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Comment Re:Pretty cool (Score 1) 42

This feels more MD Delta Clipper than anything else to me. To me the interesting part isn't that a rocket has flown this test, the interesting part is that Honda has chosen to get in on this.

But then again, Chrysler had been a major contractor on Apollo, so it's not like there isn't precedent for automakers to get in to rather unexpected markets.

Comment Re:Does Iran have any home-grown IP infrastructure (Score 1) 63

there's a reasonably good chance that there will be attempts by one's adversary to use that technology against one in some capacity.
Yes, there is. But this also makes fixating on the internet connection perhaps unreasonable.
So as you're probably aware, there notoriously exist these devices called Stingrays.

Cell phones that don't use Internet are still just as good at exposing your location over the corresponding protocols.

At this point you're going to stand out If all the cellphones in an area with purposefully no internet connectivity can be identified and located precisely. But your officials' cellphones are the only phones oddly configured that way. Or they use a specific make and model device which is not used by the rest of the population, but still connect to the cell network.

I was assuming that they were mandating that these so-ordered officials stop using digital communications themselves altogether, phones or otherwise.

Comment Re:Does Iran have any home-grown IP infrastructure (Score 1) 63

While sometimes there's strategy in communicating exactly what one is going to do when one is in such an overwhelming position to where the adversary knowing what's coming can't do anything about it to the point that it might be even more demoralizing and force and advantage, I doubt that the method that the drunkard used is going to achieve that.

Comment Does Iran have any home-grown IP infrastructure? (Score 5, Insightful) 63

Obviously one of the problems with the use of any given technology during wartime is that if it isn't local, there's a reasonably good chance that there will be attempts by one's adversary to use that technology against one in some capacity.

For traditional conflicts before the computer age this was often a matter of raw materials or finished products being denied delivery. In the IT age it means things like hidden subroutines to degrade performance or outright disable or damage systems, or to snoop or locate.

So yeah, Iran is using the same Internet protocols and other systems that the rest of the world uses, and there are lots of known issues with those open protocols, and that's even before getting to the hardware itself, where it sources from, and what sort of backdoors or other penetration into that hardware might have been achieved by Israel. If Iran is mostly using commercial, off-the-shelf equipment that anyone including Israel could purchase same as they did then I have no doubt that samples have been obtained and put through testing.

Comment Re:Education is a subsidy (Score 1) 110

Unfortunately the collegiate football system is a perfect example of giving them what they want. Alumni and students want football enough that the programs are very popular and thus are competing for coaches and even players. Some college football programs are even directly profitable through ticket sales, merchandise sales, and media licensing.

The reason why all professional football players went to college is because there is no 'farm' system for football players separate from the college system. There's no minor-league or farm-team like baseball and hockey use. Basketball is largely similar to football in that regard, but at least for basketball there are international leagues and a few other places for players to gain experience other than using the collegiate system, even if it is still the most common way.

Comment Re:Poor decisions? (Score 2) 93

Rush was worse than a know-it-all. He appears to have genuinely believed that he could bend the universe to his will, through strength of belief and force of will.

Many of technological snake-oil salesmen know that they're peddling hot garbage, they haven't bought their own sales pitch. Rush truly believed.

Comment Most of the word are English... (Score 2) 22

...but I guess that you have to be very, very into this particular niche for this to make any sense.

When I read, "International Olympiad," I do not think programming. I think track-and-field and other competition where physical fitness and physical skill define the event.

As for, "LLM", does anyone else see that and think, "MLM"? As in, scam?

Comment Re:Something is wrong there (Score 1) 59

What this feels like is them trying to bump the stock with layoffs. I don't see how it would last and they would be able to keep up with demand so that it would translate into lost sales. I mean their gpus are flying off the shelves as fast as they can stock them for Christ's sake. And while AMD is eating a bit of their lunch there is still plenty of demand for Intel CPUs.

This feels like what Walmart did where they fired so many stockers they couldn't keep their shelves stocked and they were losing money because people would show up to buy something and it wouldn't be where they could buy it.

But I guess it will give them a short-term stock bump. And they can use the short-term cash savings for stock BuyBacks.

And what's even more stupid, Intel has enough competition that they might not be able to hire back laid-off workers. TSMC is opening a factory in greater Phoenix, probably in part due to the area's semiconductor manufacturing history and there being an existing pool of trained workers. If the demand for labor outpaces the supply of experienced workers then Intel might find that other companies have snapped up the available workforce and they'll have to spend even more to attract them back.

In Walmart's case it doesn't take any particular above-average skill or advanced training in order to do most retail operations, so even if Walmart couldn't rehire employees that it laid off it would probably be able to bring new hires up to speed in a matter of days. In contrast for semiconductor manufacturing, even if a lot of the work is OJT, I expect that it's weeks of training and strict supervision even for entry-level positions, and anything above that where advanced, time-sensitive processes are performed it takes longer to train or requires particular skill that most people walking in off the street simply wouldn't have.

Comment Re:Education is a subsidy (Score 1) 110

Don't forget football. There are career slots for only a small number of college football players.

Last time I checked, colleges don't offer an actual major in football. It sure as hell may look like they do given how insulated the players may be from the rest of the student body and how so many only meet the bare minimums academically required in order to remain eligible to play, but the on-paper major isn't football.

Comment Re:Education is a subsidy (Score 1) 110

The biggest abuse in the number of students versus the number of jobs in the profession are in journalism. There are more journalism students than there are jobs in the entire industry.

Music unfortunately has similar problems even with something that has more value. In far too many cases, graduates from college music programs can't work in the field because their teachers are the ones with seats in the local orchestra. They're literally having to directly compete with their instructors.

Comment Re:almost impossible to stop (Score 1) 110

Free college sounds great, until you realize that college will be rationed, probably by academic achievement, which would block students from under-performing K-12 schools from entering college. Is that the plan? Or are we going to fill colleges based on racial, gender, or economic factors?

It would not entirely block students from underperforming K-12 schools, because college admissions officials do not solely look at the performance of schools. They also look at things like raw GPA, class rank, classes that are acknowledged as being more challenging, and on other aspects of scholarship like applications essays and standardized tests.

Certainly there would be fewer students from underperforming schools, because there would generally be fewer strong candidates from underperforming schools, through the sheer nature of the statistics of what led to those schools being labeled as underperforming to begin with.

Thing is though, that's why the higher ed system is tiered. No one looks on Truckee Meadows Community College as being at the same level as UCLA, and no one looks at UCLA as being on par with Yale. There are or at least should be options for many talented high school graduates who are looking for college. Not everyone gets to go to MIT. Not everyone even gets to go to the University of Arizona. Some end up at Chattahoochee Technical College. And that's okay. They might well be able to transfer if they excel in their new environment after high school. If not, they might well have to go through the programs that they can perform at.

What we do need is better assessment for certification of programs, and weeding-out of faux-colleges that themselves just exist to profit off of student loans for 'students' that will never graduate, particularly private for-profit colleges. They need to be held to minimum graduation rates based on original enrollment, and if that means compelling them to find fraudulent enrollments that likewise are attempting to game the educational financing system, then they need to step up.

Comment Re:Brainpower, or Breeders? (Score 1) 49

Japan has been below replacement levels for quite a long time now. Adult diapers have outsold baby diapers for well over a decade there.

While the media might love to spin Japans actions as politically motivated and “anti-Trump”, the reality is they need breeders a hell of a lot more than they need brainpower.

That would be predicated on allowing actual permanent resettlement with a path to citizenship and birthright citizenship for one's offspring.

I could well see researchers that aren't in a having/raising family stage of life being interested in living and working in Japan for some number of years as an interesting and finite life stage, but I don't see those looking to permanently settle somewhere or to raise a family somewhere necessarily being up for it.

To address that, Japan needs to do more than simply provide some short-term incentives for researchers, but that would also mean a fundamental shift in the thinking of the population as far as what it means to be Japanese, what it means to be a citizen, etc. They do not appear to be willing to do this.

Please don't misunderstand me either, I'm not commenting either way on what other specific countries/cultures do or don't do.

Comment Fiber optic bubble? (Score 1) 28

I guess I'm confused, how is a technology with a decades-long service life and is basically a capital investment subject to the same sort of label of 'bubble' compared to the explosive growth of something using a commodity model with obsolescence measured in years?

In 2020 I had to occasion to have some OS1 singlemode fiber installed back in 1994 terminated into splice cases and put into use. That fiber sat for basically a quarter century and was then usable when I needed it.

Where I work now I no longer have primary responsibility to deal with cabling infrastructure, but we still light up metro-crossing fiber between locations that could well have sat dormant for decades. Costs to install pathways right now are RIDICULOUS, like upwards of $1000/linear foot for underground conduit work. Stuff installed for a tenth or less that price 20 years ago is paying for itself now even accounting for inflation if I'm not having to spend $50k to go fifty feet between buildings. And unlike point-to-point wireless shots there's no recurring licensing fees to the FCC, there's no service-subscription costs to the wireless equipment manufacturer, and there's basically no lifecycle costs to regularly replace the connection.

If there was any sort of fiber bubble, it was that those looking to profit off of it weren't thinking like a utility, where the ROI takes awhile to see, but the investment in the installation lasts for decades, not months or years. It's only a bubble if you're not a long-term thinker.

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