Comment Soon because desktop computer can do AGI (Score 2) 49
I suspect it will be soon, because powerful desktop computers probably can already do AGI.
Eliezer Yudkowsky predicted that a superintelligent AGI could be done on a "home computer from 1995" https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fintelligence.org%2F2022%2F...
Steve Byrnes predicted (with 75% probability) that human equivalent AGI could be done with 10^14 FLOP/S and 16 GiB of RAM https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.alignmentforum.org...
I have done some back of the envelope calculations and think 500 GFLOP/S and 1 GiB of RAM could probably create an independence gaining AGI. https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.researchgate.net%2Fp...
So I think it is just a matter of figuring out the computer program to do so.