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Comment Re:Too late (Score 1) 65

I've used ChatGPT to write code and Gemini to debug it. If you pass the feedback back and forth, it takes a couple iterations but they'll eventually agree that it's all good and I find that's about 90-95% of the way to where I need it to be. Earlier today I took a 6kb script that had been used as something fast and dirty for years - written by someone long gone from the company - and completely revamped it into something much more powerful, robust, and polished in both its code and its output. Script grew to about 20kb, but it's 10x better and I only had to make minor tweaks. Between the two, they found all sorts of hidden bugs and problems with it.

Comment Re:Energiewende (Score 1) 161

> We can argue over the number

No, I will not argue over objective facts. Sorry not sorry, your talking point are out of date.

> and why wouldn't you include taxes as that's what is paying for Energiewende?

Because taxes are policy and obscures the underlying true cost of the energy. Same is true for government subsidies, such as the ones France's nuclear power gets (which are also paid with taxes, but not taxes on the electricity, so it's even more hidden).
=Smidge=

Comment Re:Energiewende (Score 5, Informative) 161

> A reminder that Germany has spent over half a trillion Euros on Energiewende and still has one of the filthiest grids in Europe (>400g/kWh) and has among the highest electricity costs in the world

Your talking points are out of date. Germany's CO2 emissions have fallen to ~320g/kwh as of last year and not even *close* to the highest costs in the world. They're not even the highest cost in Europe until you include taxes... which are used to help fund the renewable buildout that's bringing emissions and overall costs down.

=Smidge=

Comment Re:claims (Score 2) 48

> The far more sensible way to view things when living in an infinite thermal bath of energy separated from absolute zero by a high value resistance is exergy defined as the available energy to do useful work.

We do not live in an infinite thermal bath of energy. It is, in fact, very very finite.

Exergy is based on the environment; Specifically, if you take some environment and bring the energy to equilibrium. This will be important in a bit, because you say a very dumb thing...

> Say the Carnot efficiency was maximized at 100C over room temperature of 300k, that would be 25% or 1-(300/400) because it penalizes you for the heat you got for free, the 300C

And there is the dumb thing.

You definitionally can not use any of the energy at 300C because that's your rejection temperature. You're not "using 100% of the heat energy you paid for" not only because you did not pay for the ambient heat, you have no mechanism in this scenario to move it to a lower temperature reservoir (and extract work from it) because it's already the lowest temperature in your system - by definition.

So yeah I guess "If you change the reality of the situation you can get different results" is technically true, but means nothing. You threw out the word 'exergy' (as if it was wholly unrelated to Carnot efficiency?!) and then quietly completely changed the parameters of the problem to do some bogus math. Exergy is about bringing a system's environment to equilibrium, and you tried to redefine the environment from a realistic and practical "Earth's surface" to a hypothetical "The entire universe."

> The earth has about 400k volts stored between its upper atmosphere and the ground where we live, with a net charge against true neutral of only a few volts making the surface voltage 200,000 or so. Your absolute electric car efficiency therefore goes from 200,800 volts to 200,000 volts never using the remaining potential to true neutrality.

For someone who claims to have a master's degree in mechanical engineering, I'd hope you'd have a better understanding that the Carnot Theorem only applies to heat engines and thermal gradients, not electromagnetic gradients.

Understanding that all voltages are relative, and that it makes no sense to use the average voltage between the ionosphere and the Earth's surface when evaluating anything other than discussing the voltage between the ionosphere and the Earths surface, is also something one should expect from someone with an advanced engineering degree.

> But thatâ(TM)s stupid because the current never flows to true neutral and canâ(TM)t flow to true neutral because of the giant resistor in the sky

It's stupid because even if it could flow from whatever the fuck "True neutral" is supposed to mean (midway point that is arbitrarily significant?), you're still dealing with a gradient that's tens of miles long but your car is only several feet high. Even if you created a conductive path to discharge the ionophere through your car, you'd still only get a fraction of a volt.

None of that is relevant here though, because you' don't use Carnot efficiency to describe something not operating with the flow of heat energy.

> So saying a thermodynamic process is effectively described in absolute terms by Carnot is just as silly as saying electric cars are less than 1% efficient.

Well no, because Carnot efficiency is a well established principle of thermodynamics - a direct consequence of the second law - that actually works in both theory and practice, and the electric car thing is some delusional bullshit you came up with. Big difference.
=Smidge=

Comment Democracy has failed? (Score 0) 265

I think it's safe to say that the European style of democracy, where for some reason every single decision is closely scrutinized and can be vetoed by just about anyone, and every industry is regulated to the point were any change is essentially impossible, and new industries are killed before they can even get off the ground, has turned out to be a bad idea, and the US should immediately turn away from these kinds of policies before we follow suit and become irrelevant.

Comment Re:I thought we were saving the planet? (Score 1) 195

> Under the proposed changes, I'll pay per mile. 50 miles per gallon means I'm driving about 42.5 miles a day. So 42.5 miles * $.027 = $1.1475 tax a day. $1.1475 * 365 = $418.8375 a year. So for bothering to drive a hybrid (how dare I!!!) I'll go from $189.873 up to $418.837. $419 / 190 = 221% increase in gas tax.

Meanwhile you're not paying for roughly $2400/yr in gasoline. If you were driving a gasoline vehicle at a typical 30mpg, your 42.5 miles per day would burn about 1.42 gallons which, at a statewide average cost of $4.569/gal, is $6.47 per day, or $2362.55 per year.

Your annual fuel cost savings decreases from $2172.68 to $1943.71.

So did your have a point or are you just bitter your free ride might be slowing down a tiny bit?

> The asshole in the 20mpg tank won't notice a difference

The asshole getting 20mpg is already paying almost ten times what you would be under the proposed tax at $0.228/mi at current state average gas prices, and I disagree that they won't notice that jump ~12%.

> YAY I'm so happy to be green

I should hope so with an extra 2 grand in your pocket every year over the alternative. Also FYI those higher registration fees are there to make up for the gasoline prices you're already not paying, which is nearly double the tax you'd be paying at the pump otherwise.

"They dropped the cover charge and made admittance to the bar free! How DARE they charge more for drinks!"
=Smidge=
/AND you probably claimed a tax credit buying that vehicle...

Comment Re:I thought we were saving the planet? (Score 1) 195

> why vehicle weight doesn't get mentioned in their idea

It's because the difference between 3000 and 4000 lbs is practically negligible. Yeah it's a 4th power relationship, but 3000 to 4000 lbs is about 3x the wear rate and 3 multiplied by practically nothing is still practically nothing.

Not to say I'm against including weight as part of the tax calculation, because it would incentivize people using smaller vehicles which helps in a lot of other ways.
=Smidge=

Comment Plainly obvious. (Score 1) 289

If you’ve ever tried to argue with an LLM, it quickly becomes obvious that they don’t even really know what words mean, and this article explains why. They don’t actually have any real life experiences to relate to those words. They’re not trying to understand the world, they aren’t even really exposed to the real world as a source of data, all they’re really trying to accomplish is arranging words into patterns that humans will find authentic and convincing. That’s the main thing these models are optimizing.

Comment Re:AI is terrible. (Score 1) 55

I've used them, I am well aware of what they are actually capable of, which is mostly expanding a small piece of text into a large one without adding anything of value. In most cases, it sounds like a highschool student trying to BS their way to meet a necessary word count without really engaging with the material. Trying to call it "superhuman" is actually hilarious.

Comment Re:AI is terrible. (Score 1) 55

Yeah, it seems like AI coding is totally misguided today. AI would be good for helping people with syntax, or identifying typos. Maybe you could use it to produce early demonstration versions of software to help set requirements, but using it to actually write code doesn't make sense for any kind of real product you intend to ship to customers, especially if security is any concern.

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