Comment Re:When does it stop? (Score 3, Interesting) 144
You're less than a couple of years away from being in a Russian oligarchy.
You're optimistic, I was thinking more like North Korea....
You're less than a couple of years away from being in a Russian oligarchy.
You're optimistic, I was thinking more like North Korea....
I have probably read something they published in the last decade, but I just looked at their website
I do love posts that just start off, "I, an ignoramus, think...."
Long term, they will pay the 500% tariff because this tariff level is not enough to induce American manufacturers to compete with the Chinese on low margin products.
I am not sure that is quite true, there will definitely be a threshold where it would become more than viable for American manufacturers to compete.
However, the investment involved is only going to be made in an environment where there is some predictability. If anyone believed that the tariffs would stay at that high level for years then they might invest, but no one in their right mind would believe these tariffs will stay the same next week, let alone past the end of the Trump presidency.
Did you actually see the chart of tariffs that every other country had in place before any of this started.
Would you like to buy a bridge?
amid efforts by the Trump administration to grant Moscow concessions to end the war in Ukraine
Even Trump isn't such a bad negotiator that he'd be handing over the concessions before the deal is made.
Clearly the West Wing's full title is now the "West Wing of the Kremlin"?
Just let the model interact with the world and other models and us.
This seems to miss the point. The problem is models interacting with each other without a strong evaluator for quality once models are generating more content than humans.
We are used to language changing at human scales, we have just enough rizz to more or less keep up with whatever skibidi things the kids are inventing these days.
But what happens when LLMs are generating and consuming orders of magnitude more information with each other?
The signal for "quality" as a human would perceive it is drowned out.
What? AlphaZero, it learned Go, chess and shogi from scratch to superhuman level. It was not feeding on its own data, but rather acting on the board against an opponent.
It was very much feeding on it's own data (playing versions of itself) to improve.
That is a very different sort of problem though. Chess and Go have clear rules and win conditions so even when it's playing itself it has a strong external evaluation mechanism. That sort of problem probably stretches to things like protein folding (the feedback loop is slower, but absolute correctness and distance from it can be evaluated).
But LLMs face a much different hurdle as absolute correctness cannot be easily evaluated. (It may be easy to identify a solid subset of "awful" fairly easily, but pushing the quality mark to "better" is a much more difficult assessment).
The rush to deploy LLMs risks the enshittification of the training data set faster than improvements can be made to the models, potentially getting to the point where an LLM may perform excellently on pre 2023 knowledge but anything new post 2024 will be hopelessly messy because the source data is fucked. Ironically, in the long term it is the AI companies who might benefit from a "created by LLM" watermark on any generated output, but that is obviously a pipe dream.
I expect LLMs will continue to improve in terms of things like efficiency, speed, cost and cross-media capability, but it's far harder to be optimistic that we are going to see big steps forward in quality.
Both ads are corporate fantasy
This seems a rather banal point. Of course they are.
That doesn't there aren't "good" and "bad" adverts both artistically and in the purely mercantile sense of encouraging viewers to have positive feelings about a product.
It seems a bit bizarre to decry people voicing their dislike for an advert when it is pretty much an advert's main job to get people to like what they are selling.
Perhaps everyone could just consume such content passively as in the 1984 advert....
"Consider a spherical bear, in simple harmonic motion..." -- Professor in the UCB physics department