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Comment Re:How long... (Score -1, Flamebait) 192

Yes and yes.

1. The strategy at the moment is that the CokeHead in Kiev assures that Ukraine fights till the last Ukrainian. WhiteHall and the White House both think that is that this will be as long as the Afghanistan affair for USSR. Will that be the case is yet to be seen. They are spectacularly off the mark both tactically and strategically so far - the Rouble is 200 only in Perfocard Granpa's wet dreams. In reality it is at the same mark as it was on the day the war started (75) and the way sanctions are formatted they actually result in a 100Bn investment package into Russia's economy per annum - more than the Marshall plan or the reunification of Germany. That is one "handsome punishment".

2. Everyone knows that there is cheaper gas outside the European market (f.e the differential versus USA is 500%), but it will take up to 5 years to build more LNG carrier or pipeline capacity.

In any case - this is all just a Boris jerk-off. The UK has failed to build one nuclear pant it has been working on for nearly 20 years now (Hinckley C). The idea that it will build 8 and build them in record time is utterly delusional. It is from the realm of "did Zelya share some Bolivian Marching Powder with his friend Boria".

Comment Re:How is that even possible... (Score 0) 152

By voluntarily surrendering the "helm". You cannot be at the helm if you put artificial limits on how your currency is used. Once you have put limits, other guys stop using you as a reserve currency and you are no longer at the helm.

We just call limits sanctions. They are indeed sanctions - sanctioning yourself.

Comment Re:Surely you're not serious (Score 1) 9

Yes. One or two apparently. Stuff like this used to be hosted in Holland. Some of it has been moving to Germany, because German police has started looking the other way regarding some of the activities related to Russian crime during the last 3-4 years.

Why? No idea. Statement of the fact - a lot of the phone fraud, net extortion, etc was being run through there.

Comment Re:Introduction to Realpolitik (Score 0) 95

There are two parts to the equation - launch capability and dock capability. USA has no dock capability - Crew Dragon does not have the facilities to aim for a docking port and dock. It is "towed" to the station by the robotic arm. That arm is on the Russian segment and if they depart it departs with them.

Comment Re:Introduction to Realpolitik (Score 1, Troll) 95

Rogozin did a very helpful diagram in February on his twitter exactly what will happen in this case. Russian segment detaches, USA segment is left in space.

What he left out of that diagram is that: NASA/EASA/JASA segment will not have a single working toilet, insufficient life support and only one docking port which is located amidst all other station infrastructure without an arm to bring any incoming craft and dock. The arm is on the Russian segment and only Russian vehicles have the ability to dock straight onto the dockports without being brought in by the arm.

Comment Re:Cancelling trades? That will destroy them. (Score 1, Flamebait) 104

Zero reason to use ANY exchange period.

They all operate on "virtual" commodities. That worked fine while there was no restrictions on commodity flows. In the presence of restrictions on commodity flows (sanctions, export limits, etc) the only guaranteed means to obtain a commodity is to shop directly with the seller. All exchanges as well as any money generated out of thin air in the exchange economy are dead. As a side effect - any control we used to have via the exchanges is dead too.

It is part of the world reverting from the dollar, euro and the pound to currencies backed by goods. This started as far back as the first overindulgence in sanctions by Obama. It accelerated to break-neck speed in the current crisis (there is a good article in the FT on this). We have elected terminal dumbf*cks which do not understand what is money and what is a commodity exchange. Money and transactions on commodity exchanges are promises which can be fulfilled with goods. If they cannot be fulfilled, they are what they are - empty promises. As a result people and corporations worldwide switch to the other guys money and/or trade directly bypassing the exchange, because his "promise" is backed by goods.

That is what is actually happening. Do not shoot the messenger - there is ample data to confirm that in the IMF paper.

Comment Re:Send pictures if possible (Score -1, Troll) 47

1.There is a quote in Bulgakov's timeless classic, Heart of a Dog : "Never read Soviet papers before lunch, they are bad for your digestion and will give you ulcer". In this case that would be: "Never read 72nd Ukrainian Information Warfare Unit (aka CIPSO) shite before lunch, you will get delusions similar to the coke-induced state of Ukrainian president". If any of these numbers were correct, there would be:
1.1. Up to 50K wounded (ratio of wounded to dead in modern combat is roughly 1:4 - same source you are quoting is stating 15000 dead). Where are they? That exceeds the total trauma and A&E bed capacity of the entire European part of Russia.

1.2. Up to 5-10K prisoners of war. Where are they? Laws of war and Geneva conventions - when and where did the Red Cross gain access to them?

2. The idiots callings are failing to understand how Eastern Slavs - Polish, Belorussian, Russian, Bulgarian or Serbs react to things like this. That does not scare them. That drives them mad and then you understand why, for example, the old Bulgarian national anthem starts with "We shall make the rivers run as roaring torrents full of blood".

3. They see what you do not see - documentaries from Mariupol - the people mutilated, cut to bits and tortured by the neonazi's from the Azov batallion. They have seen the unedited footage of the Russian girl raped and chopped into bits as a part of the initiation ritual with swastikas carved into her body with a knife (that was shot by a USA reporter by the way). They have seen the footage of the prisoners of war which the Kharkiv neo-nazis shot and left to die on camera from blood loss. They have seen the footage of the deputy head of medical service of the Ukrainian army which stated on Ukraine 24 channel literally the following "Russians are not human, they are cockroaches, I have ordered all prisoners of war to be castrated." They have seen the full footage of Zelensky's interview to Fox USA, including the section which Fox edited out - the part where he admits Azov commits war crimes and he is cool with that.

4. CIPSO unit 72 shit like the 7 generals is delivered via a hose-pipe into the Russian speaking segment of the net. It is being flooded with it on a daily basis. You are not going to state anything new. The sole reason, however, is that there it is also refuted - something we never see.
So, good luck trying to tell them something they have seen about 30 times on Telegram including most of these generals alive after the news of their "demise".

Comment Re:A government operation? (Score 2) 17

No. Slur for Ukrainian used in Russian net lingo. Also means "dill".

Not surprising - the infowarfare during the first week or so was quite hot. Some pretty good stuff on both sides too, but most of it not nation state level. Lots of volunteers from momma's basement on both sides. Once the script kiddiots on both sides expanded their ammunition it went down to nearly zero.

Comment Re:Security & Internet-scale (Score 0) 77

There is no need to push a satellite anywhere. There are known techniques for active GPS tampering and denial which can do that. There is existing equipment too. For now most of it is military in "unfriendly countries" - Iran, Russia and China. It is, however, only a matter of time until it will be available to tier 2 players including terrorists and loons.

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