Journal leviramsey's Journal: Week 5 Picks 7
I hate primetime games. I pick the Vikes and the Broncs, and what happens?
Trying to set the debacle of last week behind me, I take solace in my picks doing much better when compared to the spread.
Entry edited by leviramsey, 2 October, 2002: I made some changes to my system for this week, and the results seem to be unreasonably large spreads... I have adjusted the offending aspects. Picks under the previous system are in parentheses
On with the picks:
- Arizona @ Carolina: CAR by 6 (unchanged)
- Cincinnati @ Indianapolis: IND by 24 (unchanged)
- New England @ Miami: MIA by 1 (NE by 3)
- NY Giants @ Dallas: DAL by 2 (NYG by 1)
- Oakland @ Buffalo: OAK by 13 (unchanged)
- Pittsburgh @ New Orleans: NO by 13 (unchanged)
- Tampa Bay @ Atlanta: TB by 5 (TB by 9)
- Washington @ Tennessee: TEN by 1 (WSH by 2)
- Kansas City @ NY Jets: KC by 10 (KC by 16)
- San Diego @ Denver: SD by 7 (unchanged)
- Philadelphia @ Jacksonville: JCK by 1 (PHI by 3)
- St. Louis @ San Francisco: SF by 14 (unchanged)
- Baltimore @ Cleveland: CLE by 3 (unchanged)
- Green Bay @ Chicago: GB by 4 (GB by 7)
Top 12 teams:
- Oakland
San Diego - Philadelphia
- New England
- Jacksonville
- Indianapolis
Miami
New Orleans - Tampa Bay
- Carolina
- Green Bay
Kansas City
Wow, those are big spreads! (Score:2)
Agreed, but I only give CAR 2 points.
Cincinnati @ Indianapolis: IND by 24
I am leary. Yeah, Cincinnati is sucking hard, but its tough to go 0-5. I'm thinking they may get their crap together for IND. I don't know if its a win, but I'm not giving IND (who hasn't played like, say, PHI) 24 points. IND by 7.
New England @ Miami: NE by 3
I like Miami in this matchup. Both teams are trying to rebound from embarassing upsets, but Miami is at home. MIA by 2.
NY Giants @ Dallas: NYG by 1
Dallas seems to have flashes of something great, but NY has a tough D, and Quincy should have trouble with them. NYG by 3.
Oakland @ Buffalo: OAK by 13
Oakland is having their way with easier teams. Buffalo is putting up great numbers against tough teams. Will Buffalo put Oakland in their place? I think so. Buf by 3.
Pittsburgh @ New Orleans: NO by 13
Sorry, steelers fan here. If Maddox gets another shot, it'll be an easier win. NO is hurting on the passing game (Stallworth is out, Horn is injured), and Pit knows how to stop the run. NO def isn't what it used to be. PIT by 7.
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta: TB by 9
Tampa had their way with Cincinnati, but they haven't seen anythign like Vick. ATL by 3.
Washington @ Tennessee: WSH by 2
Tough call, but Ten's D is washed up and hurt. WAS by 3.
Kansas City @ NY Jets: KC by 16
Give Priest the ball, and you've got a shutout. But its tough to call a game against someone doing terrible. You've seen how teams are working hard for wins (just look at week 4). KC by 14.
San Diego @ Denver: SD by 7
SD has been floating in undefeated glory. Denver will bring them back to earth with their running attack. DEN by 3.
Philadelphia @ Jacksonville: PHI by 3
Jacksonville has been very impressive, but PHI isn't going to be beat that easily. PHI by 7.
St. Louis @ San Francisco: SF by 14
When Warner went out two years ago (or was it last year?), Trent Green put up great numbers. Will Jamie Martin be able to get St.L out of their slump? Maybe, but I don't know if it'll be the rfirst week. But can San Francisco handle a super dosage of Marshall Faulk??? St.L by 3.
Baltimore @ Cleveland: CLE by 3
Baltimore showed its hardnosed D again. The brownies still have a clamp on the AFC North. I think they'll slip by this game. CLE by 3, also.
Green Bay @ Chicago: GB by 7
Tough call. GB got a run for its money with Carolina. Can the banged up bears hand them a loss? OT win by GB. GB by 3.
San Diego? (Score:1)
Get a grip. Seriously, man, we're worried about you.
Cle vs. Bal (Score:1)
And to agree with the other guy, I'd definitely put Philadelphia over San Diego.
Re:Cle vs. Bal (Score:1)
(I'm a rabid Balti-moron
Re:Cle vs. Bal (Score:2)
To those complaining about the Eagles (Score:2)
I will give you some insight into my power rankings (and this also applies to my picks). One major consideration is strength of schedule. The Chargers have not had a particularly strong schedule, until they beat the Patriots, which was a massive increase in schedule strength. The Eagles, though, have not beaten particularly good teams (the Redskins, Cowboys, and Texans, with a combined record of 4-7).
I totally suck at picking spreads... (Score:2)
Arizona gets a little more credit, CAR by 4
Cincinnati @ Indianapolis: IND by 24 (unchanged)
That's a little too big for me, IND by 7
New England @ Miami: MIA by 1 (NE by 3)
Miami's the home team. MIA by 1.
NY Giants @ Dallas: DAL by 2 (NYG by 1)
I think the Giants look unorganized though, DAL by 1
Oakland @ Buffalo: OAK by 13 (unchanged)
Buffalo gets way more credit, but Gannon's on fire. OAK by 6
Pittsburgh @ New Orleans: NO by 13 (unchanged)
Without Kordell, Pittsburgh will either stick with it, or totally flail. I'll go in the middle, NO by 5
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta: TB by 5 (TB by 9)
More credit to my ATL, but the Falcons still suck. TB by 3
Washington @ Tennessee: TEN by 1 (WSH by 2)
Yep
Kansas City @ NY Jets: KC by 10 (KC by 16)
I like your original pick, KC by 10
San Diego @ Denver: SD by 7 (unchanged)
Yep.
Philadelphia @ Jacksonville: JCK by 1 (PHI by 3)
I'll take PHI by 7
St. Louis @ San Francisco: SF by 14 (unchanged)
The Rams suck, but not that much. SF by 7
Baltimore @ Cleveland: CLE by 3 (unchanged)
Yep.
Green Bay @ Chicago: GB by 4 (GB by 7)
I like the original, GB by 4