russia has already reached the point where attrition cascades. even the nyt admits this.
Russian attrition is indeed spiraling.
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.zona.media%2Farticle%2F...
at this point only a few countries in europe (actually just 3-4 that count: uk, france, germany and maybe poland) and a minority of ukranians (20% according to last gallup poll) want to continue the war, hoping to rescue the situation in the long run.
With the exception of Putler very few wanted the war to start much less continue. Don't mistake wanting war to end for any Ukrainian willingness to acquiesce to absurd demands of Putler et el.
1. ukraine:
- fight to the last man (which will be soon) while being supported by ... europe (the us has bailed)
This is nonsensical. Both sides are capable of suffering their respective rates of attrition forever. This war like nearly every war will not be settled by running out of men. It will be settled by running out of will.
- steal russian assets to support ukraine for 2 more years, see from there. if they succeed, the money will last 6 months, it will wreck their financial industry for good (one of its few industries still standing) and when the trial comes they will have to pay the money back plus reparations.
Forfeiture of Russian assets is something that should have been done years ago as a down payment for harms Russia has already inflicted on Ukraine. This is no different than any corporation or person having their assets forfeited to cover damages they caused.
- rebuild their military, specially germany, for an eventual direct confrontation years down the line, 2030 is thrown around as a target. the problem with this plan is lacking industrial capacity, no access to cheap energy, no money, stagnation or growth of less than 0.5% in the best case and the fact that russia will keep doing the same with industrial capacity at full steam, unlimited energy, growing about 4% and about 4 years headstart.
You are delusional. The Russian military industry is shrinking because the country is going broke. The Russian central bank selling off gold reserves is like a spider eating its own web.
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.themoscowtimes.com...
https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpeacerep.org%2Fwp-conten...
now, the thing is that russia can win this conflict, and is actually doing so, but not the greater war. even if they get to the dnieper and odessa, as long as these european elites refuse to back off, and they don't seem inclined to do so, western ukraine will be a festering wound, even if totally depaupered. the conflict will freeze and will eventually erupt again. this is not a good situation for russia, which is why
Nobody can win jack shit. This war is exclusively grinding attrition for as far as the eye can see with Russia suffering the vast majority of all losses.
they want to negotiate, and their stance on this hasn't changed much since 2022, which is what they have been warning about since 2008. it would be the best for everyone, frankly.
You contradict yourself. Russia has shown zero interest in negotiation having maintained the same set of unacceptable maximalist demands throughout.