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Comment 2030, not 2028 (Score 1) 167

It'll take at least 5 years for China to pull ahead in semiconductors and commercial airliners, but otherwise Krugman's thesis is basically correct. And I hate agreeing with Krugman ...

The US will never catch up in cars, drones, batteries, solar panels. nuclear power, shipbuilding, steel, copper, aluminium, rare earths, or electricity generation.

Comment Re:Mass tourism? (Score 1) 41

45,000 delegates needs 100-200 plane-loads, and Belem only has one international airport. It'll be a crowded customs queue ...
I guess there'll be a lot of cheap airfares for outbound flights during the conference, because those planes will mostly be flying out empty.
But it's a 12-day event, and few people will stay the full 12 days, so I guess the load will be spread out a bit.

Comment Weaning China off CUDA (Score 3, Interesting) 52

It'll take a few years for Chinese GPUs to catch up with NVIDIA. But if Chinese firms are locked into the CUDA stack they'll have to keep buying NVIDIA anyway.

So I suspect the Chinese government is encouraging tech firms to stop using CUDA, so they can switch to Huawei or Cambricon chips at a later date.

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