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Comment Re:You don't replace the king (Score 1) 92

The theater that we play in America, that we're an egalitarian democracy, is a coping mechanism.

Except we don't do that at all. Instead, acutely aware that any time anybody ever promised some kind of egalitarian utopia, all they ever delivered is a dystopia. And for whatever reason, you guys are gullible enough to buy into that shit, so you keep trying to drag everybody else down with you, just as you have done countless times before. You guys trusted Lenin, Mao, Pol-Pot, Castro, Hugo Chavez, and countless others who promised egalitarian democracy. Each time, you said: "This time it will work, trust me bro!"

The bigger question is: How many more tries will it take before you finally realize that it's a fundamentally broken idea?

Comment Re:Off Insulin onto immunosuppressants for life... (Score 2) 51

For any treatment, the question is always over whether the cure is better than the disease. I've been immunosuppressed going on 7.5 years now on account of a kidney transplant. From what I've seen of dietary restrictions of diabetic patients, they're almost as bad as dietary restrictions of kidney patients (kidney patients can't simply rely on food labels, they have to rely on a lot of guess work, and there aren't any finger stick measurements for potassium) but in addition to that, diabetic patients constantly have to fuck with measuring glucose and injecting themselves with hormones before and after they eat, which in some ways makes it worse.

I haven't gotten sick all that much more than I used to, except for a major dual-CMV/EBV infection that they say came from the kidney, and wouldn't have gotten as bad as it did without immunosuppressants (virus count for CMV alone was something like 100 million.) They said I nearly died from it, but it didn't really feel like it. Possibly because they kept injecting me with fentanyl for three weeks, I'm not sure. Other than that, I used to love being out in the sun all the time, which I'm now being told to avoid.

Regardless, to me the immunosuppressants are a small price to pay.

Comment Re:The automation targeted middle class jobs (Score 1) 92

Because of course it did. You don't automate dirt cheap labor first you go after the more expensive stuff first.

The Luddites weren't dirt cheap, but their job was surprisingly easy to replace with machinery. Before that machinery, unless you were incredibly rich you'd only get a new set of clothes about once a year, and odds are they were used, including the underwear.

Ignoring the fact that our unemployment statistics are just flat out lies and that industries will always tell you that they have quote unquote negative unemployment

So far I've witnessed infosec at three companies, and all three of them were constantly in search of new employees. There was never a moment when they weren't hiring, even when other departments had a hiring freeze during COVID. That has been constant over the last ten years. The main reason one of them hired me in particular is because they needed me to automate most of that work. And I automated a great deal of it, but even then there was still a lot to do by the time I left.

Now compare that to journalists, who have a 7% unemployment rate. And as we've already spoken about before, the reason you don't count as unemployed is that you're collecting social security.

in order to bring in more h1bs

My job is theoretically the kind that is most likely to see H1B hires, mainly because it involves a lot of software development and pays very high relative to even normal software development, and we have negative unemployment. Yet I've never had an H1B on my team. If the goal is to get rid of every high paying job like you keep insisting it is, then why don't we? Under your reasoning, I shouldn't have been able to change jobs four times over the last ten years, each time doubling or even tripling my pay for literally the same job.

So what we have is a ton of Mcjobs replacing what used to be good paying factory work. And now even those Mcjobs are at risk because they require a viable service sector economy and you can't have that if you gut what's left of the middle class. You need somebody to be able to buy services in order for there to be a service economy

This is called the lump of labor fallacy. The idea you have is that there's a finite amount of labor as part of a zero-sum game, and each time we automate, that means one job is lost. This is incredibly stupid, grade school level thinking. The problem you're having is that you only think in terms of how money flows in microeconomics. What you fail to understand is that every time two people make a trade, they actually create value in the process, and right now you're dreaming up a scenario where nobody ever needs to trade again. But the second law of thermodynamics realistically won't allow that unless the masses, for some odd reasoning, decide they want to effectively pay a lot more to get a lot less.

That said, will you eventually starve? Probably, because you never took any time to learn any marketable skills. Meanwhile, everybody else will find a way to make things work, as they always have.

Seriously, I've never seen any form of knowledge or other demonstration of skill out of you that strikes me as something that somebody might value. You claim to have a job, so hypothetically speaking, what kind of job would you even have that few other people have the necessary skills to perform, or can't just learn to do that job anyway within a week? Because that's the bar for minimum wage work.

This is why we can't all be plumbers. Because as the white collar workers get replaced by machines they're going to stop hiring plumbers because they can't afford too or because they don't actually own houses they rent.

Which is paradoxical given they can't pay any money to rent a house, nor can they pay any property taxes, meaning the state will seize it even if they owned it.

Our economy requires everything to be firing on all cylinders and a system where money circulates. We're breaking down that circulation and we've got a knock in the engine.

You're effectively dreaming up some kind of post-scarcity scenario, which nobody can realistically tell you how that would turn out, just as you can't. Your engine also needs an infinite amount of fuel, which again violates the second law of thermodynamics.

Comment Re:70% (Score 1) 92

This chart is very starkly at odds with all three of their bullet points:

https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffred.stlouisfed.org%2Fse...

And their article cites several saltwater economists, who usually tend to rely on very strict models which historically have fallen apart. They also seem to be at odds with your daily talking points:

Rising market power, markups, and deunionization "do not appear to play a major role in US wage inequality," they added.

It seems like you're disagreeing with yourself. I like this forward-looking quote too:

f the last four decades are precedent, automation is likely to further displace workers as the US reopens.

Only that didn't happen -- in 2022 we even saw negative unemployment in several industries.

Comment Re:nepotastic (Score 2) 92

If he's anything like me, he just saved and invested a lot. All it really takes is patience and putting off little things now for much bigger things later, a virtue seemingly few people here have. My house and stock assets minus mortgage debt are currently valued at around $1.1 million, with a cost basis just under half of that over the last ten years. Who knows where it will be in another ten years, but I certainly like the odds.

Comment Re:It doesn't have to be AI (Score 0) 92

They're looking to automate everything they possibly can.

They're not the only ones. It seems somebody automated you, after all, and you know exactly what I'm referring to. I'd say their work is pretty good as the copy is completely faithful to the original, but I won't because at the end of the day, it's not as if they cloned anything that can show any signs of intelligence, even if it was only an illusion.

Comment Re: Sure (Score 1) 69

It really wasn't even that. The US wasn't even doing anything with rocketry after WWII even though some American scientists had already been putting a lot of effort towards it (see Robert H. Goddard.) The main interest didn't even come until it became obvious that ICBMs were going to be critical to having an answer to the USSRs expansionist goals. The problem with our long-standing neutrality is that we had so many resources that eventually somebody was going to come after us. And they did. Thrice. (First time was England during the Napoleonic wars, who kept seizing American merchant ships to fund their war, and kidnapping American sailors in order to fight their war, which resulted in the war of 1812.) We really didn't need it to happen a fourth time, and the best way to prevent that was to contain the USSR. Otherwise, they would have steamrolled right over western Europe, who was quite vulnerable at the time (and in many ways, still is, though more to China rather than Russia, who could very well collapse in the next decade on account of their own stupidity.)

Comment Re: Sure (Score 1) 69

France keeps doing this every 5 years or so. For example, back in 2005 Jacques Chirac was jealous of Google so he wanted France to make a Google clone. Every time America does something new, France takes it as an insult directed at them personally, so it tries to build one and instead of getting something useful, just wastes money.

Arianne had the chance to make reusable boosters happen, but poo-poo'ed the idea:

https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2Fyrouel86%2Fstatus%2F...

Comment Re: Sure (Score 2) 69

It wasn't a matter of reliability, instead it was a matter of having something both capable of delivering the payload capacity at the specified orbital parameters. At the time James Webb began, nothing fit the bill except for one Arianne rocket (AFAIK Russia didn't have anything either.) That later changed, but by the time something else was available, it had already been designed around that particular rocket and was too late to make any changes.

This was a major issue, by the way, because Arianne was having major reliability problems after James Webb was ready, delaying the launch multiple times.

Comment Re: Sure (Score -1, Troll) 69

Europe is an aerospace power, with Airbus being the world's leading company of aircraft that don't kill the occupants.

Over airliners? Shit, today's airliners are yesterday's news. You guys are still well behind us technologically, and that includes airliners. Word is Boom Supersonic has already taken orders from a few airlines around the world.

By the way, how is that Concorde of yours doing?

The ESA is decently successful, and has pulled off projects like Galileo

Yeah, about that...

https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.spacex.com%2Flaunche...

and some interesting space science and exploration missions.

Such as? And what do they have that can compare to James Webb and Europa Clipper?

Europe also invented the World Wide Web.

Wait, aren't you that same derp who got all pissy when I had to explain to you that the web isn't the internet? But...actually, who am I kidding, that's most Europeans, because they have no idea how it works. Though, you always get pissy when you realize I'm telling you the truth, especially when it goes against your long-standing views.

Anyway, many others have already covered this topic since you brought it up.

CERN is one of the world's leading research institutions.

Most Europeans will deny this, but it turns out that CERN hasn't yielded anything useful for over a decade now, and in many respects the new LHC may even be counterproductive. I'll let a European physicist explain:

https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2019%2F0...

And I think in terms of physics in general, James Webb may already be telling us a lot more about our current understanding than CERN has. Not telling us anything new mind you, at least not yet, but so far telling us that we REALLY screwed up somewhere, and it may even help us fix that.

Also, some good commentary (rare for reddit) here:

https://ancillary-proxy.atarimworker.io?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2FPhysi...

Note also they discuss the web, and (except a post near the top) it really wasn't anything novel, even according to physicists. But others have already covered this.

Militarily, both France and the UK are nuclear armed, and the UK, Germany, and France export a lot of weapons.

Then why was France so pissed off at America because Australia didn't want their substandard submarine? We didn't even do anything to wrong France, yet they got so fucking pissed off at us.

Comment Re:Great advice.... (Score 1) 127

UN votes don't really mean much of anything. Even the ones who vote against Israel by and large take no adverse action against them. They're also nonbinding, which in effect makes them little more than a recommendation. Russia in particular offered words to that effect a month ago, but otherwise doesn't seem to care. India voted to again Russia's Ukraine invasion in August 2022, but they remain Russia's ally and still buy Russia's gas and oil to this day.

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