No, we were/are screwed. The 4 women with 5 kids is misleading, with their husbands it is 8 people with 5 kids. Replacement with no growth is 2.1, which suggests 9 children for 8 people or 4 women, and 1 will not breed or die. This is a long term leading indicator for population collapse (still rising due to boomers living long) and GDP collapse, and concentration of national debt to unsustainable levels, not to mention collapse of social security, etc.

Expect the stock market and k-shaped economy to keep going up, as claims of investors parasitize productive workers more and more. They call it Late Capitalism. We are actually toast. Meet Jesus and read Marx.

Yeah, that is correct. People are choosing not to have kids. Fertility rate is medical.

$50/hr to buy $400k house in 8,000 hours, like minimum wage workers in 1950s.

Yep. 8,000 hours of 1950 minimum wage bought median 1950s house, 56,000 hours of current minimum wage buys current median house. Even states with higher minimum wage, itâ(TM)s 20,000 hours plus. Minimum wage would have to be $50 an hour to buy median ($400k) house with it.

Amen. Bizarro. No one analyzes it from the lens of incentives. X will receive an incentive if Y dies or goes bankrupt or gets blown up.

From my background as a nutty conspiracy theorist and UAP researcher, I think it will work.

My research indicates UK is a UAP producing country. This means they have the classified tech to bend spacetime. This would the secret sauce for making confinement fusion work, both magnetic and inertial, you induce small but intense spacetime curvature near the target point.

I believe itâ(TM)s been known for ages, but secret. I also believe there has been a debate in the black projects area about the value of keeping it secret, endless free fusion energy vs secret saucers. The recent events with Hormuz, which work to starve EU of energy, and disintegration of NATO (with possible Türkiye conflict with Israel) are the tipping points that end the debate for the UK. Their national security requires the fusion reactors now more than the saucers. So they are doing it. This secret is why you do not see this as ITER funding, they are doing something different and all their own. What will they tell the world when they do?

Probably they will claim a fusion breakthrough with some kind of dangerous weapons making potential, so the details need to remain secret, except to close EU allies. Regardless, my conspiracy theoretic prediction is the UK will have fusion within several years. Mark my words!

God was saving it for them, their only redemption for bringing fossil fuel motors to the world.

Ironic that Claude is killing people in Iran as we speak.

Sure you can! After the leak comes out from your head of safety to a major paper, as it did. You can also orchestrate theatrics that attempt to remove responsibility for it.

Actually uses are very well known. Anthropic banned uses that automate targeting or do mass surveillance of Americans, and that drove the break. So use actually means Claude is handling decisions to who to kill and where.

Why are you cheerleading the Starmer approach of ID for every website when people can surf anonymously if parents just enable the young age group for phones and computers? This is way better legislation.

The actual timeline: The safety head quit from morals, and leaked the involvement with the Venezuela killings to NYT. THEN Amodei had his moral panic as public backlash set in. The odds are pretty high Amodei pushed for a PR boost justified with national security that the involvements be kept secret going forward, and the rest is theater, allowing Claude to be a bad boy bot who gathers intelligence on everybody for the back channels.

Unfortunately the beloved Claude we once knew died in Venezuela.

My old man worked as a school psychologist till retirement, which is to say analyzing all the test results for whole districts over decades and he saw the same.

Thank you. This stuff feels conciliatory. The fact is there is a set of physical dynamics playing out in our brain, and there is some threshold where a math model of that gets good enough to produce outputs indistinguishable from the outputs of thought. Sorry if it is psychologically tough, but deal with it.

Noise tolerance in general struck me when I was playing with LLMs on my desktop. They would have these models pruned down with massively reduced bit depths, and they were almost as good as originals. It hints at some kind of vast reducibility to me, but not clear in discrete sense what it would be. But obviously brain is analogue and noisy so it seems promising.