There's a semi-famous but probably misattributed quote involving Henry Ford, "If I'd asked my clients what they wanted they'd have said 'faster horses'".

Koomen is making the same point 100+ years later. The transformative AI solution will probably not be faster horses, or faster humans. It will be some new construct that goes well beyond what's currently possible in ways that we almost certainly haven't posited yet. We're still in the late 19th Century horseless carriage mode of AI design nobody has a clue about fuel injection, anti-lock brakes, air bags, automatic transmissions, etc type advancements yet.

It will be blindingly obvious what the ultimate winning design is but not till probably 3 or 5 or more years after the fact, claims until then are mostly marketing FUD.

She looks a hell of a lot like somebody you dated freshman year in college and then decades later you googled to see what happened to her and discovered she's married, has 2 kids and a professional career.

This sounds suspiciously like a plan to wait until the dust settles and then, whatever the result, state 'that was the plan all along', every step of the way so far I've heard folks like yourself cheer the first moves and explain why it's great and then cheer the back pedal and explain why it too is part of some great strategy and then cheer the re-instatement and the escalation. Literally anything he does is correct.

So quick question, your comment about 'lifelong history of exaggerated opening positions' implies you've bought into the whole 'Trump is a great negotiator' trope. Care to explain his near perfect failure record as a business owner and 6 bankruptcies ? Was that also part of a grand strategy ? When he bankrupts the US economy will that also be part of some grand strategy ?

Absolutely, if in turn you agree to admit you were the asshole when you discover everybody but Trump and his closest BJ givers are wrong and don't have the first damn clue how economies actually work.

When the US is in a recession coupled with inflation will you admit you and Trump are idiots or will you blame the democrats for somehow undermining his brilliance. Not sure if you were around for the 70s but economically they pretty much sucked.

I'm not entirely sure I agree with the sentiment about the average US Citizen being concerned about increased non-combatant incidents.

Just look at Gaza and Yemen, in many cases folks are either oblivious to the occurrences or feel its ok in an 'ends justify the means' sort of way.

As long as US soldiers aren't getting killed the citizenry is, for the most part, pretty ok with whatever.

No it didn't. Not sure what you're looking at but the DOW didn't hit it's pre-October 1929 peak until 1954, over 25 years later. The DOW reached it's bottom in 1932, it didn't *start* to recover till 1933 and it took nearly 20 years to recover to it's 1928 high.

I'm sure she'll be fine.

No, as the current administration is finding out from the judicial branch, that's the current legal reality.

Cause he's going to make Murica great again. What's there to understand, no more gays, no more immigrants, great jobs for everyone and we're gonna really stick it to the rest of the world. Plus we'll own Greenland.

That's a good trick leaking 900 million SSNs, they had to make some up since only 450 million or so have been assigned ever.

I'm curious , is there a point at which you would actually blame Trump for something ?

This is Trump's actual statement yesterday on the topic.

"I said, release, we even released Social Security numbers. I didn't want anything deleted,"

He's the president, he's in charge and he's made it very clear that everybody will do what he or his deputies say. So do you still feel that his administration is not responsible for this fuck up ?

Back in the mid 80's when I was working on my degree I had discussions with professors about the implications of Hawking Radiation (evaporative black holes), primordial black holes (created as part of the immense pressures a tiny fraction after the big bang) and quantum relativity. It pains me when dark energy was first proposed I never thought to consider that primordial black holes could be the source.

If they are, which has recently been proposed, than you would predict that the strength of dark matter/energy would weaken over time as the number of primordial black holes decrease over time.

Um, no. It's not that he has an irrational hatred of Elon, it's that you have an irrational defense of him.

Calling any failure of a 'test flight' a success because it ended in data is pretty amazing mental gymnastics.

Tell me, how many of these successes do you think SpaceX can afford before they go bankrupt ? I'm quite certain, despite the outward facing glib response, internally they're deeply concerned.

I think that's exactly what they'll be good at. Subjective is hard, objective is easy.

Creating a believable 'fun' world is a subjective problem but they're getting there.

Crunching the numbers to find the right balance of too easy/too hard etc is a much more objective calculation. It will be able to balance on the fly, no more coarse sliders, it will be able to see where you spend time, what you look at what you find interesting and what you don't and tailor to that. It's still a long way off but it seems fairly inevitable.

So your work should be free ?

Good to know, come by my house, I have some yard work that needs doing.