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Comment Re: If you're not familiar... (Score 1) 293

Indeed. When I started high school, besides the teachers, they had 1 principle, 1 vice, 1 secretary, and 4 counselors who handled things like college applications, technical schools, and such. When I graduated, they were up to 4 vice principles, 12 counselors, 6 secretaries, and 8 security guards.

The eight security guards, I can kind of understand. Four vice-principals makes no sense unless the school is way too big to function, in which case there's your problem. Same for twelve counselors; unless your school has 7k+ students, that makes no sense.

My guess is that your school is big enough that normal administrative processes start to break down, and that's why it is accumulating excess administrative overhead. Small schools are inefficient because you can't pay for enough teachers to cover all the classes. So you don't want schools to be too small. But economies of scale only work up to maybe a thousand students or maybe two thousand.

Above that threshold, the larger the school becomes, the harder it is to manage, and the deeper the management hierarchy tends to become. Not being able to get things done quickly enough causes people to throw more people at the problem, which makes getting things done even harder and slower because of communication overhead, and the problem snowballs.

And school systems have a similar problem, where larger, more complex districts are harder to run than smaller ones. At some point, the best thing you can do is break them all up until they stop being too big.

Comment Re: If you're not familiar... (Score 2) 293

I work with schoolteachers, daily. They make six figures.

Ooh! Testimony that is both anecdotal and and the most extreme outlier available! Nice! Yes, in California, the highest-paid State in the US for schoolteachers -- which is, of course, tied to the fact that it has one of the highest costs of living in the country -- the average schoolteacher salary does actually just barely break $100k. Averaging across the entire country, however, (source: NEA [https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nea.org%2Fresource-library%2Feducator-pay-and-student-spending-how-does-your-state-rank]) tells a different story:

National Average Starting Teacher Salary: $46526 National Average Teacher Salary: $72030

But I'm sure you didn't mean to imply that the average schoolteacher makes 6 figures...

California average school teacher salary: $101,084
Equivalent salary in Little Rock: $56,726.84

It's still technically probably a little bit above average at the moment, but it sure isn't what most people think of when they hear the words "six-figure salary".

Comment Re:no way (Score 1) 42

>I'd give it five years, tops, before Qualcomm is playing catch-up, mainly because Apple was angry enough at Qualcomm to buy an entire modem division from another company just to get away from them, so they're not going to stop throwing resources at the problem until they're in the lead.

It's already been NINE years. Qualcomm isn't going to stop improving, and you expect Apple to get ahead in five years? Oh, ok. Whatever.

Nine years? The acquisition wasn't finalized until December 2019. It took them a little over five years to get from where Intel left things to silicon that worked well enough for them to ship it in a product, likely because Apple was working around Qualcomm's patent minefield.

Comment Re:The real issue (Score 1) 159

Roughly 20% of people who own a vehicle of any type rent/lease, instead of own, their place of residence.

Ah, I misunderstood. I thought you were saying that 80% had the potential to charge at home. You're leaving out a lot of factors with your estimate:

  • Lots of suburban houses don't have a garage, because they converted it into an extra room, and it can be a decent bit harder to do charging if you don't.
  • Condos that you own don't necessarily have their own reserved parking for each unit, and EV charging pretty much requires either that or something like ChargePoint billing, and they take 10% off the top cost-wise, so you'll pay considerably more that way.
  • Houses built before about 1980 are way less likely to have adequate electric service amperage.
  • Mobile homes are way less likely to have adequate electric service amperage.
  • Condos are all but guaranteed to not have adequate electric service amperage.

So being possible doesn't necessarily mean that it is practical or easy. It is probably easy for 20%, and by the time you get to 80%, it is likely to be really hard.

Comment Re:no way (Score 1) 42

Intel did have their models shipping.

They had LTE modems shipping. They did NOT have 5g modems shipping. The first iPhone with 5g was the iPhone 12, which was released in 2020, long after Intel sold off their modem division.

Citation: Intel's announcement about exiting the modem business. From the press release:

"The company will continue to meet current customer commitments for its existing 4G smartphone modem product line, but does not expect to launch 5G modem products in the smartphone space, including those originally planned for launches in 2020."

Second citation: Wikipedia page on Intel XMM modems. Intel had planned two different 5g modem models, both of which were cancelled before the products were released.

Comment Re:Man bites dog vs dog bites man (Score 1) 42

I'm sure they did the same thing with Intel models, as we all know how that turned out. Apple tried them, Qualcomm said theirs were better. Apple went back to Qualcomm because Intel modems were bad.

These *are* Intel's modems, albeit the 5g versions thereof.

And no, that's not at all accurate. According to Qualcommon, Apple was all set to dump them entirely. Qualcomm reported that in 2018. But Intel couldn't pull off 5g, and in 2019, they announced that they were exiting the modem business, so Apple went crawling back to Qualcomm because they had 5g and Intel didn't and never would.

Two months later, Apple announced that they were buying what was left of Intel's modem division so that their supply chain would be under their control. Six years later, they finally got 5g working. Now we understand why Intel gave up. It turns out that 5g was a much harder problem than they anticipated.

But the key point is that it is done and working now, and what remains is performance optimization and future revisions.

Comment Re:no way (Score 2) 42

Apple's been trying to use Intel modem technology since the iPhone 7 which came out NINE YEARS AGO. Apple bought the Intel modem group and they've been dicking around since then.

Let's be fair here. Intel never got their 5g modem working/shipping, so part of what they were doing during that time was making it actually... you know... work.

The fact that this product is barely worthy of Apple's lowest-tier product means Apple has a long-ass road before this modem is where it needs to be; but in the meantime Qualcomm will continue to make their modems better - faster speeds, more bands, more technologies, lower power.

Lower power, no. The Apple chip uses 25% less power than Qualcomm's modem. And it is unclear how much of Qualcomm's superiority in those other areas was because of the modem itself versus other aspects of the phone (antenna design, for example). It's way, way too early to call the game.

In particular, having good download performance and terrible upload performance could indicate an SWR/impedance matching issue or a transmit power optimization bug or any number of other issues that have little to do with the modem hardware itself.

At best Apple will just use their internal modems as a negotiating chip with Qualcomm to get a lower price, in the same way that nVidia went to Samsung's inferior fabs to try to leverage against TSMC. If Apple did put such horrible modems in its iPhones nobody would buy the iPhone from that generation. People aren't stupid, they watch reviews before plonking down > $1000 on their TikTok machine.

Apple will use it to negotiate better prices, yes, but the fact that they have one working at all means that the writing is on the wall for Qualcomm's relationship with Apple. It has long been said that the only thing worse than Qualcomm's modems are everyone else's, and having complete control over the device, the modem hardware, and the software stack likely means that Apple will be able to improve their modem's performance more rapidly.

I'd give it five years, tops, before Qualcomm is playing catch-up, mainly because Apple was angry enough at Qualcomm to buy an entire modem division from another company just to get away from them, so they're not going to stop throwing resources at the problem until they're in the lead.

Comment Re: It really depends (Score 4, Informative) 187

It was lost because no one wanted to do the work at wages offered. Therefore you lost nothing of value. Have you lost compared to a world where corporations give a shit about their employees and wanted them to happy lives? Yes and also I have a unicorn to sell you!

Fremont closed way back in 1992, and it was because they failed to get the manufacturing volume up to expected levels, despite the plant being highly automated. I guess the tech just wasn't ready. Meanwhile, two hours' drive from there, the Elk Grove assembly plant kept building Macs for another decade.

Elk Grove shut down shortly after they moved manufacturing to China, because assembling in the U.S. didn't make much difference. The Elk Grove facility is still owned by Apple, though. I think it's an AppleCare repair depot now, plus warehousing and distribution, which I guess they also did back when they assembled things there.

Comment Re:Alternate example (Score 1) 236

When the web came into existence, folks came up with a robots.txt file that gave permission to spider the site and, to a limited extent, serve snippets of the content. There's nothing preventing an ai_robots.txt file ... Opt-out is reasonable, ...

Sure, but compliance is voluntary -- according to my understanding

Compliance being voluntary doesn't change anything. The web spider companies comply because it gives them a reasonable belief that their usage is authorized.

That said, if such a scheme existed for AI, you would have reasonable cause to sue companies that don't comply, as by making it crystal clear that their usage is NOT authorized, such crawling becomes prima facie illegal under the CFAA.

Comment Re:Alternate example (Score 1) 236

"Quite a lot of voices say, 'You can only train on my content, [if you] first ask.' And I have to say that strikes me as somewhat implausible because these systems train on vast amounts of data."

Let's rephrase this to see if it makes sense.

"Quite a lot of voices say, 'You can only deport people if you first give them due process.' And I have to say that strikes me as somewhat implausible because there are a LOT of people we want to deport."

Noting that Trump said just that. From Trump wants to bypass immigration courts. Experts warn it's a 'slippery slope.':

"I hope we get cooperation from the courts, because we have thousands of people that are ready to go out and you can't have a trial for all of these people," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office last week [mid April].

Bottom line, there are things you're suppose to do even if they're inconvenient.

It's also a crock of s**t. When the web came into existence, folks came up with a robots.txt file that gave permission to spider the site and, to a limited extent, serve snippets of the content. There's nothing preventing an ai_robots.txt file with a standard format that dictates whether the content can be used for AI training, whether it can be used for training of commercially available AIs or just fully open source AIs, etc. It won't kill the industry, unless the assumption is that nearly everyone will immediately create an ai_robots.txt file on their server with "deny" as the first line.

Opt-out is reasonable, at least after some reasonable period of time to allow site owners to update their sites. Not allowing opting out is not so reasonable, and makes it look like you know you're doing something wrong.

Comment Re:Familiar argument (Score 2) 236

That's the same argument Napster used.

If we can't get all our inputs for free, it would kill our ability to charge for similar stuff based on those inputs.

Napster A. didn't charge, and B. didn't provide "similar stuff"; it provided identical stuff (ignoring compression artifacts). So no, that's not the argument Napster used.

Comment Re:40% better (Score 1) 206

Well, there is a famous Canadian company that asks their employees to write down, for their annual review, how they could be 40% better in the coming year than the year that just passed.

I could be 40% better by working a three-day workweek instead of five. Done.

That means, in two years, an employee must basically double their "productivity".

Depends on how you define "better". It need not mean "more productive". :-)

Funnily, no one explained what does "better" mean in this context, and we were joking, should our salary also match that 40% increase every year?

Yes, it should. Or else three-day workweeks. :-D

Comment Re:managers argue that (Score 2) 101

"AI can relieve employees of tedious tasks" like having a job, going to work

Sadly, no, because they still need income.

To that end, I'm a little baffled by this bit:

The shift has not been all negative for workers. At Amazon and other companies, managers argue that AI can relieve employees of tedious tasks and enable them to perform more interesting work.

I would argue that's still a negative. Employees, for the most part, don't want to have less tedious work so that we have more time to do hard work for a company that will pay us exactly the same for doing it. We want less tedious work so that we have more time for the things we want to do, while still getting paid a reasonable salary.

This does the opposite of that. It takes away all the tedious stuff that provides a mental break from the heavy mental gymnastics that we do the rest of the time. So now you're expected to be mentally "on" continuously. And by the time you get home, your mind is gone, and you can't do any of the other things you'd like to do because you're so thoroughly burned out.

There are quite literally no upsides to this for tech workers, IMO, at least so long as those same managers don't follow that sentence with the words "We're going to a 5-hour, 4-day work week for the same pay. Thanks for making this company great."

Comment Re: Evidence of AI Coding Efficacy (Score 2) 101

That's because junior SWEs are the ones writing code all the time. Senior SWEs are in meetings discussing how that code should be written.

Alternatively, it's because senior SWEs recognize that the 26% increase in task completion mostly comes from extra tasks fixing bugs introduced by junior developers who didn't take the time to fully understand the task or the code, and instead used AI to avoid having to do so. So the senior SWEs don't bother really using it meaningfully, but get very good at making it look like they are using it so that the management folks will be satisfied.

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