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Comment The real issue: lacking exposure to peanuts etc. (Score 3, Interesting) 94

The whole story of peanut allergies is an example of "medical science" gone wrong:

For more than two decades, pediatricians have been recommending to avoid all peanut exposure for children below the age of 3 years. In spite of what many considered common sense:
1. Parents have always been exposing our babies to all kinds of foods, and allergies are a recent phenomenon.
2. Countries where some baby cookies included peanut as an ingredient (Israel) had much less allergies than the USA.
The rate of peanut (and other) allergies has kept increasing in the USA.

Only in 2017, after randomized controlled trials have finally brought a definitive proof that early peanut exposure was actually *reducing* the risk of allergies - even and especially in families with a high risk of allergy - has the American Academy of Pediatrics finally reversed its guidance (https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mana.md%2Fpeanut-allergies-may-affect-your-child%2F). And still today, close to a third of pediatricians still recommend peanut avoidance (https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sciencedaily.com%2Freleases%2F2020%2F07%2F200715142338.htm).

Simple old school advice to young parents: eat healthy yourself (avoid untraprocessed foods), and give a little taste of everything you eat to your baby, starting 3 months old (or even earlier). Just beware of choking - of course you don't give a whole peanut or pea to your child: crush, blend or, even easier, pre-chew your own food and let your child get a little taste of it. Enjoy the interaction. And as long as your baby's digestion and growth is going well, keep having fun sharing.

Yes, there are times where trusting good old wisdom and traditional practices works better than going with the scientific consensus of the moment...
I.V. - father of 4, MD, son of a MD.

Comment Re:Why (Score 1) 202

In this case, as the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant has been under control of the Russian army for a while, it seems clear that Russians are using proximity to the nuclear plant as a shelter for their troops, in some kind of dirty game of chicken.

According to this report from Amnesty International, Ukrainian forces too have been playing dirty, launching attacks from populated civilian areas, including in proximity to schools and hospitals. So that Russians shooting back would cause civilian casualties, that were denounced to international media:
      https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amnesty.org%2Fen%2Flat...

Both are war crimes, regardless of Ukraine's legitimacy and right to self-defense.

Comment How many copies? & ecosystem diversity (Score 2) 296

Thinking about bloat, I can't help but ask:
- How many implementations of memcopy, of an HTTP download, of a string object are simultaneously loaded and operating on your machine today?

Doesn't a lot of the bloat come from extensive replications of such functionality?
Which itself, comes from using many different languages, frameworks, etc ... which are all simultaneously loaded and supported, including some software compiled >10 years ago against some old API.

So isn't this all a side-effect of a burgeoning ecosystem?
We could bring more order, but at what cost?

This being said, you'll often see a lot of bloat, and a lot of functionality replications, within a single application as well...

Comment Position taken by Roger Waters (Score 3, Informative) 60

For many, Pink Floyd is also (originally/mostly) Roger Waters, well known for his activism.
His response to a young Ukrainian asking him to express his position is of interest too:
  - https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fwatch...

Comment Terminology: no change in achievable lifespan (Score 5, Interesting) 97

The average life expectancy (at birth) has dramatically increased thanks to a reduction of premature mortality, especially perinatal deaths, infectious diseases, and sometimes violent deaths.

But if you survive these causes of premature deaths, the (achievable) human lifespan hasn't changed in thousands of years: Tombstones of Greek philosophers attest they lived into their 80s, and some to over 100 years of age. The Egyptian Vizier Ptahhotep wrote verses about the disintegrations of old age nearly 4500 years ago.

It's important to distinguish these two concepts (average life expectancy, vs. achievable lifespan), which some charlatans like to confuse.

Comment Re:Additional imporant information (with sources) (Score 2) 100

The question is, why do we have to flatter the curve so much?
Because, actually, we are much less prepared for a severe epidemic than our leaders have claimed to be.
Lack of general awareness of hygiene best practices; lack of mask and personal protection equipment; lack of basic medications; lack of trained personnel, equipment, and infrastructure.
Everything we have been rushing to do today were recommendations given during the the swine flu and bird flu alerts of recent years.
We certainly could improve our risk management...

Comment Re:If the young just said 'fuck it' (Score 1) 100

We'll see how Sweden fares in the end: they provide recommendations for hygiene and social distancing, but schools, cafés, businesses, simply remain open. But they also implement measures to help people at risk protect themselves.
Sweden certainly isn't a dictatorial state; maybe they are just being smarter...

Comment Re: Additional imporant information (with sources) (Score 1) 100

You may find this graph interesting: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fibb.co%2FTrBkvyS
It shows the seasonality of the death rate, for >65 year olds, in Switzerland.
The base periodicity shows an increase of deaths in winter.
"Grippe" means Flu, and shows the winters where a more aggressive Flu has increased mortality.
"Canicule" means "heat wave" - during a hot summer the death rate will also increase.
Finally, the increase of Mortality caused by COVID in this early spring shows up - for now it's not exceptional (compared to a usual flu) but it is likely to extend and last longer.

One more thing: if you pay attention to the vertical scale, you'll notice that all these fluctuations represent a small fraction of the normally occurring death rate.
Because you know, on our planet, over 300'000 people die every day; and even more are born.

Comment Re:50% in the 52 to 70 age range, 25% above and be (Score 1) 100

50% of mortalities have been in the 52 to 70 years age range, 25% below those ages and 25% above those ages.

I've never seen anything like those numbers, and don't find then in the sources you provide.

This study published in The Lancet shows an Infection Fatality Ratio of 3.28% for those older than 60, and 0.145% for those below 60.

In Switzerland, the median age of people who died from COVID is 83 years old - means 50% of all deaths are at or above the age of 83.
Out of 704 COVID deaths recorded by the Swiss Federal Institute of statistics, 467 are 80 years old or more.
Source: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcovid-19-schweiz.bagap...

Comment Additional imporant information (with sources) (Score 4, Insightful) 100

What these numbers don't take into account is the large number of infected people who may not even have any symptoms at all.

I consider the hospitalization and death rates in this article published in The Lancet (a top medical journal) as the most plausible - as they took into account the rate of asymptomatic infections: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thelancet.com%2Fjour...
Infection fatality ratio (= among all those infected, how many die) is: 3.28% (95% confidence interval 1.82 to 6.18) if you are 60 or more, and 0.145% (CI 0.0883-0.317) if you are less than 60.if you are 30 to 40, your likelihood of dying is less than 1/1000, and if you are less than 20, it's less than 1/20'000.
Furthermore, most fatalities (>97-99%) are in persons who already suffer from other health conditions: lung(BPCO), heart(chronic insufficiency), liver, kidney(dialysis). So if you are a healthy young adult, chances are you are not going to die from COVID (it's very unlikely).

In Switzerland, for instance, out of 704 deaths, the median age is 83 years old! - and the median age of all those hospitalized is 71.
Only 4 are of the casualties are less than 50 (all over 30 years old); 16 are 50-59; and 467 are 80+. Source: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcovid-19-schweiz.bagap... (sorry, French).

Don't get me wrong: the disease is serious, and can knock you down completely for days or more. Also, to avoid unnecessary fatalities, we must all contribute to flattening the curve - practice social distancing, wash hands, etc. Don't panic, but be responsible. Don't fear for yourself, but take care of the elderly and other persons at risk in your community.
Also, if you start getting serious respiratory symptoms (difficulty to catch your breath, blue lips, difficulty to get up, ...), do call for help right away and get to a hospital: you might be at risk to die without medical care, and things can turn for the worst quickly.
COVID-19 will probably kill 2-5 times more people than seasonal flu in a bad year (e.g. seasonal flu killed over 60'000 people in the USA in winter 2017/2018).

I do believe, however, that we are excessively infantilized, and insufficiently educated. And that we should focus more on the protection of those who are at risk, and make efforts to maintain/restore the freedoms of the others. Improving our hygiene practices is good, also, but let people live and enjoy life reasonably.

Of course it's easy to comment and criticize here. Even though I'm pretty certain that, retrospectively, we'll find out COVID-19 isn't as bad as we made it, as a decision-maker I'd probably prefer to play it safe. And instilling fear is the more effective way to "flatten the curve" a we need to.

Comment Re:Wow. Only 128x as many deaths per capita as Chi (Score 1) 576

Given that a simple seasonal flu can cause over 60'000 additional deaths, it is fair to say that only 100'000 additional deaths would be a low number for this COVID epidemic.

In 2017, there were 61'000 flu-associated deaths in the USA - source https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcnsnews.com%2Farticle%2Fin...

Comment All psychopaths, some just dumber than others (Score 1) 72

CEOS/traders/... that were naive enough to use an identifiable email address for a subscription to Ashley Madison, are more likely to have been caught for their misbehavior in the boardroom as well.

Could this not be a more valid interpretation of the findings made with this data set?

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