Comment Real Foresight (Score 1) 19
I remember reading sometime around '98 his projection that by 2012 it would be less expensive to unicast video than to reach the same person by broadcast.
It seemed fantastical to those of us paying $200/mo for a 128K line and a 320x240 QuickTime was impressive.
A few smart people may have paid attention and skated to where the puck would be
Sure enough Youtube and the like really exploded around that time.
I'm pretty sure in '98 I didn't understand the sheer variety of content that would emerge and thought he meant the big networks might move their shows to the Internet. I remember investigating the mbone around then as unicasting didn't make sense to me. In some ways it still doesn't.
Bob got it, though.
Somewhere I have a Marc Stevens book on atomic energy collecting dust on a book shelf. I should probably see how much he got right in retrospect.