You're absolutely right about not needing degrees.

However, people without a degree have some sort of fear that they missed out on something without a degree. I tell them they didn't but are more reticent to switch jobs and look for better opportunities.

I disagree with you about other stuff you said but I don't want to get into that now.

I agree. Everybody falls in a bell curve but when in the instances an H1b comes out on top, the companies want the top candidate rather than rejecting the top candidate for a lower candidate that is not H1b. Not saying h1b is always better; but when they are better they are not rejected due to their h1b in favor of a local candidate.

On your second point, once you have someone who is already doing the job and doing well in it, there is very little reason to want to take on a new person. The law wants you to replace him/her but everybody would want to keep their co-worker. The law needs a reason to reject and people will find it.

Again, this is not in the spirit of the law though fine with the letter of the law.

I'm against H1b. It was initially created as a way for foreign workers to get into the US where local skill was not available. The green card was followed shortly afterwards and people would be in h1b for only a short time. The current way of students getting into h1b, Indians having decades long h1b etc is all bad and not in the spirit of how it was initially conceived. The path from working to green card and citizenship should be very very short.

It is to pay for the tax cuts and interest payments on the giant national debt.

DoE will be dissolved soon.

I find that older Indians are MAGA and Trump voters.

Why? I can't quite understand.

Maybe or maybe not.

First thing I do see happening, at least in the short term, is that major companies will open branches in India or another country and transfer the workers there. In this way, current projects will continue. Salaries will remain the same in the short term of 1-2 years.

In the long term, the geographical disconnection will require entire division to be shifted to India or hiring patterns to shift. This might cause AI to play an increasing role for projects. It will increase the salaries but only for a smaller and smaller set of workers. The average will go up but most will be concentrated on the few already working. It will be like the music majors; the top 1-2 get jobs or a handful of musicians can become successful and have huge careers while the rest do not have anything for them.

Or maybe, just like you said, the huge demand for developers and lack of workers can cause an increase in salaries.

Although I think the main beneficiaries will be small startups of 5-10 people who can put together a multi-million project up quickly esp with help of AI and then mega-corps will buy them out and throw the maintenance of the product to India.

The other huge x-factor is that if India stops the brain drain they could cause sharp increase in development in India. China is right there and they can ride off what the Chinese have achieved and build themselves as well.

Future is uncertain. This is a sudden wrench thrown in the system. It might break in unexpected ways or compensate and work in a different way.

One of the issues with tech jobs is that it's not simply about if you're qualified and can do the job; there is also how good are you at the skill. The 10x engineer is real; a better engineer can be highly highly more effective than a mediocre one.

The incentive for the tech companies is to hire the best candidate rather than just the qualified candidate.

This is where the issues crops up. You interview 10 people let's say and then the top choice is foreigner or H1b. Companies right now will hire the top choice and not prioritize the local candidate even though they don't rank at the top.

There is a provision in h1b where if you're qualified for a position and you see an h1b occupying it, you can take that person's job. The employer is required to give it to you. The job descriptions and requirements are all stored and archived in the DOL website. But, I have not heard of a single incidence of this happening.

If you look at Google's postings, the job description is so vague that anybody with a degree in that field can qualify. Yet nobody challenges it.

So, at least in the tech sector, it is designed to get the best candidate and then comply with whatever regulations are in place. This is perhaps not in the spirit of the law of prioritizing American workers but companies will prioritize their own productivity and do all the obligations necessary that the law requires.

People can substitute cars with ebikes so the poorer and frugal can use that for mobility. That is a big problem for the car industry, transportation industry and taxes collected.

If people don't drive cars, it is a major problem to the industries that are build around everyone driving cars.

Cars kill and injure people at unprecedented rates but that is just the price everyone is willing to pay.

This is why public transportation, cycling infrastructure was attacked and demonized all the time.

This is coming at a time when the car industry wants people to get into bigger and bigger cars.

As America gets older, the physical demands of sex are quite high. It is more enjoyable to watch porn and experience the same effects.

With endless streaming porn content, we have also solved the problem of getting bored by the same video or the problem of obtaining a video and being disappointed by the quality.

Yeah, let's get more bean counters to run Intel. Maybe an MBA from the agriculture industry would be perfect. Has worked so well so far for Intel.

We'll never learn communist ways. The people who advocate for universal health care, UBI etc are delusional.

We're moving further away from it. Even our medicaid and food stamps recipients are now require to submit proof of work rather than just lack of income. We will go more capitalist and we will privatize more government land and drill baby drill.

Meatbags use more water and electricity and gasoline (and produce a lot of nasty stuff).

This is with wisdom of hindsight.

When Huawei was banned, the expected result was that it would slowly fade into irrelevance. When the whole suite of bans came to Chinese phones and technologies and they disappeared from US, the expectorated result was the same as what happened with USSR and that the commercial sector for advanced technologies would dry up and would turn to the west to supply them and it would be a win for Apple and Samsung.

Even worse is going to a Coldplay concert. Worse than cheating on your wife. Shows that you have much deficiency in your character that you somehow ended up in that situation.

Coldplay should know better than to put their audience on the jumbotron. Every single person there would be embarrassed to be known to have attended a Coldplay concert.

Sounds like she's buttering us up for upcoming price hikes.

AMD stocks are doing well so I'm not mad.

They had "work permits" or "humanitarian parole" or whatever.

They just got their permits revoked.

So, nothing to do with ICE raids.