Too many AI entrants; most will fail. Success depends on having a critical mass of users. So, specs-manship to attract users. BTW, other factors are required (for instance acquiring high-quality/novel training data) but the most important are number of users and engagement metrics.

Original: "We remember enough of the scientific literature of the times to know that you've never read a major science paper on the subject." Now --> "no peer reviewed models"? ..."By the end of the decade"? ... "and the second article you quoted" How about the first? Obviously there was scientific speculation, which was later judged to be unfounded. Otherwise, what pray tell ignited the media hype? Seems you are moving the goalposts? But a silly thing to argue, in the greater scheme of things.

I gently disagree. The research was on aerosols reflecting sunlight --> hence global cooling. There were definitely papers, just later found to be not correct. As far as "consensus" that was media hype --> nothing to do with reaching a real consensus at that point in time. The consensus against the theories came later, after more evidence was gathered. Some examples via Grok: 1971: Rasool & Schneider (Science) – suggested aerosols could cause cooling (later found to be overstated). 1975: Bryson and others – speculated about cooling from dust/aerosols. Several papers in Nature and Quaternary Research discussed Milankovitch cycles and the long-term likelihood of eventual glaciation (tens of thousands of years away).

Yes, but please take a sec and read the study. It is akin to saying I'm modeling a football game, where one player is randomly doing acts, the other has a single strategy no matter what the down and distance, and the other 20 players don't matter. It is not real world.

Algorithmic pricing can increase pricing. The most interesting/relevant current discussion on this topic is rental rates - I would guess you know This is not addressed by this study, and I still argue rarely seen in the real world. Requires only 2 players, each using one specific algorithm covered in the study, one of which is a random response to stimuli. In your experience, can you think of an example?

Yep, and highlights the danger I pointed out of a duopoly. You want to fix it, add other entrants. But this certainly does not apply to this algorithm, iows - still not real world.

I wouldn't get too excited about this. Almost nothing in the real world is a 2-player game. Is it extendable? What happens when other strategies are followed at the same time? Generalizing, it does imply the advantage of having a multiple of players, as opposed to a set duopoly. Being slashdot, lots of time the new entries are fueled by new technologies. In short, interesting, but not particularly applicable to the real world.

We are on the precipice, I believe. But this has much more to do with perceived poor output from NASA, particularly compared to SpaceX, and a "bias" against government by the current administration.

almost certainly memo.

"OpenAI wants to become an abusive entrenched giant and if the way they have run roughshod over IP and copyrights to get where they are today isn't enough to convince the public of this then the public needs to be beaten over the head with a clue stick." not to mention their charter: OpenAI is governed by the OpenAI Nonprofit, which is solely responsible for setting OpenAI’s research agenda and ensuring that AGI benefits humanity. The Nonprofit’s board of directors is responsible for ensuring that OpenAI operates in accordance with its mission. now a for profit, hard to be on their side

I do believe that AI will lead to significant dislocation of workers. But the committee's asking AI to assess AI is GIGO. AI is trained to foster AI, generate additional interaction, etc. Not exactly a dispassionate assessment. I believe AI is in the overhype part of the tech cycle, and we will see some moderating of expectations as many of these AI companies are shattered by not being able to deliver on their over-promises

Not true. Constitution permits Congress to establish a Postal Service. It does not require it. I'm not sure how this incorrect understanding became relatively widespread?

I will defend the mods/editors until the cows come home. But, obviously a slow news day. Thanks for trying to find something!

"People are already tailoring their resumes to get through employer word filters. Once AI is part of this ecosystem..."

I take college courses for fun, now that I'm retired. Every college student I talk to is using AI to write their resume and applications. The arms race started a couple of years ago.

The poor and middle class are those most negatively affected by illegal immigration, as they are the ones who lose jobs or get paid less when the supply of job seekers increases. For those who gnash teeth over techies and other white collars losing jobs to AI, they should support Trump on this.