Re: AIs do not think. (Score 1) 121

The machine cannot understand.
But the computational process running on the machine (which considers some information, then decides based on that information which information to consider next) can.

It is the same (at sufficient abstraction level for comparison) with us.

What are we if not biological machines capable of complex information storage and processing?

Comment Re: AIs do not think. (Score 1) 121

You are wrong about this. It turns out that the associatively representing the statistics of syntactic relationships in large corpuses of written human expression is essentially capturing the semantics of the concepts and conceptual relationships of most interest and concern to humans in our collective history of learning and thinking about the world.

Thus the AIs are able to to traverse a model which is essentially a semantic network or knowledge base about the world and its entities, relationships, processes, situations, as perceived and prioritized by humans.

They have what they need to start thinking.

Comment Requirements and design skills? (Score 1) 121

The question that should concern us in the software dev field is how well are the best AIs progressing at
1. eliciting requirements from humans who have various degrees of vague understanding of what they want and even less understanding of what they really need, and
2. translating requirements into a system design with good characteristics (performant, future-proof, scalable architecture and component/tool/framework choices, fit-for-purpose, maintainable, adaptable design etc.)

Comment Inductive fallacy i.e. boiling frogs (Score 1) 121

You know the story of the frogs (which are cold-blooded) sitting in a pot of water and thinking everything is fine as the temperature of the water rises and rises, until one minute, the water boils. i.e. an analogy about the dangers of unanticipated phase changes.

Just because you've been able to say "see, it's not different this time" several times in the past does not mean that I will be wrong when I say "It's different this time!"

The difference is that the cognitive capability and ready-to-hand, exploitable information access of AIs are approaching and surpassing or have surpassed an increasing chunk of the bell curbe of humans' capabilities this time, rather rapidly.

Comment WTF does AGI have to do with generating profits? (Score 1) 61

AGI means Artificial General Intelligence.

-Something that can learn and build compressed models and reason in arbitrary new domains.
-Something that can use analogy / isomorphism to extend knowledge gained in one domain or situation or task to another.
-Something that can build over time, both specific episodic memories and generalized models including situation models, and including mathematics, in multiple domains, and can build associative memory which includes information both on specific domains and their constituents and rules and evolutions, and on the important relationships between domains, to assist in inter-domain reasoning extension.
-Something that can construct simulations of domains and situations/problems in them to reason about them including hypotheticals and plan formation, testing, selection.
-Something that can use associative search, reasoning, simulated scenario building and exploration (imagination) to be creative.
-Something that can have and execute general goals.
-Something that can generate and refine and evolve/adapt its own goals.
-Something which can model agents in the world and their minds/goals/needs etc and can thus conceive of, form specific, and execute co-operative action plans, and can understand the societal structures (memes) of social co-operation and efficiencies and effectivenesses gained therefrom, and can incorporate these into action plans and executions and evaluations.
-Something that can introspect about all this sort of thing, which may assist in improving and focussing goals, strategies, and learning methods and other reasoning and action techniques.

That's all. Easy peasy.

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