Comment Re: Will violence drop? (Score 2) 74
Not to mention Kilngons!
Not to mention Kilngons!
Zillow is an effective monopoly on internet real-estate listings, that is bad.
Google is an effective monopoly on anything internet search related that it decides to dip its fingers into, that is worse.
It seems to me that, if you were developing something like this, you'd want to write the encryption and decryption code separately from the non-trivial key management code, so that you can unlock it easily if someone accidentally locks the wrong system. You only make the build that doesn't have an obvious key when you're really going to use it. For that matter, it's probably wise to do your demos with the version with the master key, so that potential affiliates can't attack a real target for the demo. Then you give the version that doesn't make it easy to unlock to paying affiliates who aren't SentinelOne. It's not like they'd need to redesign the whole system to generate a random key and not write it in plaintext anywhere.
Silicon wafers are the wrong thing to compare against. The CZT semiconductors are like photodiodes (for other radiation), not what they make the logic out of. It would make more sense to compare with InGaN (for blue LEDs), which plays a similarly specific role in common devices.
These days, the market is more trusting of the statement that better tools and processes require fewer employees to serve the same customers if you call that AI. If you get more of your customers to succeed in using your website or app to do what they need without having a human do anything for them individually, you don't need as many employees doing it. But the market doesn't want to hear that you can cut jobs because your website doesn't suck as much any more, so you say AI and they think you've done something futuristic when you've actually done something practical, and you're vague enough about it that the SEC can't say that you claimed to be doing something you're not.
Proprietary service drops support for proprietary protocol..
All of the headline changes go in during a two-week window at the start of the cycle, having been developed previously. Several people write articles during that window about what got merged, so the list is already known when the release actually comes out two months later. (That two-month period is used for testing in more unusual situations and checking for incompatibilities among the set of changes that got merged for the cycle.)
So this article is really reporting that two compact weeks of merge decisions in early October are now officially considered tested and ready, and they wrote the article and people checked it over a while ago now.
The part that's harder to track is ongoing development work, which happens continuously without a set schedule, but it happens in separate trees and only goes into the official tree when it's complete, has been reviewed, and has gone through various testing in systems managed by kernel developers. All of the work described here was done before 6.17 was released, and developed during several releases before that, but it didn't need to affect Linus's tree until he decided it would land in 6.18.
They generally use a primary and standby system, just because it's a lot harder to avoid consistency problems with multiple primaries. This means that you need to direct traffic to the current primary, and redirect it to a standby when necessary, which is fine except that the system you're switching away from and the configuration interface for your DNS provider are both in us-east-1, because everything normally is. That's why they're looking for the ability to make a different region primary specifically during in AWS outage.
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbigthink.com%2Fstarts-wi...
This describes the distortion that shows up in headlines like this one that seem to indicate that there is scientific evidence against the consensus, when really such evidence is very weak. Really, read that article.
Is Dark Energy real? Who knows; we don't really understand what's going on.
However, is the supernova evidence that the Universe is accelerating wrong? No. What's more, even if it were, you can come to the conclusion that the Universe is accelerating now without even using the supernova evidence, so if you want to show that that's wrong, you have a lot more to do than once again raise questions as to whether cosmic evolution of supernovae could explain Hubble Diagram.
I used to work for Sling TV, and you basically have that backwards. ESPN is the part of Disney's package that people are willing to pay money for. The shutdown and negotiations every year is just Disney forcing the various providers to pay for and carry their other channels. That's why Disney always holds these negotiations during football season, so if they have to shut someone down their customers actually care. Every year viewership on Disney's other channels (and non-sports channels in general) is lower, and the prices that the content producers require goes up. Scripted television is in serious decline, and Hollywood is using sports fans to prop it up.
As an example, If you don't care about sports you can get Disney+ without ads for about $12 a month. Disney will happily throw in Hulu for that same price if you will watch some ads. You can binge watch the shows that you care about and then switch to another channel. Heck, you can buy entire seasons of their shows ala carte. You can't get ESPN however, without paying at least $45/month, and that's with a package with no non-Disney channels and chuck full of ads. For the record, that's basically what the streaming services are paying Disney as well. When I worked at Sling the entirety of the subscription fees went to the content companies (primarily Disney). There is essentially no profit in cable packages. All of the profit has to be made up somewhere else.
People that aren't sports fans, especially if they are entertainment fans, tend to believe that scripted programming is carrying sports, but it is the other way around. That's why AppleTV, which has spent over $20 billion creating content for their channel has about as many subscribers the amount of people that typically watch a single episode of Thursday Night Football, the worst professional football game of the week. Amazon Prime pays $1 billion a year for that franchise, and it is a bargain compared to creating scripted content. Apple makes great television that almost no one pays for. The other content providers are in the same boat. You'll notice, for example, that Netflix's most expensive package is $25/month, and the revenue per user in the U.S. is around $16. That's ad free. The lowest promotional price you can pay for ESPN is basically twice that, and it always comes with ads. What's more, sports fans tend to actually watch the ads.
Sling is selling day and weekend passes to people because it knows that most of its customers only have their service to watch the game. No one is watching linear television anymore, but the content creators have built their entire business around the idea of having a channel that they fill up with content. Even with Sling's ridiculous prices they can typically watch the games they want to watch for less than maintaining a subscription.
I have spent most of my adult life in the sports world, but I don't watch sports. I personally believe that in the long run sports television is probably going to end up uncoupled from scripted television. I think that is going to be very bad news for people that like scripted television.
Anthropic's entire pitch has always been safety. Innovation like this tends to favor a very few companies, and it leaves behind a whole pile of losers that also had to spend ridiculous amounts of capital in the hopes of catching the next wave. If you bet on the winning company you make a pile of money, if you pick one of the losers then the capital you invested evaporates. Anthropic has positioned itself as OpenAI, except with safeguards, and that could very well be the formula that wins the jackpot. Historically, litigation and government sponsorship have been instrumental in picking winners.
However, as things currently stand, Anthropic is unlikely to win on technical merits over its competition. So Dario's entire job as a CEO is basically to get the government involved. If he can create enough doubt about the people that are currently making decisions in AI circles that the government gets involved, either directly through government investment, or indirectly through legislation, then his firm has a chance at grabbing the brass ring. That's not to say that he is wrong, he might even be sincere. It is just that it isn't surprising that his pitch is that AI has the potential to be wildly dangerous and we need to think about safety. That's essentially the only path that makes his firm a viable long term player.
He used to win these market timing games because no one was paying attention to huge short positions. You could quietly bet against a company, or, better yet, you could quietly amass a short position and then release stunning negative news that you had uncovered and watch the stock price tank.
These days it is more likely that online investors will notice a large short, and drive the price of the stock up until the person holding the short gets margin called and loses all of their money. The shorters then provide the liquidity you need to get out of the position. There used to be good money in shorting terrible companies, but in an age where hordes of armchair investors can drive the price of GameStop to the moon that strategy is just too risky.
AI has problems for sure. Not a month goes by without news of yet another idiot lawyer getting sanctioned because of the hallucinations were presented as fact. However......have you tried coding with AI? I have. I'm 5x more productive than before, and I can solve problems now that I wouldn't have touched before. I still test my code. I still review it. But man, this thing is a game changer. I can see why people are paying big money for it. It absolutely is delivering.
To give you a recent example - I know nothing about terraform, but I had to implement a proof of concept in AWS and was mandated to use terraform. Previously, I would have spent some time understanding terraform concepts and then worked out some basic examples before attempting the task at hand. None of that was needed. I was coding from day 1. Yes, the AI can go wrong, but I find its never a syntactical error. When errors do occur, its usually a misunderstanding of the requirement I gave it, and because I know what I had in mind, I can always rephrase to get the right results. I have not so far encountered a situation in the coding realm where hallucinations caused me problems.
The other day, I asking the AI to do some task it noticed that I was using java 17 and offered me the upgrade to 21. I thought it was a trivial upgrade, but the implementation, when I said "yes", was breathtaking. It asked for me to sign into git, then created a branch, generated test cases for my code, after applying its changes, it ran the test cases, committed its changes, asked me for approval to merge to main and then did it.
Magnificient!
Yes, lesser number of programmers will be needed. What makes me most happy though is that this levels the playing field. No longer do I have to deal with those difficult prima donnas who are only tolerated because they are good developers, even though they mess with the team and make everyone elses life miserable. I can't wait for those people to get fired because there is no more excuse for them to be kept on.
There's a typo in the headline. It's supposed to read "Microsoft Forms Superintelligence Team Under AI Chef Suleyman 'To Serve Humanity'".
I suspect that these streams are costing Youtube money. They can't monetize them, and they have to spend effort shutting them down or they get in serious legal trouble. If things persist I suspect that Youtube changes its live streaming service in ways that make this impossible.
We will see though.
In computing, the mean time to failure keeps getting shorter.