Gambling has negative expected value. Futures have zero.

I've worked in several places from big tech to HFT. Now I'm at a startup. Basically all I do everyday is create and update agents, supervise them, and review their work. I'm probably 3-5x as productive as I was at other companies.

Why are there so many comments against this?

This is not gambling advertising. This is actually useful information, often more useful than the news articles themselves.

If you think Polymarket odds are wrong, what is it? Are you the smartest person in the world? Otherwise, why has nobody else decided to outsmart the market and bet in accordance with how they are wrong? Of course not. That is silly.

You missed .NET and 365

That is a forward market which is different from a futures market. The definitions are strict.

What definition of gambling do you have that wouldn't also apply to futures contracts?

In finance, basically all data is bad quality. That is because there's some many arbitrary and non standard things that happen like corporate events, that can mean that a small percentage of the data is broken - which is unacceptable in finance.

Bloomberg is basically the only place that has perfect data. Perfect. It is the standard of truth.

And this is exactly why Perplexity wont be able to beat it. Bloomberg doesn't make money from the terminal software. It makes money from the proprietary data the terminal gives access it.

There is a massive distinction between prediction markets and gambling. It is not the same thing at all. Notably, with prediction markets you are not betting against the house.

Not so with prediction markets. There is no "house". There is an exchange who matches one retail bettor with another retail bettor, in exchange for a fee. Kalshi is the arbiter of which retail bettor wins, but does not win/lose either way.

Mod parent down.

This is nonsense. Whilst Kalshi did do the wrong thing here, they did not profit from deciding that NO should win. They do not take a position either way. They are like eBay - neither a seller nor a buyer.

Citation is very much not needed for the well established scientific consensus. Google it.

I believe Azure OpenAI (Microsoft hosted OpenAI models) is approved for DoD as well.

A better bet is probably "S&P 500 Minimum Volatility Index" or similar rather than just ignoring chip makers, etc.

Well a bigger issue is that this "invention" is blatantly obvious.

They've been doing this in public (e.g. on YouTube / Twitter / etc) for years. I don't know why this is a new story.