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Comment Re: Things that will be illegal in 100 years (Score 1) 268

That GP considers it to be a worse thing to do to kids than selling their parents junk food with which they feed them, yet it has been done for a very long time and is still not 'illegal'. The implication is that society as a whole thus doesn't actually care that much about harming children.

I wouldn't say I agree. I think male circumcision is one of those things that is politically fraught because it is so common among very popular religions. Female 'circumcision' in any form is easily found to be illegal and immoral by pretty much anyone outside Africa, but male circumcision not so much, even though it is fundamentally quite similar (although definitely different in magnitude of effects in most cases). I do believe it should be illegal and will be at some point.

Comment Not the *entire* list! (Score 1) 63

No no, developers can also become support desk employees dealing with entitled angry customers! What a glorious future! And such an incredibly futureproof career move!

Himanshu Palsule, chief executive of Cornerstone OnDemand, a skills-development company, uses Waymo, a fast-growing robotaxi firm, as an example of how the job of a developer is evolving. Waymo’s cars drive themselves from start to finish. But what if they break down, locking their passengers inside? Then comes the need for what he calls “the guy—or gal—in the sky”, a remote human troubleshooter who needs to understand not just the technology, but also how to handle frazzled passengers. Software engineers, Mr Palsule says, used to be sought after for their coding abilities, not their bedside manner. No longer. Writing code can now be done by an algorithm. “Your personality is where your premium is.”

Comment Re:Bubble (Score 1) 43

ChatGPT is only 3 years old. Your numbers and tone are incredibly overconfident.

Your narrative is also wrong. Many jobs have already been killed in essence: Translators, voice actors, all kinds of artists. Maybe not the exceptional ones, but certainly the mediocre ones. Tell those people that it's all hype and that they don't have to protest anything or find an entirely new career.

Plenty of other jobs are very, very close to being so, including the ones you've mentioned. A lot of support jobs like in call centers are 100% going byebye. Boston Dynamics robots are already replacing workers in Amazon warehouses and between the dexterity and agility improvements Unitree and Figure are showing and the high level autonomy in planning and execution Google's robotics department is showing, your 25-50 years is ridiculously pessimistic.

Again, ChatGPT is only 3 years old. Hype, my asshole.

Comment Re:Bizarre wishful thinking (Score 0) 152

It does seem like a good use case for AI coding agents: No new functionality has to be added, so the existing application and the existing code can be used as validation for an optimized version. The biggest challenge would be to let it retain or improve maintainability and security of the project.

Comment Re:Well that's unexpected... (Score 3, Interesting) 54

"AI companies" were never the people to hype "vibe coding" as a serious software engineering approach. The people doing that were bloggers, Youtubers, and other people not very knowledgeable about software engineering making money off the new hip trend.

Remember that the term "vibe coding" was thought up by Karpathy: very smart guy, but not primarily a software engineer by his own admission. And even then he never claimed more than that vibe coding was great for hobbyists working on small projects.

Comment Re: Long-term view, finally? (Score 1) 74

What is your opinion on AI research assistants (operating more or less autonomously)?

Things seem to be moving quite hard in that direction, especially at Google and OpenAI. The growth of agentic software engineering and especially the procedures developed in 2025 that mitigate the hallucinations of LLMs and allow productive longer autonomous runs seem to be very applicable to research assistants.

Comment Re:Don't they know how to close a door remotely? (Score 1) 72

It's difficult to make sure you're communicating with the customer about this, though.

They booked the ride via some app/interface and the customer is surrounded by screens and speakers during the entire ride.

"Thank you for riding with Waymo. Remember to fully close the doors after exiting the vehicle or we will charge you USD 100."
"*ping* One of the doors of your Waymo ride isn't fully closed. Please return to the vehicle and close it or we will charge you USD 100."
Seems pretty easy.

I do agree that preventing the issue is even better.

Comment False. Companies can do lots of things. (Score 1) 72

Those are operating expenses that are passed along in the form of higher prices.

Only in the case of low elasticity in the demand. Companies can't always simply raise prices. Some possible alternative effects of higher taxes: smaller profit margins, cost cutting/higher efficiency, less R&D investment, lower dividend payments, bankruptcy.

So no, the end consumer definitely doesn't necessarily 'pay the tax'.

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