This is a narrative I hear over and over. The U.S. is headed for some kind of armaggedon as librals/Elon Musk force us to drive electric cars, and use astonishingly economical heat pumps, etc.
But, when you look at the actual data, a very VERY different picture emerges:
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.statista.com%2Fstati...
Since I can't include the graph, I will describe it. From 1975 through 2005, U.S. electrical usage moved steadily upward, year by year. It looks like the average increase was about 3% annually, and it is steady.
Then in about 2005, something completely different happened. Usage leveled out.
And it has remained almost absolutely flat and level since then.
Like it when down from 4003 terrawatt-hours in 2018 to 3856 TW-H in 2020 (hmm, wonder why). Then since 2020 it has increased back to almost exactly the 2018 level, 4048 TW-H.
That is, literally, the biggest move on the chart - we have now returned to our 2018 usage level. Which is only very slightly higher than our 2005 and 2010 usage levels.
Whoo-hoo, how will we be able to manage it.
Also, overal since 2005, electricity usage has gone up a whopping (checks calculator) 6.2%.
Wow, 6% in 17 years. That amounts to almost 0.4% average annual increase. WILL the mighty capitalist system be able to adjust to this massive sweeping year over year change!!??!!?!! Keep watching the headlines to find out!!!!1!!!!!!21!!!
Kidding aside, the big story here is that large-scale adoption of energy-saving and more economical devices and practices has allowed the economy to grow massively, and electricity use to expand significantly in areas where it was previously little used or not used at all, at the very same time the overall national electricity usage has barely budged.
I realize that isn't a "let's panic now" story of the type that generates clicks and pageviews. But that is the actual story here. And it's a pretty damn good one.
Also, I don't doubt there are particular problems and issues here and there that need to be addressed. The grid is old and creaky in certain ways. Flip side, recent advances make the grid of the future look quite different than the grid we might have built out 5 or 10 or (certainly) 15 years ago. So the grid upgrade we will end up making are almost certainly going to be a lot more efficient and productive than it would have been - and WAY cheaper. So in a ways we are probably going to be happy we didn't spend a trillion dollars (or whatever it would have been - a LOT) to rebuild the entire grid according to our now-outdated conception of what a grid should be.
Don't like my data above, here is another link that confirms the basic picture, from the U.S. Energy Information Administration: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.eia.gov%2Felectricit...
Here is another look at the same basic picture - but looking at all energy, not just electricity: https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.aceee.org%2Fblog-pos... Upshot is that per-capita energy use in the U.S. has been almost completely flat for the last decade.