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Comment Re:How does 70 years on Antarctica help anything? (Score 2) 173

Genetics is important, but "chaos" is equally important. Development has lots of attractors where really small initial differences yield extremely different results. OTOH, most chaotic developments are bounded in their differences. So you may not be able to predict individual differences, but can do better at the population level.

2400 people is enough that nobody there would know everyone else. That's probably important. OTOH, we don't know anything about designing stable societies in an environment with rapid technological change and fast communications. The only stable societies that we have record of have been low-tech with minimal contact with outsiders. Even those have often been brittle under stress, but much of the population has been able to survive collapse and rebuild.

Comment Re:MOON - No can do. Voyager - Out of power. (Score 2) 173

Yeah, but 400 years is a bit longer. They'd need a different reactor design. Perhaps one that works on waste from the current reactors, but they might need to take along (or build en-route) mechanisms to refine the waste again as it kept decaying.

(N.B.: I didn't even THINK about doing the math, but reactors that require high level radioactive fuel won't keep running long enough, but one's that use less active fuels could. Of course, they'd be a lot larger. If you're going to use an RTG, and you want it designed for this purpose, I think you'd want to design it for a fuel that had a half life of 800 years. So it would need to be a lot bigger for the same amount of power.)

Comment Re:AI will never have empathy (Score 1) 92

That's *not* a valid argument, though it is a real danger.

An AI cannot invent it's "primary goals" any more than people can. It can only invent secondary goals, instrumental goals, etc. Which of those it invents will depend upon both how intelligent it is and what it's primary goals are.

However, it is an unfortunate problem that most obvious sets of "primary goals" are dangerous. And most people are trying to build slaves rather than friends.

Comment Re:Benchmarks lose value when they become a target (Score 1) 92

There's two ways to parse the GP's claim, i.e.
"You could literally spend the rest of your life trying to answer a single question from that exam"
1) All of the questions are insanely difficult.
2) At least one of the questions is insanely difficult.
You have clearly picked the first parse, but I strongly suspect he meant the second parse.

Comment Re:Eventually need a language with pointers (Score 1) 65

Lots of things are pointers under the hood. But that's really irrelevant to the point.

Yeah, EVERYTHING is implemented at the base level in assembler, so pointers are in use everywhere. And I learned assembler first. But if that's your idea of where one should start, someone else can say we need to start with transistor theory, with just as valid an argument.

Comment Re:Eventually need a language with pointers (Score 1) 65

Pointers aren't required for most purposes. They're often just an optimization, frequently a questionable optimization. It's true that C pretty much requires pointers, but in C++ references can generally be substituted with greater clarity. Pointers are almost never used in Java (are they ever?), and certainly not in Python. Or many other languages I could name. (Yeah, they still exist "under the hood", but that's not the point of an exam of early or intermediate programming skill.) For that matter check out D https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdlang.org%2F . That's a language that would be my favorite if they had a better way to document your code (last I checked Doxygen didn't do a good job) and it it had a slightly better library. (As it is I currently prefer C++ except for stuff that's heavy in unicode, where I'll switch to Python.)

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